Top 15 Shortstops For 2011

There has been very little movement among shortstops in recent weeks, but that doesn’t mean that there is little to talk about.  Who should we target?  Who should we pass on?  Let’s take a look at how my rankings currently look as we get close to draft day:

  1. Hanley Ramirez – Florida Marlins
  2. Troy Tulowitzki – Colorado Rockies
  3. Jose Reyes – New York Mets
  4. Elvis Andrus – Texas Rangers
  5. Jimmy Rollins – Philadelphia Phillies
  6. Derek Jeter – New York Yankees
  7. Alexei Ramirez – Chicago White Sox
  8. Starlin Castro – Chicago Cubs
  9. Stephen Drew – Arizona Diamondbacks
  10. Alcides Escobar – Kansas City Royals
  11. Ian Desmond – Washington Nationals
  12. Juan Uribe – Los Angeles Dodgers
  13. Jhonny Peralta – Detroit Tigers
  14. Rafael Furcal – Los Angeles Dodgers
  15. J.J. Hardy – Baltimore Orioles

Thoughts:

  • Both Jose Reyes and Jimmy Rollins are heading into a contract year and have a lot of money sitting on the table.  Think they are going to be motivated to produce?  Click here for my thoughts on them and three other contract year players for 2011.
  • Troy Tulowitzki or Hanley Ramirez?  Hanley Ramirez or Troy Tulowitzki?  Can you really go wrong with either?
  • Are you willing to gamble on Rafael Furcal and his health?  Granted, there is plenty of potential production there, but his constant injuries make him a tremendous risk.  I’d much rather have him as an insurance policy to a high-upside option (Starlin Castro, Alcides Escobar, Ian Desmond, etc).  For more on why, click here.
  • I know Alcides Escobar disappointed in 2010, especially in the stolen base department, but that had as much to do with the Brewers philosophy as it did Escobar’s ability.  Let us not forget that he is just a year removed from stealing 42 bases at Triple-A in 430 AB.  His 10 SB from ’10 is not indicative of his ability and I would expect him to take a huge leap forward in his new surroundings.
  • Alexei Ramirez is one of those players that always seems to struggle early in the season, isn’t he?  In 2009 he hit .214 with 1 HR and 9 RBI in April.  In 2010 he hit .221 with 1 HR and 8 RBI in the opening month.  Just be prepared to deal with a slow start in 2011, in case he isn’t able to reverse that trend.  Regardless, by year’s end he is going to be among the better options.
  • How much does Derek Jeter have left in the tank?  We’ll soon find out, but considering his career .356 BABIP there is a lot of reason to think that he will rebound.  His .307 from 2010 was actually a career low.

**** Make sure to order your copy of the Rotoprofessor 2011 Fantasy Baseball Draft Guide, selling for just $5, by clicking here. ****

Make sure to check out our 2011 rankings:

 

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7 Responses to Top 15 Shortstops For 2011

  1. You got Elvis Andrus WAY too high. He is one of the most overrated players in the game. No HR and RBI, a .265 average, and now he is no longer hitting leadoff. Jeter, Rollins, and Ramirez all ahead of him for sure.

    • Rotoprofessor says:

      Mike, I do see your point, but I am a believer in him. He’s not going to hit 20 HR, but I can’t ignore the 7 he hit in his rookie year, either. It wouldn’t be shocking to see him in the 5-8 range, which is just fine as long as he continues to run.

      Plus, in that lineup I do think he is still going to score, regardless of it he hits 1 or 2.

      You have to consider his age and project a little bit of growth. I could see the argument for Rollins and Ramirez (I do think all three are close as I have them within a few dollars of eachother), but I can’t rank Jeter ahead of him. I do think Jeter is going to rebound, but he’s not the same player that he once was and he is not a great source of any one category (except maybe runs).

      Would it be a big surprise if Andrus hit .295 with 90+ R and over 40 SB? I don’t think that’s unrealistic at all.

      • Merlin says:

        No I don’t see him hitting .290 or Stealing 40 or hitting over 5 HR’s… he’s hit .265 and .267 in his first two years and hit .275 in the minors.The only category he beats Jeter in is SBs

  2. Andrew says:

    Peralta plays for the Tigers now.

    You don’t think a healthy Mike Aviles can build on last year’s numbers? I know we’re not talking about anything too exciting here, but some are ranking him in the 10-12 range.

    • Rotoprofessor says:

      Aviles actually only played 13 games at SS last season, so in the majority of leagues he isn’t going to be eligible there. Even if he was, he’d be borderline.

      To me, outside of average, we could be talking about under 10 HR, under 10 SB and little R and RBI upside. I’d much rather take the risk on someone who can contribute somewhere, as opposed to someone who just isn’t going to hurt me.

  3. Landers says:

    Reports are that Alexei has added around eight pounds of muscle in the off-season. Maybe a HR ceiling of 23-25 this year? I’m in a 10-team keeper league and can’t decide if it’s worth holding onto him at 10th rd value over Rasmus at 20th rd. or Oswalt at 13th rd. Scarcity definitely factors in.

    • Rotoprofessor says:

      That seems about right for Alexei in regards to HR. To try and get an idea of who I’d keep of the three, let’s see where I am projecting each player for a 10-team league:

      Ramirez – 9th
      Oswalt – 9th
      Rasmus – 7th

      I like Rasmus best of the three and I also think he gives you the best value. That’s who I would keep.

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