Guess The Projection: February 8

This is something new we’re going to try.  I’m going to post my 2010 projection and a few clues and it’s your job to take your guess as to who it is in the comments.  The following day (I’ll leave it open for about 24 hours), I’ll post the answer in the comments.

Please let me know if this is something you enjoy or not and please, if you bought the draft guide, don’t participate.

2010 Projection:
.297 (175-590), 12 HR, 55 RBI, 90 R, 29 SB, .321 BABIP, .359 OBP, .446 SLG


  • He’s an outfielder
  • He plays in the NL
  • He is under 30-years old

Take your best guess…


  1. flux says:

    nyjer morgan?

  2. michael k says:

    Shane Victorino?

  3. ray says:

    Shane Victorino.

  4. Sawyer says:

    Those numbers look McCutchen-esque to me.

  5. Ian says:

    Very cool idea, I’ll go Shane Victorino as well. Although they do look McCutchen-ish.

  6. Rob Miller says:

    I think it is close to Chris Coghlan, but 18 SB is more realistic for him. I will go with Nyjer Morgan as well.

  7. Jimmy says:

    I can’t guess… but I’m a fan of the idea.

  8. Mark says:

    Gotta go with Shane Victorino.

  9. Tom says:

    Drew Stubbs (or Cameron maybin?)

  10. Yummy says:

    Just to add another name to the mix…Dexter Fowler

  11. MJ says:

    Gotta be McCutchen.

  12. Rob says:

    Probably McCutchen, but like the Dexter Fowler guess.

  13. fiji.siv says:

    Shane Victorino? Dexter Fowler? No, Victorino… I think.

  14. Dave says:

    Drew Stubbs

  15. BLAZE says:


  16. MikeAbo says:

    Michael Brantley, Dexter Fowler, Borbon?

  17. jah says:

    Drew Stubbs

  18. j-kwok says:

    I think it is Victorino, though I would project more RBI and less runs if it is true that Polanco will be taking over the 2nd spot in the Phillies lineup with Victorino moving down to 7th.

    This projected player has a low strikeout rate of about 12%, and there is no possible way that McCutchen can be projected to strikeout that little after he had a 19.2% strikeout rate in his rookie season and a 17.6% rate in his Minor League career.

    The low strikeout rate also takes Stubbs, Fowler, and Maybin out of consideration.

    Nyjer Morgan doesn’t even have 12 HR in his Majors + Minors 7-year career and in 590 AB he would steal 50+.

    OBP is too low for Coghlan.

  19. gtown1479 says:

    I love this idea! My original guess was Victorino. After reading the comments I could see it possible being McCutchen, but still goin with Victorino

  20. Derrick says:

    Due to the slightly higher BABIP and Slugging, I’m going to say this is Mccutchen and not Victorino based on Victorino’s prior year results and various projections this year.

    The other guys mentioned (Stubbs, Fowler, Maybin, Morgan) won’t make the batting average listed above.

  21. Will says:

    Carlos Gonzalez

  22. PaullyBoston says:

    My guess is Victorino, although I clike the Colghan guess if you think he is goign to nab some more bases this year.

  23. Rotodog says:

    That could be a lot of guys, but for my money its SHANE VICTORINO..

    If its anyone else, you must consider the track record when drafting.

    Shane is Money! Steady 3 year track record of consistent success..

    If it isnt Shane, I want to see Both projections side by side..They will be almost identical…

  24. Bballdoc says:

    Lastings Milledge

  25. Big Dog says:

    I’ve also got to go with Victorino based on the AVG.

  26. precipitation says:

    Victorino or Drew Stubbs

  27. michael k says:

    Roto Professor,

    Did i win?


  28. ClayHenry says:

    Drew Stubbs!

  29. Rotoprofessor says:

    Congrats to those who guessed Shane Victorino!

    I’ll have another one up later tonight. Hope everyone enjoys this new future.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *