The Four Point Play: Highlighting DFS Targets For 10/25/16 Games

by Will Overton

It’s here everybody! It is opening night in the NBA and I cannot wait. The NBA may be getting a little bit overshadowed by the World Series, but this would be a good night to have your channel changing finger ready to roll because you don’t want to miss these NBA games.

With the NBA back in action that means that NBA DFS is back in action tonight too and so it’s time to either start winning or losing some money on a nightly basis, what could be better.

We will do what we can to help you out in the process and get you on the winning side of things. I am going to give you my top three plays of the night and then throw in some bonus notes for you as well as part of our four point play breakdown. Let’s get to breaking down this slate: Read more

Examining Position Scarcity: What Positions Should You Target Early

by Ray Lin

There are a number of things people typically consider when deciding between a handful of players during a draft: previous season performance, career trajectory, surrounding cast, coaching scheme, etc. When things get into the middle and late rounds, however, one inevitable question comes up — which position should I draft for?

It’s partly a loaded question: if you’ve already maxed out at a certain position, you’re not gonna keep cramming eggs into that basket. However, if you’ve got a utility spot to occupy or can’t decide whether you should address shooting guard or power forward first, that’s where perhaps some stats can help you make an informed decision.

So this is what I did: I went to ESPN’s Player Rater for the 2015-2016 season and extracted all the data for the Top 200 players by ranking in that system’s year-end list. For the ease of analysis, let’s just take the primary position listed for those who are eligible at multiple. Read more

2016 – 2017 Rankings: Top 30 Power Forwards And Position Breakdown

by Will Overton

We’re only a few days away from tip off to the NBA season and so we are going to wrap up our rankings with power forwards and centers this weekend. Power Forward isn’t the strongest of positions, but there are plenty of good options and guys ready to break into the upper tier:

1)      Anthony Davis – New Orleans Pelicans
2)      Paul Millsap – Atlanta Hawks
3)      Draymond Green – Golden State Warriors
4)      LaMarcus Aldridge – San Antonio Spurs
5)      Blake Griffin – Los Angeles Clippers
6)      Serge Ibaka – Orlando Magic
7)      Kristaps Porzingis – New York Knicks
8)      Kevin Love – Cleveland Cavaliers
9)      Derrick Favors – Utah Jazz
10)   Nerlens Noel – Philadelphia 76ers Read more

Deep Sleeper Roundup: Old Faces in New Places

by Ray Lin

This past offseason was dominated by big-name free agency thanks to the likes of Kevin Durant, LeBron James, Andre Drummond, Al Horford and Mike Conley just to name a few. These guys obviously impact only the early rounds of fantasy drafts.

For those of us who play in deeper leagues, though, it’s some of the lesser-owned free agents who have our attention. These are players who are end-game options in drafts or even waiver-wire watch list material (depending on the size of the league). Below, I look at interesting sleepers who switched teams over the offseason and are owned in 15% of Yahoo leagues or less.

Matthew Dellavedova, PG/SG – Milwaukee (14% owned)
Last season as a starter (with CLE): 14 games, 29 mpg, 45.2 FG%, 92.9 FT%
9.4 ppg, 5.8 apg, 2.7 rpg, 0.5 spg, 1.7 3PM Read more

2016 – 2017 Rankings: Top 30 Small Forwards And Position Breakdown

by Will Overton

The small forward position is the cream of the crop in this year’s fantasy basketball world, especially at the top. There could be as many as five small forwards selected in the first round of fantasy basketball drafts this season. It’s not just top heavy either with some good young talent in the middle rounds as well:

1)      Kevin Durant – Golden State Warriors
2)      Kawhi Leonard – San Antonio Spurs
3)      LeBron James – Cleveland Cavaliers
4)      Paul George – Indiana Pacers
5)      Giannis Antetokounmpo – Milwaukee Bucks
6)      Carmelo Anthony – New York Knicks
7)      Gordon Hayward – Utah Jazz
8)      Danilo Gallinari – Denver Nuggets
9)      Rudy Gay – Sacramento Kings
10)   Chandler Parsons – Memphis Grizzlies Read more

2016 – 2017 Rankings: Top 30 Shooting Guards And Position Breakdown

by Will Overton

Shooting Guard is sometimes one of the weaker positions and can often be a bit top heavy, but there are some really solid young wings who have sparked life into the position. The position has gone from top heavy to pretty deep with some exciting young guys to watch. Here is how I have the top 30 shaking out:

1)      James Harden – Houston Rockets
2)      Jimmy Butler – Chicago Bulls
3)      Eric Bledsoe – Phoenix Suns
4)      C.J. McCollum – Portland Trail Blazers
5)      Klay Thompson – Golden State Warriors
6)      Victor Oladipo – Oklahoma City Thunder
7)      DeMar DeRozan – Toronto Raptors
8)      Andrew Wiggins – Minnesota Timberwolves
9)      Nicolas Batum – Charlotte Hornets
10)   Bradley Beal – Washington Wizards Read more

2016 – 2017 Rankings: Top 30 Point Guards And Position Breakdown

by Will Overton

It’s draft time folks and that means it’s time to bust out some rankings. We are going to be looking at each position’s top 30 while also breaking down out sleepers, busts and deep sleepers. The top of the point guard list is one of the most top heavy in the game and it’s not easy to differentiate between these guys. Let’s get to work breaking down how we see it falling out:

1)      Russell Westbrook – Oklahoma City Thunder
2)      Stephen Curry – Golden State Warriors
3)      Chris Paul – Los Angeles Clippers
4)      Damian Lillard – Portland Trail Blazers
5)      John Wall – Washington Wizards
6)      Kyrie Irving – Cleveland Cavaliers
7)      Kyle Lowry – Toronto Raptors
8)      Kemba Walker – Charlotte Hornets Read more

Stats Breakdown: Using Rebounding Rate To Identify Fantasy Basketball Rebound Standouts

by Ray Lin

Only looking at rebounds per game isn’t looking at the bigger picture. If someone plays significantly more minutes than someone else of similar rebounding skill level, naturally it wouldn’t be surprising for the first guy to have a higher RPG.

However, if we look at it by an per rebounding opportunity basis, we get a much better read on who is really the most efficient on the glass. Let’s use ESPN’s defensive and offensive rebounding rates to examine 6 players who may have been better rebounders than you thought. Rebounding rate is the percentage of missed shots that a player rebounds.

We’ll look at all of the players who played less than 30 minutes per game but ranked in the Top 10 of either Defensive Rebounding Rate and/or Offensive Rebounding Rate. Let’s take a look: Read more

Rotoprofessor Roundtable: Who Should Be This Year’s Number One Pick?

It’s not often you get the number one pick in a fantasy draft, or at least I don’t get it very often. If you happen to have the first pick in your draft this season you have a tough choice on your hand with three very good options at the top that I have heard tossed around as the number one pick.

Here at RotoProfessor the writers have some dissenting opinions on the question of who is number one and so we have each taken a different side and will argue the case for each of our guys to be the number one pick. At the end you can decide who you think truly deserves to be number one:

Will Overton: James Harden – Houston Rockets

The race for number one is tight and while I can see the argument for any of these three guys, I have to give the nod to James Harden and I’m going to do so for a few reasons. One of the first things you can do is look at his stats from last season: Read more

Rotation Watch: Can Anyone Emerge From Philadelphia’s Backcourt As Fantasy Relevant?

by Will Overton

The preseason is upon us and it’s time for fantasy owners to really be kicking their scouting and draft preparation into another gear. There is going to be a whole lot of stuff to watch as the preseason unfolds so it’s important that you know what specific things to watch for and focus in on.

One team that I am going to be paying a lot of attention to this preseason is the Philadelphia 76ers. We all know that bad teams can often create good fantasy players out of pretty mediocre talent. So when I’m in the middle rounds I’ll lean towards a guy who may get 30 MPG on a bad team over a more talented player who is getting less playing time on a better team. Read more