Late Round Target: Why Corey Coleman Is An Ideal Candidate To Fill Out Your Roster

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Selected 15th overall in the 2016 draft, there were high expectations for Corey Coleman in his rookie season.  However a lot of things came together to help sabotage his campaign:

  1. A broken hand cost him six games early in the season
  2. Poor quarterback play
  3. The emergence of Terrelle Pryor as the Brown’s top wide receiver

Those three things led to an underwhelming 33 receptions for 413 yards and 3 TD.  That said there’s plenty of reason to expect a significant leap forward during his sophomore season.

It’s easy to forget the type of expectations he had entering the NFL, but remember this is what NFL.com said about him prior to the draft: Read more

Draft Day Decision: Is Marshawn Lynch Worth A 2nd Round Draft Pick?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

We all have fond memories of Marshawn Lynch and the numbers he posted while in Seattle.  From 2011-2014 he averaged nearly 1,340 yards and 12 TD per season, so you’d think that he’d be a lock to step right into a prominent role for fantasy owners.  That’s the stance most have taken early on, with an early ADP of 20.0.  In his prime he was a lock to be a first round pick, so at this point he has to be worth a second round pick, right?

While he still has that type of potential, it’s actually easy to say that the risk outweighs the reward.

Sure he was a dominant runner, but we have to keep in mind that he’s now 31-years old and is two years removed from a productive season.  It’s easy to forget that his final year in Seattle (2015) saw him plagued by injuries, as he was limited to 7 games.  Even when he was on the field he wasn’t all that good, with a 3.8 YPC. Read more

Is Mark Ingram Actually A Must Buy RB On Draft Day?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

The addition of Adrian Peterson has caused the draft day stock of Mark Ingram to fall, and it makes sense.  Clearly expectations are that Peterson will be the lead back, with Ingram playing a secondary role.  That said, there are a few key points to remember regarding the veteran:

  1. He’s 32-years old
  2. He played in 3 games in ’16 due to torn meniscus (it’s the second time in three years that he’s played in 3 games or fewer)
  3. He’s never been a significant factor in the passing game

They can’t be ignored, and even if you want to believe that Peterson was imported to be the starter there are multiple scenarios that can lead to a significant role for Ingram: Read more

Fantasy Throwdown: Amari Cooper vs. Michael Thomas: Which Is The WR To Target?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

In the early ADP it appears that fantasy owners prefer the Saints’ Michael Thomas (15.5) over the Raiders’ Amari Cooper (22.0).  All you have to do is look at our rankings (click here to view our early Top 40 WR) to see that we have Cooper ahead, though just slightly, as they come in at #7 and 8.  The two are actually in fairly similar situations, but let’s take a look at why we have them ordered this way.

First, the numbers from ’16:

Player
Receptions
Targets
Yards
TD
Amari Cooper831321,1535
Michael Thomas921221,1379
Read more

2017 Sleeper: Why Zach Ertz Is A Must Target Tight End On Draft Day

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

We have Zach Ertz ranked as our fifth best tight end entering the season, yet according to Fantasy Pros his average ADP is 116.5 (making him the 11th tight end coming off the board).  Being selected before him include some surprising names:

  • Jimmy Graham (5th)
  • Kyle Rudolph (8th)
  • Martellus Bennett (9th)
  • Hunter Henry (10th)

The question is, why the discrepancy?  Why do we believe that he’ll be among the best options, yet early drafters appear to be disregarding him? Read more

Breaking Down The Backfield: San Francisco 49ers: Is Carlos Hyde or Joe Williams The Better Target?

by Ray Kuhn

As we enter the 2017 season expectations are at a minimum for the San Francisco 49ers. They have a new coach in Kyle Shanahan and every role on the team is up for grabs as they search for their new identity.  While San Francisco will be ignored by the NFL observers, we don’t have the same luxury as fantasy players.

Carlos Hyde is currently going off the board in early drafts, putting him as an RB2 in 12 team leagues.  Is he really someone we can trust and rely on, though?

We are still a few weeks away from training camp and exhibition games and reading into beat writer speculation is foolhardy, but the picture being painted isn’t the most optimistic. He hasn’t distinguished himself in his first three years in the NFL, but he was drafted in the second round so there is a pedigree to consider.  Read more

Draft Day Decision: Prioritizing Tampa Bay’s Backfield: Is Doug Martin The Back To Own?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

When you read quotes like this one, courtesy of NFL.com’s Kevin Patra (click here for the full article), it’s easy to get excited about Doug Martin and his outlook for the upcoming season:

“I had a conversation with [Licht]. He said, ‘[Martin] looks lean, he looks like he’s finishing his runs — obviously, there is no contact in the spring — but it looks like he’s finishing his runs. He looks like he’s got that burst. He looks like the Doug Martin of 2015,’” Garafolo said Thursday on NFL Network’s Inside Minicamp Live.

Martin has been one of the more frustrating running backs since entering the league in 2012, at times looking like an elite runner (in 2015 he racked up 1,402 yards and 6 TD).  Of course he’s only played in 16 games twice, and won’t again in ’17 as he will miss the first three games as he finishes his 4 game suspension for PED use.  While he may look good in the spring, that’s already a knock against him as you have to wonder if another could step up and claim the starting job in his absence… Read more

Early 2017 Rankings: Top 40 Wide Receivers: How high Does Michael Thomas Rank & More

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

We all know who the top few wide receivers are, though you could argue the order (Antonio Brown or Odell Beckham Jr.).  After those top few, though, things do start to get a little bit questionable.  Whether it’s a player in a poor situation or questions about health or some other issue, things are definitely in flux.  Let’s take a look at how things currently look, keeping in mind that they will likely change dramatically as we get closer to the start of the season:

  1. Antonio Brown – Pittsburgh Steelers
  2. Odell Beckham Jr. – New York Giants
  3. Julio Jones – Atlanta Falcons
  4. Mike Evans – Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  5. Jordy Nelson – Green Bay Packers
  6. A.J. Green – Cincinnati Bengals
  7. Amari Cooper – Oakland Raiders
  8. Michael Thomas – New Orleans Saints Read more

Late Round Target: Could The Bills’ Zay Jones Prove To Be A Worthy Gamble?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

It was a rather underwhelming season for Buffalo wide receivers and tight ends, especially with Sammy Watkins being limited to eight games and 28 catches.  With their star out of the picture, no one stepped up and claimed the opportunity:

  • Robert Woods – 51 receptions
  • Charles Clay – 57 receptions
  • Marquise Goodwin – 29 receptions

Part of the blame can be put at the feet of Tyrod Taylor, though he did complete 61.7% of his passes for 3,023 yards (188.7 yards per game).  Part of the blame can be put on a run dominated attack, with nearly 500 rushing attempts.  However you slice it, though, the group was bad in ’16 and that should mean opportunity for someone to emerge.  Enter second round selection Zay Jones, who has little competition for a starting role.  Read more

Top 10 Rookie Quarterbacks For 2017: Is There Anyone Who Could Emerge In ’17?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

While there is some potential upside in this year’s quarterback class, it’s hard to imagine much of an impact from any of them in 2017.  That doesn’t mean that there won’t be some production, and maybe someone ultimately emerges, but in one-quarterback leagues we wouldn’t be targeted any of them.  In deeper formats (and in dynasty leagues) it’s a different story, but let’s take a look at the group and see if there is any glimmer of upside:

 

1) Deshaun Watson – Houston Texans
Just looking at the quarterbacks currently on the roster (Watson, Tom Savage and Brandon Weeden) tells us that Watson is highly likely to be starting Week 1.  With one of the better defenses in the league, as well as a potentially strong running game and an elite wide receiver (DeAndre Hopkins), Watson will be asked to manage the games and deliver when the opportunity is there.

Then again there could be a lot of growing pains as he transitions from the spread offense to having to receive the snap from under center.  That alone makes us wonder how productive he can be immediately, as Walter Football described him by saying: Read more