Deep League Sleeper: Now Out Of Colorado, Could Jeff Hoffman Finally Emerge?


The MLB offseason has been relatively slow, and while there have been a few moves it’s easy to ignore the majority of them as you wait for the bigger names to sign. However with each transaction there’s potential for fantasy winners and losers, and earlier this week an under-the-radar trade could have ramifications:

  • Reds Get – RHP Jeff Hoffman & RHP Case Williams
  • Rockies Get – RHP Robert Stephenson & OF Jameson Hannah

The bigger names are Hoffman and Stephenson, who were once hyped but have never seemed to find much success. It’s easy to write-off Stephenson, who has been working in a relief role, now calls Coors Field home and has a pathetic groundball rate (34.3% over 208.0 career IP).

As for Hoffman, he too transitioned to the bullpen last year and struggled mightily (9.28 ERA over 21.1 IP). That’s been the story of his career in the Majors, with a 6.40 career ERA as he’s been consistently burned by home runs (1/79 HR/9). While the numbers haven’t been good anywhere, there has been a distinct split:

  • Home – 7.58 ERA over 130.2 IP
  • Road – 4.86 ERA over 100.0 IP

That at least indicates that there’s a little bit of hope. Is getting out of Coors Field enough of a selling point?

He showed the potential for strikeouts (9.3 K/9) and control (3.5 BB/9) over 359.1 IP at Triple-A, though even that upside is limited. Just consider his 10.1% SwStr% is hardly impressive, and he also struggled to generate a lot of groundballs (44.1%).

Getting out of Coors Field is a positive, but does that mean we should be buying? Not so much.

Sources – Fangraphs, Baseball Reference


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