Top 25 Fantasy Outfielders for 2010: An Early Look

Let’s keep the rankings rolling, taking a look at the Top 25 outfielders for 2010.  There is certainly going to be a lot of movement throughout this list as the offseason progresses, as there could be some significant free agent moves as well as more information coming out about those who had their 2009 seasons mired by injuries.  So, without further adieu, let’s take a look (keep in mind that these are extremely early and are going to be fluid throughout the offseason):

  1. Ryan Braun – Milwaukee Brewers
  2. Carl Crawford – Tampa Bay Rays
  3. Matt Kemp – Los Angeles Dodgers
  4. Grady Sizemore – Cleveland Indians
  5. Justin Upton – Arizona Diamondbacks
  6. Carlos Beltran – New York Mets
  7. Jacoby Elsbury – Boston Red Sox
  8. Manny Ramirez – Los Angeles Dodgers
  9. Jason Bay – Boston Red Sox
  10. Adam Lind – Toronto Blue Jays
  11. Matt Holliday – St. Louis Cardinals
  12. Andre Ethier – Los Angeles Dodgers
  13. Nick Markakis – Baltimore Orioles
  14. Carlos Lee – Houston Astros
  15. Josh Hamilton – Texas Rangers
  16. Adam Dunn – Washington Nationals
  17. Jayson Werth – Philadelphia Phillies
  18. Ichiro Suzuki – Seattle Mariners
  19. Carlos Granderson – Detroit Tigers
  20. Carlos Quentin – Chicago White Sox
  21. Nelson Cruz – Texas Rangers
  22. Ben Zobrist – Tampa Bay Rays
  23. Hunter Pence – Houston Astros
  24. Bobby Abreu – Los Angeles Angels
  25. Shane Victorino – Philadelphia Phillies

Thoughts:

  • Carl Crawford or Matt Kemp? Just who is the number two outfielder is certainly a big question at this point and one that we will be looking into.
  • I may not be high on Grady Sizemore, but we all know he is significantly better than his injury plagued stats showed. I’d look for him to have a solid bounce back campaign in 2010.
  • Justin Upton’s huge season (.300, 26 HR, 20 SB) came despite hitting just .250 with 2 HR and 1 SB in April. What happens if he comes out of the chute hitting well? We could find out in 2010 and he’s a player that is going to quickly be rising up draft boards. Could he rise too much? It’s possible, and it wouldn’t be a surprise if I’m recommending to pass over him and grabbing a Beltran or Markakis a round or two later.
  • A potential to steal 60+ bases is just not something you can get from very many players. In fact, the number of players who could steal that many bases, as well as be productive in other areas, can be counted on one hand. Jacoby Elsbury brings with him an incredible package. He stole 70 bases. He hit .300. He has the potential to score well over 100 runs. He’s certainly among the best outfielders in the game.
  • Adam Lind had a tremendous season, hitting 35 HR, but is it repeatable? He had just a 36.8% flyball rate, so his home runs came courtesy of a 19.8% HR/FB rate. That was thirteenth in the league, something we will take a close look at in the offseason to determine if it is something he could replicate in 2010.
  • Where will Matt Holliday and Jason Bay land in 2010? That will ultimately determine where they belong on this list.
  • Would you rather own Carlos Lee or Josh Hamilton? In Lee, we know exactly what we are going to get. In Hamilton, the jury is really still out after injuries hampered him in 2010. It’s going to be a tough question we will try to answer.
  • We all know that Carlos Quentin struggled with injury in 2009, but homering four times in the last week certainly left fantasy owners with a good taste in their mouths. While duplicating his 2008 statistics is unlikely, he is going to be a great bounce back candidate in 2010.
What are your thoughts on the early rankings?  Who is too high?  Who is too low?  Who was omitted that shouldn’t have been?

Previous Early Rankings:
Catchers
First Baseman
Second Baseman
Third Baseman
Shortstops

Picture courtesy of Icon Sports Media, Inc.

 

Posted on by Rotoprofessor. This entry was posted in Rankings. Bookmark the permalink.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

 

19 Responses to Top 25 Fantasy Outfielders for 2010: An Early Look

  1. Andrew says:

    I think Manny is way too high, and Ichiro is way too low.

    I’m not an Ichiro guy, but he’s a top 30 player every year.

  2. Rotoprofessor says:

    Andrew, I have to disagree a bit on Ichiro. While he brings an average, what else is he bringing to the table at this point?

    He showed that in a sub par offense, he may not be able to score a lot of runs (he fell under 90 this past season). He also didn’t show the same speed, swiping just 26 bases. Without power, there just isn’t much he’s bringing to the table.

    cs, do you feel that Granderson is too high or low?

  3. Guancous says:

    Thanks for the lists. They’re very helpful for those of us with November 1st keeper deadlines. That said, where is Andrew McCutchen? He’s unproven but a slight improvement over a full season puts him in the middle of the list.

  4. Andrew says:

    Ichiro has been a top 15 player 4 of the past 6 years. The guy is money in the bank.

    Quick – name the only hitters to be top 50 players each of the past 9 years…

    Albert Pujols, Bobby Abreu, and Ichiro Suzuki.

    It’s all about the reliability early on. Ichiro is closer to being the 18th best overall player than being the 18th best OF.

  5. Jimmy says:

    I disagree about Ichiro. While he has a great average, 26 steals just isn’t all that special from the OF spot. I don’t think he’s too low at all. While Ichirco has the consistency factor on his side, there just isn’t a lot of upside to what he does anymore. YOu can’t expect him at 36 years old to become a top 10 OFer again.

  6. Andrew says:

    Just as many fantasy analysts do, you guys are clearly undervaluing batting average. Ichiro was the 5th best fantasy OF this year. 5th! In 2008, he was 7th. And you have him 18th?

    Look, I understand. I like to build my power early, too, so I hardly ever end up with Ichiro on my team. Still, the guy is undoubtedly a top 10 OF if you crunch the numbers. 600 AB’s of a .320 AVG is worth a ton.

  7. Dave says:

    How ’bout stretching the list to Top 40 for OF? Top 25 doesn’t even cover all the starters in a 12-teamer.

    I’d take Kemp over Crawford and Lee over Hamilton.

    P.S. – Maybe the comment from ‘cs’ is because you have him listed as CARLOS Granderson…

  8. Dave, the plan is to expand on all of the lists as the offseason progresses. This was just a starter. The next time around (probably mid-November), all of the lists are going to be expanded by about 5-10 players, depending on the position.

  9. Joe says:

    where is Choo? he is better than Pence, right?

  10. Rotoprofessor says:

    Joe, I’ve always been higher on Pence than Choo, though I think that they are extremely comparable players. It’s an interesting debate as to who should be rated higher and one that I will dive deeper into in the near future.

  11. Keith says:

    No Michael Bourn? He got 61 SB and 97 runs while hitting .285.

  12. Rotoprofessor says:

    Keith, his lack of power is one problem, but the bigger one is that his average came courtesy of a BABIP of .367. The chances of him repeating that luck is unlucky meaning that we could expect a drop-off.

  13. Joey says:

    I know people are going to freak out, but Jay Bruce NEEDS to be on this list.

  14. Miles says:

    I watched Dodgers daily and Manny wasn’t the same after his 50 game suspension. He will be 38 in May. Is he in decline?

  15. Brian says:

    Interesting but for deep, competitive leagues could you do a top 75 or even 100? Where does Milton Bradley rank given the trade from the Cubs to the M’s? Heyward from the Braves when he is called up?

  16. dean huoiy says:

    Why is Ichiro and granderson not in the top 5? There better than grady?

  17. Nick Tenaglia says:

    dean,

    this is for 2010…… what are you thinking?

    BTW – going into 2011, Grady Sizemore was hugely hyped (potential 30/30 guy with .290-.300 avg). Ichiro is a high-Avg/SB guy (but so is Julio Borbon), and Granderson is a low-Avg/HR guy (if you want that, go with Mark Reynolds)

    THAT is why he was top 5

  18. Rotoprofessor says:

    Thanks Nick, couldn’t have said it better myself!

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

You may use these HTML tags and attributes: <a href="" title=""> <abbr title=""> <acronym title=""> <b> <blockquote cite=""> <cite> <code> <del datetime=""> <em> <i> <q cite=""> <strike> <strong>

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


























































Pages