Fantasy Baseball Sell High Candidates

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by Ryan Lester of Lester’s Legends

Last week we covered the Buy Low Hitters & Pitchers.  Let’s take a look at some guys you should sell off before the smoke clears.

Batters
Michael Young, Texas Rangers – Young is off to a great start.  Sounds familiar to last year when his batting average dropped 46 points after the All-Star Break.  He already has 7 HRs through 30 games.  He only hit 21 his previous 311 games.  He still has the name and numbers to net you a good return.  He’s still very solid and qualifies at 3B & SS so make sure you get a deal you’re happy with. 

Mike Lowell, Boston Red Sox – I know it’s hard to deal away one of the league leaders in RBIs, but he is 35 with an injury history.  Last year the wheels fell off in July for Lowell, and despite a strong September, he still hit .225 after the All-Star Break.

Russell Branyan, Seattle Mariners – Not only is Branyan hitting 45 points above his career mark, his numbers typically take a dip after the All-Star Break.  
   – Before: .235 BA, .505 Slg%, 13.9 AB/HR, 6.0 AB/RBI
   – After: .229 BA, .469 Slg%, 16.7 AB/HR, 6.6 AB/RBI

He’s not a huge name, but maybe you can turn him into a solid little upgrade.

Blue Jays Trio of Adam Lind, Aaron Hill, and Marco Scutaro – Don’t get me wrong, that Blue Jays Offense is humming right now, and I imagine these three will have solid numbers at the end of the year, but they are all playing above their heads right now.  They play in one of the toughest division in baseball.  Now is the perfect time to try and score a struggling star for your league’s cellar dweller.

Pitchers
Wandy Rodríguez, Houston Astros – Wandy is off to a great start, and his value has never been higher after his eight scoreless inning win.  He’s sporting a 1.80 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP.  Historically he is much better before the All-Star Break than after it.
    – Before:  26-22, 4.33 ERA, 1.36 WHIP
    – After:  14-20, 4.96 ERA, 1.42 WHIP

Joe Saunders, Los Angeles Angels – Joe is off to another fine start.  He is coming off a Complete Game Shutout.  He has historically started off great going 24-6 with a 2.97 ERA before August and 13-10 with a 5.01 ERA after.  Not exactly how you want your Pitchers throwing down the stretch.

Jarrod Washburn, Seattle Mariners – Washburn is off to a fantastic start.  That’s the norm for him.  Check out his pre- and post-All-Star Game splits:
   – Before:  66-51, 3.93 ER
   – After:  35-51, 4.34 ERA
Get out why you can.

Brian Bannister, Kansas City Royals – Bannister has been a great story, but I don’t see Cliff Lee, Part II from him.  He’s a .500 Pitcher at best with an ERA around 4.50.  His early dominance will come to an abrupt end.

Middle Relievers such as Jason Frasor, Cla Meredith, and Ramón Ramírez – They are among the league leaders in Wins, but they’ll likely max out around 10 Wins tops.  They have low ERAs and WHIPs, but aren’t contributing much in Strikeouts or Saves. 

To read the previous article, click here.

For more from Ryan Lester, check out Lester’s Legends.

1 COMMENT

  1. I drafted Hill late in a 14 team mixed league and the problem I have with trading someone like him is that you might be able to upgrade at another position, but would you be able to upgrade enough to make up for whom you’d be able to get to start in his place. I would be able to plug in Burriss in his place and get some of the runs and some SB’s but others might not have even that decent one category wonder available. I guess it all depends on exactly how much you see someone dropping off in the second half. If you see them dropping to being unstartable then you must get value while you can, but if they post respectable but not the current worldbeating numbers then you have to look at things differently. I seriously doubt the guy is going to hit 35 dingers, but he’s still extremely valueable with 20 of them and 90 runs for a 2nd basemen and nobody available is likely to exceed that.

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