Archive for Player Analysis

Stats Breakdown: Using Rebounding Rate To Identify Fantasy Basketball Rebound Standouts

by Ray Lin

Only looking at rebounds per game isn’t looking at the bigger picture. If someone plays significantly more minutes than someone else of similar rebounding skill level, naturally it wouldn’t be surprising for the first guy to have a higher RPG.

However, if we look at it by an per rebounding opportunity basis, we get a much better read on who is really the most efficient on the glass. Let’s use ESPN’s defensive and offensive rebounding rates to examine 6 players who may have been better rebounders than you thought. Rebounding rate is the percentage of missed shots that a player rebounds.

We’ll look at all of the players who played less than 30 minutes per game but ranked in the Top 10 of either Defensive Rebounding Rate and/or Offensive Rebounding Rate. Let’s take a look: Read more

Rotation Watch: Can Anyone Emerge From Philadelphia’s Backcourt As Fantasy Relevant?

by Will Overton

The preseason is upon us and it’s time for fantasy owners to really be kicking their scouting and draft preparation into another gear. There is going to be a whole lot of stuff to watch as the preseason unfolds so it’s important that you know what specific things to watch for and focus in on.

One team that I am going to be paying a lot of attention to this preseason is the Philadelphia 76ers. We all know that bad teams can often create good fantasy players out of pretty mediocre talent. So when I’m in the middle rounds I’ll lean towards a guy who may get 30 MPG on a bad team over a more talented player who is getting less playing time on a better team. Read more

Buyer Beware: What Should We Make Of Dennis Schroder’s ADP Rise?

by Will Overton

There is a growing buzz in fantasy basketball circles around Dennis Schroder and his upside now that he has taken over full time starting point guard duties. Watching ADP reports can be a very telling thing early on in the draft season. You learn which guys are really rising up the list, and one of those guys is Dennis Schroder.

On ESPN just in the last week has risen from being the 101st pick overall on average to the 72nd pick overall. Meanwhile on Yahoo! the average draft pick slot for Schroder is up to 65 and it’s also rising there.

When Schroder was going around 90 – 100 on ESPN he was a value pick, a steal really. Now that he has jumped into the sixth round range though, is he still a good value? And with the way and the rate he is climbing, I assume he’ll jump another 10 – 15 spots still potentially. So let’s dive into just how high you should be taking Schroder and where his true value lies. Read more

Back From The Dead: Has Michael Beasley’s Fantasy Career Been Resurrected?

by Will Overton

Our world seems to have an obsession with Zombies these days. It’s the big thing on TV and in movies and also in books. Everyone loves a good zombie story and we have a zombie story of our own taking place in fantasy basketball right before our eyes, playing out over the last month.

That’s right folks, it seems as though Michael Beasley, once written off as a dead man to fantasy owners, has come back to life and is suddenly on a whole bunch of radars with the way he has been playing for the Houston Rockets since they signed him at the beginning of March.

Over the course of his 12 games with the Rockets, not including last night’s game, Beasley has put up the following numbers:

19.2 Minutes Per Game
54.1 Field Goal Percentage
72.4 Free Throw Percentage Read more

Ray McCallum is a Name to Know

by Ray Kuhn

Alright, let’s state the obvious. We are now in a confusing time for fantasy basketball. Teams are gearing up for their playoff runs, teams are fighting to make the playoffs, and there are teams merely playing out the string.

Injuries are catching up to players, some performances are beginning to suffer, and players who were previously unknown are beginning to emerge. Players are going from the waiver wire to the starting lineup and literally becoming valuable fantasy options over nigh after previously being unknown.

Read more

The Coming Out Party Of Alex Len

by Will Overton

Last night was an off night for Alex Len offensively when he shot just 2 – 13 from the field for four points total. However, this was just the first time in 10 games that Len has failed to reach double digit points and despite one poor outing, it really doesn’t derail what has been a coming out party of late for Len.

The Phoenix Suns took Alex Len with the fifth pick overall in the 2013 draft out of the University of Maryland. When the Suns took him they knew there was work to be done, but after barely playing at all for a season and a half I think fantasy owners and Suns fans started to forget about him. Then he started to work his way onto the peripheral of our minds in the second half of last season with some signs of dominant rebounding and shot blocking ability while still demonstrating a very raw offensive game. Read more

Why Fantasy Basketball Owners Should Learn The Name Jerami Grant

by Will Overton

It’s pretty easy to overlook players on a team as bad as the Philadelphia 76ers, especially when their rotation seems to change all the time. My guess is most NBA fans out there couldn’t name more than two, or maybe three players on the team right now. There’s one name not a lot of people know right now that they should though…

That name is Jerami Grant. The Sixers athletic big man has had a chance to put his talents on display a bit over the last couple weeks why Jahlil Okafor and Nerlens Noel are dealing with injuries, and it’s hard to not like what we have seen, even though not a lot of people saw it.

Part of the reason might not be getting noticed is that his offensive game still leaves a little to be desired. Grant has had his moments on offense, but the consistency has not been there and he too often goes multiple games in a row with single digit point totals. Read more

Future Forecast: Where Is Justice Winslow’s Fantasy Ceiling And Can He Get There

by Will Overton

The 2015 NBA draft class is going to be looked back on very fondly 10 years from now I think, because there are going to be a lot of role players and names still bringing value to NBA teams. One of the names who is intriguing to me from a fantasy standpoint is Justice Winslow, who was the 10th overall pick by the Miami Heat.

Winslow was overlooked by a lot of teams on draft night, projected to be a top five pick and falling all the way to 10. After 56 games this season I think it’s clear some teams made big mistakes by passing on this guy and he’s one of those names we’ll be looking back on in 10 years playing a decent size role on an NBA team. Winslow is an X-Factor kind of player who doesn’t always standout in the box scores, but does all kinds of little things to impact his team. Read more

Does Danilo Gallinari’s Sprained Ankle Open Up Fantasy Basketball Doors In Denver?

by Will Overton

The oft-injured Danilo Gallinari is back on the injury report for the Denver Nuggets after an MRI reveals a badly sprained ankle. Gallinari is expected to be out for three to four weeks at least with this injury and he has been known to miss more time than expected.

This is a tough blow to fantasy owners because Gallinari was really having a nice season, averaging 19.5 PPG so far. Fantasy owners are tasked with finding a replacement for Gallinari now. We are going to look and see if there is anyone in Denver who could become waiver wire gold here, but we’ll also talk about other guys who are already owned who are affected positively.

If we are starting by looking to the waiver wire, the guy we should probably be talking about is JaKarr Sampson who the Nuggets recently signed to a multi-year deal. Sampson is 6’9, but despite the height plays a lot at shooting guard, while also running at small forward too. Read more

Myles Turner is Turning Into a Legit Option

by Ray Kuhn

It seemed to be a foregone conclusion. Karl-Anthony Towns would be the Rookie of the Month for the entire season in the Western Conference, and Kristaps Porzingas would receive the same honor in the Eastern Conference. However Porzingas appears to have hit a rookie wall, and Myles Turner is poised to take his place.

After spending one season in college with Texas, Turner was drafted more on his potential than his actual performance. Turner averaged 22 minutes a game last season and scored 10.1 points and 6.5 rebounds per game. With a little less than two months to go in Turner’s debut season, the forward is poised to eclipse that performance.

On the season, entering Wednesday night’s game, Turner appeared in 34 games and was averaged 10.4 points, 5.1 rebounds, and 1.6 blocks per game. Over the past month though, things have begun to pick up for Turner. And he has certainly proven that he is worthy of the increased role.

First, let’s take a look at one of the most important factors for a rookie to deal with. Aside from the learning curve of adjusting to NBA action, the physical stress of an increased workload is a lot to deal with. As the Pacers increased Turner’s workload, they made sure to also make sure his body can withstand the physical demands (click here for an in depth profile of Turner as he progresses through his rookie season). There are few times when a player’s diet is noteworthy, but this is one of them.

“After the brief call, Turner devours his tortellini and cheese bread. He tries to eat as many carbs as possible because with all this newfound playing time, he’s losing so much weight. Turner will need the added pounds and strength, because the Pacers will need him.”

Other than the note about Turner’s diet, the article provides a great deal of insight into how hard the rookie works and how committed he is to being a successful professional. The fact that Turner missed 20 games with a thumb injury in November helped control his workload this season and also gave him time to work on his game.

The benefits of that are now being realized as Turner is seeing his role increased, especially late in games (click here for the article).

“I’m very comfortable in any situation with him shooting from the perimeter and catches inside,” Vogel said of Turner after Monday’s game. “He’s a great finisher.”

In the last month, Turner is averaging 13.6 points, 7.1 rebounds, and 2.2 blocks per game while shooting 51.7% points per game and averaging about 31 minutes a night. Against the Knicks on Wednesday, Turner scored 24 points in 30 minutes while also picking up six rebounds.

Ultimately, this is a sign of things to come for Turner who we must remember is still just 19 years old.