Aroldis Chapman is one of the most talked about prospects in baseball, though it is becoming increasingly questionable if he will make a fantasy impact in 2010. He’s shown some good and some bad during his time at Triple-A, but the one constant has been struggles with his control (which many feared before he signed). Let’s take a look at his numbers thus far:
61 Strikeouts (10.2 K/9)
34 Walks (5.7 BB/9)
Pitching in Cincinnati, it’ll be impossible for him to succeed if he’s going to walk that many batters. You start giving out that many free passes, it’s just a matter of time before you get burned.
Yes, his stuff clearly is electric. He’s as advertised in the strikeout rate, but it’s just not enough. In his last 10 starts he’s walked three or more six times, including two games of five walks and one of six. Considering he’s doing that at Triple-A, against less disciplined hitters, could you imagine what could happen in the major leagues?
His last outing came on June 7, featuring a line of 2.0 IP having allowed 7 ER on 6 H and 6 BB, striking out 1.
Yes, it’s one start, but five outings ago it was 8 ER over 3.1 IP. These blowups are happening way too often and the control has been just hideous.
Considering the success of Mike Leake, who joins Bronson Arroyo, Aaron Harang & Johnny Cueto, it seems impossible that Chapman gets an opportunity to make any type of an impact in 2010. Even if he gets a chance, it seems like he’s more of a young Jonathan Sanchez, meaning you just never know if he is going to throw strikes.
He has the potential to be a fantasy ace, we all know that, but if you are looking to win in 2010 he has little value to you. Keep that in mind.
What are your thoughts on Chapman? Do you think he could hold value in 2010? How good do you think he could be long-term? Is he a player you are willing to see to go for a 2010 title?
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