Top 15 Catchers for 2011: An Extremely Early Second Look

Both Carlos Santana and Buster Posey have paid immediate dividends for fantasy owners and have made an impact on our early 2011 rankings.  Let’s take a look at how things currently look (remember, these remain extremely early rankings and will likely significantly change as the season progresses):

  1. Joe Mauer – Minnesota Twins
  2. Brian McCann – Atlanta Braves
  3. Victor Martinez – Boston Red Sox
  4. Carlos Santana – Cleveland Indians
  5. Miguel Montero – Arizona Diamondbacks
  6. Buster Posey – San Francisco Giants
  7. Kurt Suzuki – Oakland Athletics
  8. Matt Wieters – Baltimore Orioles
  9. Geovany Soto – Chicago Cubs
  10. Jorge Posada – New York Yankees
  11. Mike Napoli – Los Angeles Angels
  12. John Buck – Toronto Blue Jays
  13. Ryan Doumit – Pittsburgh Pirates
  14. Bengie Molina – Texas Rangers
  15. Miguel Olivo – Colorado Rockies

Thoughts:

  • It’s become more and more evident that last season’s power surge was the aberration, and Mauer’s grasp on the top spot may be slipping slightly because of it.  For now, with the average and RBI potential, it’s impossible to move him down, however.  A big two months from Brian McCann could change that.
  • Carlos Santana has lived up to the hype and then some in quick order.  He has the look of a young Victor Martinez, which certainly is all you need to know.
  • It has been a tremendous start for Buster Posey, hitting .353 with 8 HR in just 170 AB.  He also has an inflated BABIP (.361) and HR/FB (17.0%).  There’s a lot to like and he’s a great option, but I would still place him just outside the Top 5.
  • Matt Wieters has struggled mightily, but the potential is still there.  That’s certainly more then enough to keep him as a starter in all formats.
  • The numbers for John Buck are actually not unrealistic.  His career HR/FB is 12.7%, and this season he’s at 15.7 %.  There’s no reason to think that he can’t continue to slug, the only question is if J.P. Arencibia will force the Blue Jays to send him packing.  If that happens, where he lands will affect his value.
  • Miguel Olivo barely holds his spot on this list, but his own teammate, Chris Iannetta, can easily supplant him by year’s end.

What are your thoughts on these rankings?  Who is being overvalued?  Who is being undervalued?

Make sure to check out our other extremely early 2011 rankings:

11 comments

  1. carlito says:

    Montero is being platooned now. IMO he is barely top 10.

  2. Rotoprofessor says:

    The only reason Montero has lost playing time is so the Diamondbacks could showcase Chris Snyder for trade. He’s a catcher that hits in the middle of the order and can hit over .300. There’s a lot of value there.

  3. ClayHenry says:

    Soto will keep climbing the charts.

  4. RY says:

    I am going to agree with ClayHenry, Soto’s skills are undervalued. He’s basically been the same hitter since he was called up (excellent batting eye and good pop) . The injury filled (and unlucky) 2009 and the early season platooning of 2010, are things of the past. He’ll push the top 5 of this list in 2011, just like he’s pushing it now. He’s not as sexy as Posey, Santana, or Wieters. But, at 27 he’s primed for production IMO.
    I like Montero but, in reality he’s a .280 hitter at best, not a .300 hitter. He’s only hit over .300 once (in 2006 @ AA) , and even this season his .307 avg. is supported by a .379 BABIP.

  5. RY says:

    was AAA i guess not AA … don’t get me wrong btw.. I love the work you’re doing her Prof, keep it up 🙂

  6. GT says:

    I think the anti-Olivo agenda is ridiculous. He still plays half of his games in Denver. Can you say after the last few seasons that Bengie Molina and Doumit are more rosterable than Olivo?

  7. OS says:

    How can this guy call himself an expert on fantasy baseball if he leaves Jonathan Lucroy of this list?

    The dude can friggen hit!And throw runners out!

    You just watch next year he will be better than your #10

  8. RY says:

    Lucroy is a decent catcher in real baseball but, to think he’ll be a top 10+ fantasy catcher (ever; not just 2011) is either a leap of faith from a Brewers fan or relative (Papa Lucroy perhaps?).

  9. vicious van says:

    ahhhh no mention of Arencibia? I’d wipe my a$$ with this list of it were in print

  10. Rotoprofessor says:

    I’m a big Arencibia fan, but there a few things to remember. At the time of this list, there was no guarantee that he was going to be recalled this season. There also has got to be concerns, especially in the average department, about what he can do in the Majors, as he has had strikeout problems in the past.

    Let’s not get too crazy over just one game, though there is a very good chance he makes the cut the next time around.

  11. jesse says:

    i think soto and napoli are more proven then posey and santana. noone can question the ceiling of those 2 cause they are two of the best catching prospects of this century.. however i personally would rather take soto or napoli unless its a keeper league in which case buster posey and santana are no brainers. i think olivo is slightly too low.. i agree platooning with ianetta and a lack of longevity of this success hurts him but i think he could push top 10. i think you gave up on yadier to quick.. while i think hes way overated i also think he is at least deserving of a top 15 spot. but other then that this is a pretty well done list.

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