To Draft or Not To Draft: Has Josh Hill Actually Become Undervalued?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

One would’ve thought the Saints’ Josh Hill was going to be an overvalued fantasy commodity entering 2015.  The spotlight was to be shining brightly, with Jimmy Graham sent to Seattle, Kenny Stills dealt to Miami and Marques Colston looking like a shell of his former self.

Yet that hasn’t happened.  His current average ADP is 156.0, putting him as the 19th tight end coming off the board.  That’s behind Vernon Davis, Colby Fleener and a host of other questionable options.  Has it become the case where fantasy owners have “overreacted” to the risk of overvaluing him and have instead undervalued him heading into the season?

Hill went undrafted out of Idaho State and has failed to make an impact over his first two NFL seasons (20 receptions for 220 yards).  Of course he also scored 5 TD last season and has 6 TD for his career.  That’s one heck of a ratio and, at 6’5” and 250 lbs., there’s no reason to think that he isn’t going to be the go to option in the red zone. Read more

Top 10 Running Back Handcuffs For 2015 (Cameron Artis-Payne, Matt Jones & More)

by Ray Kuhn

Things change. Whether you like it or not, they do. It is simply a fact of life and Fantasy Football is not immune to it. The main area where this is noticeable, is in regards to running backs. There are increasingly less situations where just one running back will receive the majority of touches and or obvious reasons this then influences your draft strategy.

The notion of true handcuffs and true sleepers is becoming more and more outdated. There are no longer many situations where you can bank on a running back receiving 25-30 carries a game on a consistent basis or remaining in the game for all three downs. When either is the case and you draft one of those backs, you are going to want to take a hard look at drafting their backup as well (simply for risk management). Drafting a “sleeper” could have more potential upside, but in most cases they are just someone else’s handcuff. Read more

Will Cody Latimer Emerge In 2015? Maybe, But Don’t Pay A Premium For It…

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Jeff Legwold of ESPN recently published the following quote from Denver Broncos’ head coach Gary Kubiak (click here for the article):

You just want to see him making plays,” said Broncos coach Gary Kubiak this week. “He’s a hard worker. He does the right thing. He’s in the right place, but it’s time for him to start making plays on the ball, coming up with big plays. The good news with him is he has worked as basically a starter from OTAs through [training] camp and everything. Everything’s in place for Cody to grow up and have a big year. I like the way he works, [he] just needs to keep coming.”

He certainly didn’t help his cause in the third preseason game, with Emmanuel Sanders sidelined, as he managed just 1 reception for 4 yards despite being targeted 5 times.  His preseason numbers have been unimpressive, though we obviously try not to put too much stock into them.  That said, while there is upside it’s impossible to say that he’s a given to produce gaudy numbers this season. Read more

Updated 2015 Rankings: Top 15 Defenses

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Which defenses are worth our investment?  Who should we be willing to “reach” for?  Let’s take a look at how the groups currently rank heading into the season:

  1. Seattle Seahawks
  2. Buffalo Bills
  3. Arizona Cardinals
  4. Houston Texans
  5. St. Louis Rams
  6. Baltimore Ravens
  7. New York Jets
  8. Denver Broncos
  9. Green Bay Packers
  10. New England Patriots Read more

To Draft or Not To Draft: Is Joique Bell Still Worth Targeting? Not Really…

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

According to Kyle Meinke of MLive.com (click here for the article):

But here’s your friendly reminder that Joique Bell remains the Lions’ No. 1 tailback — for now, at least.

Bell was activated off the physically unable to perform list Monday, and immediately returned to repping with the first-unit offense ahead of Abdullah, Zenner, Theo Riddick and George Winn. He was listed first on the depth chart, too, though he is not expected to play in Thursday’s preseason finale against Buffalo”

Obviously a lot of the attention for fantasy owners has gone to Ameer Abdullah and Zach Zenner, as Bell has been sidelined, but it’s important that we don’t forget completely.  At this point Bell is going to be the starter…  But the key words in the quote above also can’t be ignored:

“for now, at least” Read more

Breaking Down The Backfield: Is There Now A Handcuff To Own In Buffalo?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

With the surprising news that Fred Jackson was cut by the Buffalo Bills, the team’s running game is in a little bit of flux.  Yes Lesean McCoy is the clear leader, but we’ve already detailed the risks involved in investing in him (click here for the article).  With those risks well known, fantasy owners now need to look at who’s next up if something were to happen to McCoy.  Let’s look at the options:

Karlos Williams
He has been sidelined for an undisclosed injury, but it would appear likely that he’ll be ready for Week 1.  The team’s fifth round selection is a bit of a mystery, as described by NFL.com prior to the draft:

“Williams is a big, talented athlete who is still finding his way as a running back. He seemed almost content to lose his job in 2014 and teams will be turning over every rock looking for information on his character. As a one-cut runner with exceptional burst and rare physical traits, Williams could become a very good starter in a zone-based scheme, but his floor is very low based on character and scheme fit.” Read more

Updated 2015 Rankings: Top 15 Tight Ends: How Far Does Julius Thomas Fall?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

The news that Julius Thomas will miss at least the first three weeks of the season due to hand surgery, with the potential for more, obviously brings a significant change to our rankings.  Initially our fourth ranked tight end even with the move away from Peyton Manning, his value obviously takes a significant hit.  How far?  Let’s take a look:

  1. Rob Gronkowski – New England Patriots
  2. Jimmy Graham – Seattle Seahawks
  3. Greg Olsen – Carolina Panthers
  4. Delanie Walker – Tennessee Titans
  5. Travis Kelce – Kansas City Chiefs
  6. Jason Witten – Dallas Cowboys
  7. Jared Cook – St. Louis Rams
  8. Martellus Bennett – Chicago Bears
  9. Julius Thomas – Jacksonville Jaguars
  10. Jordan Cameron – Miami Dolphins Read more

Buy ‘Em or Deny ‘Em: Is Kirk Cousins More Alex Smith Than Potential Fantasy Star?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

The rollercoaster known as Robert Griffin III and his expectations took another turn yesterday:

Gruden confirms that Kirk Cousins will be the starter, not just for Week 1 but for 2015. #RedskinsTalk

— Tarik El-Bashir (@TarikCSN) August 31, 2015

 

If this truly is the end of Griffin as the starting Redskins quarterback or if he will get another opportunity remains to be seen, but fantasy owners’ attention need to turn to Kirk Cousins.  He’s long been considered a potentially viable option, though the results have been mixed over the past three seasons as he’s completed just 59.0% of his passes with 18 TD and 19 INT. Read more

Enter To Win A Le’Veon Bell Autographed Mini Helmet By Ordering Rotoprofessor’s 2015 Fantasy Football Draft Guide!

Last year we debuted the Rotoprofessor Fantasy Football Draft Guide and this year we’re back for more!!  The guide will be very similar to our Baseball Guide (including weekly updates based on news/injuries) and will provide you all the information you need in one convenient location!!   Included in the guide will be:

  • Expanded Positional Rankings (Top 75 RB, Top 100 WR, etc.)
  • Expanded PPR Rankings
  • Overall Rankings (Both PPR & Non-PPR)
  • Projections (Including Player Analysis)
  • Sleepers/Breakouts/Busts
  • And so much more!!

Additionally, if you order the guide by September 1 you will be entered to win an authenticated Le’Veon Bell autographed mini helmet!  This is one prize you don’t want to miss!

Don’t wait any longer, make sure to order your copy of the guide today!!

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Stock Decline: Joseph Randle’s Potential Value Quickly Plummeting

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Charles Robinson of Yahoo! Sports (click here for the article) described the Dallas Cowboys running game following their third preseason game by saying:

Ultimately, what we saw Saturday night against the Vikings is likely a facsimile of what to expect this season. Randle came in and ended up playing the role of the guinea pig, with the Cowboys probing some inside runs for signs of weakness, then ending up sputtering with some third-and-long situations that weren’t conducive to running. Dunbar got one carry that went one yard. And then once Dallas identified some soft spots, McFadden came in and cleaned up with 37 yards on four carries.

Had this been a regular-season game, it’s highly likely that Dallas would have ridden McFadden’s hot hand as the lead, while mixing in Randle in both the run and pass, and then getting some situational opportunities to Dunbar. It wouldn’t have played out that way because Randle is the No. 2 – it would have played out that way because he did the grunt work early and set the stage for McFadden. That’s how committees like this work.Read more