Dynasty owners are always trying to find the next big thing. They are searching for the next potential breakout prospect who the rest of their league doesn’t yet have on their radars. It’s never easy to find, but here are two names that belong on your radar:
Jarren Duran – Boston Red Sox – Outfielder
A seventh round pick in 2018, Duran is quickly proving that he deserved to be drafted earlier than that. Drafted out of college you could argue that he was simply more advanced than his competition in 2018, when he hit .357 with 3 HR and 24 SB over 283 AB split between Low-A and Single-A. However a promotion to High-A this season hasn’t slowed him down, as he’s hitting .406 with 1 HR and 13 SB over 138 AB.
Of course it’s easy to note that he can’t maintain these averages, given these BABIP (the High-A mark is through Sunday’s game):
- Low-A – .406
- Single-A – .438
- High-A – .524
That’s obviously a red flag, as is his already inflated SwStr% (13.2%). He was better at the lower levels in ’18 (8.9%), but again we have to keep the competition level into account. Now facing more appropriate competition the strikeouts are rising, and that’s going to cause issues ultimately. At the same time there is reason to believe that he’ll improve, as his approach appears to be solid. Just look at this recent quote courtesy of MILB.com:
“Day in, day out, I work on my approach. It’s a challenge every day, every at-bat. I’m staying strong in my approach, not swinging at pitcher’s pitches.”
There’s no questioning his speed, and there also is going to be at least a little bit of power (last year he added 14 doubles and 11 triples). If he can continue to mature at the plate and keep the strikeouts in check the upside is tremendous.
Stock – Rising Quickly
Tyler Ivey – Houston Astros – Right-Handed Pitcher
The Astros always seem to be developing pitchers and Ivey could be developing into the next on the list. He’s only worked 21.0 innings this season (5 appearances, 3 starts), but to call them impressive would be an understatement:
0.86 ERA, 0.76 WHIP, 31 K, 6 BB
His groundball rate is down, at just 31.7%, making his debut at Double-A. That said he owns a 1.24 GO/AO over his minor league career (0.60 this season) and there is hope that he can get back towards that type of level.
If he can, with his ability to miss bats (15.4% SwStr% this season), and the general ability he’s shown to throw strikes and there’s upside potential. Just look at this quote from Baseball America recently:
With three quality pitches in his fastball, curveball and slider and a long track record of throwing strikes, Ivey is increasingly standing out in a pitching-rich Astros system.
As it is there’s reason for optimism, but if he can also rediscover the groundballs? It isn’t a big sample size, but it’s promising all the same. Houston always appears to be spitting out pitching prospects with the potential to make an impact, but Ivey is starting to break through and make you pay attention.
Stock – Rising
Sources – Fangraphs, MILB.com, Baseball America