Buy ‘Em or Deny ‘Em: Are Maikel Franco & Cesar Hernandez Destined To Lose Their Value In ’18?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

The Philadelphia Phillies are clearly a team in transition, and they started the process of remaking their infield over the winter as they signed Carlos Santana to man first base and jettisoned Freddy Galvis to clear shortstop for J.P. Crawford…  Of course you can argue that the Galvis deal could benefit Scott Kingery, as it gives the team more flexibility (potentially shifting Hernandez to shortstop or third base to clear second base).  However you want to cut it, the pressure is on the veterans to produce or they are going to be left without a role.

Can Cesar Hernandez and/or Maikel Franco hold down a job all season long?  Let’s take a look:

 

Maikel Franco
Once a much hyped prospect himself, Franco has disappointed upon reaching the Majors.  He’s flashed at least a little power, but the average has regressed with each season:

  • 2015 – .280
  • 2016 – .255
  • 2017 – .234

Read more

Looking At The 10 Worst Hitter’s SwStr% From 2017: Joey Gallo, Tim Anderson & More

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

When we look at the potential risk in a hitter’s strikeout rate one of the stats we factor in is his SwStr%.  Obviously an elevated mark doesn’t mean that strikeouts are a given, but it makes it more likely.  Think about it, the more times you swing and miss the higher the strikeout rate will likely be…  It’s simple logic and makes sense, so which hitters carried the highest SwStr% in ’17?  Let’s take a look:

1) Joey Gallo – 19.3%
2) Javier Baez – 19.2%
3) Avisail Garcia – 16.3%
4) Corey Dickerson – 15.5%
5) Tim Anderson – 15.2%
6) Tim Beckham – 15.0% Read more

Buy ‘Em or Deny ‘Em: Will Nomar Mazara “Rebound” From A Somewhat Disappointing 2017?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

It’s hard to label a player with 101 RBI as a disappointment, but you certainly can argue that the Rangers’ Nomar Mazara didn’t quite live up to expectations in 2017.  Just look at the numbers he produced:

554 At Bats
.253 Batting Average (140 Hits)
20 Home Runs
101 RBI
64 Runs
2 Stolen Bases
.323 On Base Percentage
.422 Slugging Percentage
.293 Batting Average on Balls in Play

Outside of the RBI it’s easy to argue that he wasn’t a significant contributor in any category.  The home runs and average were pedestrian while he offered no speed and was below average in terms of runs scored.  That could easily lead to him being ignored on draft day, but is that really prudent? Read more

Quick Hit: Why A.J. Pollock Is Worth The “Reach” In The Fifth Round Of Drafts

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Over the past two years the Diamondbacks’ A.J. Pollock has missed significant time due to injury, and that has clearly had an impact on his perceived fantasy appeal.  No one is going to argue the upside potential, but look at his games played over the past two years:

  • 2016 – 12
  • 2017 – 112

You could have all the talent in the world, but if you aren’t on the field it’s impossible to show it off.  Should the injuries deter you from making the selection, though?

Speed is at a bit of a premium, with power growing across the game, and players who bring more than “empty” speed are that much more valuable.  That’s the potential you get with Pollock, which he showed in his abbreviated time on the field last season as he hit .266 with 14 HR, 49 RBI, 73 R and 20 SB. Read more

2018 Projection: Is Justin Turner Destined To Disappoint? It Would Appear So…

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Justin Turner is coming off a monster 2017 campaign, despite playing in just 130 games, as he produced like one of the elite bats.  Can anyone argue with these types of numbers:

457 At Bats
.322 Batting Average (147 Hits)
21 Home Runs
71 RBI
72 Runs
7 Stolen Bases
.415 On Base Percentage
.530 Slugging Percentage
.326 Batting Average on Balls in Play

The number that obviously jumps out at you is his average, especially as a career .289 hitter.  It wasn’t significant luck that brought him to the gaudy number, so what led to it?  Is it something he can maintain?  Let’s take a look: Read more

Rankings Review: Why Alex Bregman Falls Below Anthony Rendon & Jake Lamb On Our 3B Rankings

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Alex Bregman is going to be a popular selection as we head into 2018, and given his skills and upside it makes sense.  However he checked in at #8 on our 3B rankings (click here to view), while many view him as a borderline Top 5 option at the position.  Are we “low” on him?  Does he belong ahead of Jake Lamb or Anthony Rendon, the two names that others typically have below him?

 

Alex Bregman
Don’t make the mistake of viewing the #8 ranking as a knock against him, because we are high on Bregman and the upside he showed in the second half of ’17.  The best way to summarize it is to look at our summary from the 2018 Rotoprofessor Fantasy Baseball Draft Guide: Read more