Today is the day that everything kicks off and if last night’s craziness is any indication there is going to be a lot of things changing, or maybe David Stern won’t allow anything to change, who knows. Instead of waiting for things to sort out we need to get something going right now to help you prepare for your fantasy drafts. So with in mind here is my shooting guard breakdown.
The class of shooting guards has a pretty sharp fall off from really good tier 1 & 2 players to question marks in a hurry. But it is also a deep class in terms of players who can contribute to a fantasy team. Shooting Guard is filled primarily with category specialist type players rather than all-around players, but that’s not necessarily a bad thing because those kind of players are needed to fill out a team too.
Here is my top 40 rankings and sleepers and busts:
- Dwayne Wade – Miami Heat
- Monta Ellis – Golden State Warriors
- Kobe Bryant – Los Angeles Lakers
- Eric Gordon – Los Angeles Clippers
- Tyreke Evans – Sacramento Kings
- Kevin Martin – Houston Rockets
- Andre Iguodala – Philadelphia 76ers
- Manu Ginobili – SG, San Antonio Spurs
- Joe Johnson – Atlanta Hawks
- Stephen Jackson – Milwaukee Bucks
- James Harden – Oklahoma City Thunder
- Marcus Thornton – Free Agent
- Ray Allen – Boston Celtics
- Wesley Matthews – Portland Trail Blazers
- Jason Terry – Dallas Mavericks
- Jordan Crawford – Washington Wizards
- Jason Richardson – Free Agent
- Brandon Roy – Portland Trail Blazers
- Rodney Stuckey – Detroit Pistons
- DeMar DeRozan – Toronto Raptors
- Gerald Henderson – Charlotte Bobcats
- Tony Allen – Memphis Grizzlies
- Nick Young – Free Agent
- Jamal Crawford – Free Agent
- Gilbert Arenas – Orlando Magic
- Aaron Afflalo – Free Agent
- Anthony Morrow – New Jersey Nets
- Wesley Johnson – Minnesota Timberwolves
- Ben Gordon – Detroit Pistons
- O.J. Mayo – Memphis Grizzlies
- Rudy Fernandez – Dallas Mavericks
- Landry Fields – New York Knicks
- Daniel Gibson – Cleveland Cavaliers
- Evan Turner – Philadelphia 76ers
- Jodie Meeks – Philadelphia 76ers
- Vince Carter – Phoenix Suns
- Richard Hamilton – Detroit Pistons
- J.J. Reddick – Orlando Magic
- Rodrigue Beaubois – Dallas Mavericks
- Klay Thompson – Golden State Warriors
Sleeper: Gerald Henderson – I ranked Henderson 21st which is higher than I have seen him ranked on most other sites. And I would honestly rank him even high if I knew how the backcourt situation in Charlotte was going to pan out with D.J. Augustin, Kemba Walker and Henderson. There are some concerns about Henderson’s health after having off-season hip surgery. But he says he is 100% and reports are he is looking good. The Bobcats brought in Corey Maggette to be the top scorer, but Henderson could take the role from him. Henderson took a nice step forward in just his second season especially in the second half once he had minutes. Henderson averaged 14.3 PPG, 3.6 RPG and 1.2 SPG after the all-star break, including 16.3 PPG over the season’s last eight games. While Henderson has some things to improve on, like finding a jumper, he should step right in and score 15+ points per game this season along with 4 boards and 1+ steals. Hard not to like that considering where you can draft him.
Deep Sleeper: Daniel Gibson – Someone in Cleveland is going to have to score, and while I think Antwan Jamison will do a lot of it, Daniel Gibson should carry a nice load if he gets the starting two-guard job as expected. In the 15 games that Gibson started last season he put up the following numbers: 13.7 PPG, 3.5 RPG, 3.1 APG, 1.1 SPG and 2.3 3PG. As long as Gibson can hold on to this job, and he should, he’s going to be a nice deep sleeper. His specialty is points and threes, but he can add more and you can’t help but like what might come of starters minutes.
Bust: Wesley Matthews – Some people have Wesley Matthews as a top ten guy at shooting guard, but I don’t know if I can trust his playing time enough for that. As of right now the reports are that Brandon Roy is going to stay in town and be starting at shooting guard. Granted with Roy’s knee problems he will miss some games and have his minutes monitored closely, but it won’t be easy for Matthews to get to 33 minutes per game. Gerald Wallace being in town now also means Nicolas Batum is coming off the bench too which makes things even more crowded for Matthews. Matthews will still score and hit some three’s, but I don’t see him outplaying, or living up to, his average draft position if his minutes decrease which I expect they will.
This is my take on the shooting guard situation in fantasy basketball. What’s your take? Who are your sleepers and busts in this group? Who have I ranked too high or too low? Give me your feedback.