Archive for Rotoprofessor

Draft Day Decision: Is Allen Robinson Really A Borderline First Round Pick?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

According to Allen Robinson’s current average ADP he is a borderline first round selection, with an average ADP of 15.5. Last year’s numbers do justify the selection:

80 receptions, 1,400 yards, 14 TD

The question is, is there really room for improvement? In fact, can we expect him to come reasonably close to that line in 2016?

First of all you have to wonder if he is going to get as many opportunities as he did a year ago. Remember last season their running game was poor, led by T.J. Yeldon’s 740 yards. Not only could the sophomore take a step forward in his development, but he will now be joined by free agent signee Chris Ivory in the backfield. Considering the money that Jacksonville handed the ex-New York Jet (5 years and $32 million), you know he’s going to play a fairly significant role. Read more

2016 Preseason Rankings: Top 15 Tight Ends

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Tight end has become a surprisingly deep position, with significant upside up and down the rankings.  Whether it’s veterans who are easily overlooked or high upside players (both in a new location or with new opportunity), it seems like it’s easy to find value at any point in your draft.  Who are the best players to target?  Let’s take a look at how our rankings currently look:

  1. Rob Gronkowski – New England Patriots
  2. Jordan Reed – Washington Nationals
  3. Greg Olsen – Carolina Panthers
  4. Travis Kelce – Kansas City Chiefs
  5. Delanie Walker – Tennessee Titans
  6. Zach Ertz – Philadelphia Eagles
  7. Coby Fleener – New Orleans Saints
  8. Ladarius Green – Pittsburgh Steelers Read more

Backfield Breakdown: Will Anyone Thrive In The Post-Marshawn Lynch Era?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

With Marshawn Lynch officially retiring, the Seahawks running back corps is certainly in flux.  That’s not to say that there isn’t upside and potential, because they are actually flush with running backs who could make an impact.  The question is who is going to step up and carry the load?  Let’s take a look:

 

Thomas Rawls
Entering his second season, Rawls actually led the Seahawks in rushing last year as he took 147 carries for 830 yards and 4 TD.  He had more than 6 carries in a game six times, and each time he thrived:

  • September 27 (vs. Chicago) – 16 carries for 104 yards
  • October 5 (vs. Detroit) – 17 carries for 48 yards
  • October 11 (at Cincinnati) – 23 carries for 169 yards and 1 TD
  • November 22 (vs. San Francisco) – 30 carries for 209 yards and 1 TD
  • November 29 (vs. Pittsburgh) – 21 carries for 81 yards and 1 TD
  • December 6 (at Minnesota) – 19 carries for 101 yards and 1 TD Read more

2016 Preseason Rankings: Top 40 Running Backs

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

We are quickly moving away from the old fashioned “lead” running back, making a true three-down back in his prime so much more valuable.  Instead we are seeing most teams utilize a committee, with two or three backs sharing the opportunities.  Obviously, even in these situations, there is going to be a player who is more valuable.  Sometimes, though, it’s a little bit more complicated to identify.

With that in mind, let’s take a look at how we currently view the running backs as we prepare for the 2016 season:

  1. Todd Gurley – Los Angeles Rams
  2. Le’Veon Bell – Pittsburgh Steelers
  3. David Johnson – Arizona Cardinals
  4. Ezekiel Elliott – Dallas Cowboys
  5. Adrian Peterson – Minnesota Vikings
  6. Devonta Freeman – Atlanta Falcons
  7. Doug Martin – Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  8. Lamar Miller – Houston Texans Read more

With Arian Foster Now In Miami, Is Jay Ajayi An Even More Attractive Option?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

There had been rumors seemingly the entire offseason that tied Arian Foster to the Miami Dolphins, but they finally came to fruition yesterday as he signed a one-year contract.  The question facing fantasy owners now is who will be the lead back in Miami?  Will it be Foster?  Will it be sophomore Jay Ajayi?

At this point it’s impossible to know for sure, though the signing of Foster will surely make Ajayi a more intriguing option on draft day.  Wait, what?  No it’s not a typo, as the more the focus shifts away from Ajayi the more valuable he will likely become.

Remember Foster will turn 30 prior to the start of the season and is working his way back from a torn Achilles.  That’s simply not a good combination and it is impossible to know if he is even capable of returning to the type of player he once was.  As it is he was averaging a meager 2.6 yards per carry in his four games last season and has only twice played a full 16 game season (the last time coming in 2012). Read more

Deep League Sleeper: Could Bruce Ellington Be The Top WR In San Francisco?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

With Anquan Boldin no longer in the mix, the San Francisco 49ers appear primed to open the season with Torrey Smith and Quinton Patton as their starting wide receivers.  That’s hardly an impressive duo and behind them there are arguably even more question marks.

Jerome Simpson?  He’s entering his seventh NFL season and owns a career high of 50 receptions (2011) and 726 yards (2013).

DeAndre Smelter?  An intriguing fourth round selection in 2015, he missed his entire rookie season due to injury.

Bruce Ellington…  Ellington could prove to be the name to watch as we enter 2016 and beyond. Read more

Backfield Breakdown: Will Carlos Hyde Thrive In Chip Kelly’s System?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

It’s often seemed like the 49ers have had numerous options in the backfield behind the ageless Frank Gore, who we kept waiting to pass the torch.  Last season the team finally moved on, but they were left with little (mainly due to injury).  As we head into 2016 let’s take a look at the options and try to see if this could be the year that the heir apparent to Gore finally emerges:

 

Carlos Hyde
He was limited to just 7 games last season, taking 115 carries for 470 yards and 3 TD.  The production certainly wasn’t terrible (4.1 YPC), though it also wasn’t spectacular.  That said, he has 7 TD in 198 carries over his first two years in the league (21 games), bringing hope that the 235 pound back can score early and often.  As was said of him by NFL.com prior to being drafted:

Extremely powerful short-yardage/goal-line runner.” Read more

3rd Year Wide Receivers: Are Dontrelle Inman or Albert Wilson Worth An Investment?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

We all know that third year receivers are often viewed as breakout candidates, though that doesn’t mean that every option is “can’t miss” and worthy of an investment.  Let’s start taking a look at a few of the options heading into 2016 and trying to determine who could breakout and who we should be ignoring:

 

Dontrelle Inman – San Diego Chargers
He had 35 receptions for 486 yards and 3 TD in his sophomore campaign, though the bulk of that damage came in the second half:

  • Games 1-8 – 9 receptions, 142 yards, 1 TD
  • Games 9-16 – 26 receptions, 344 yards, 2 TD

In fact his two biggest games came in the final five, including an 8 reception (on 13 targets) performance against the Raiders in the second to last game of the season.  Keenan Allen should be back and the team added Travis Benjamin this offseason, but there should still be ample opportunities. Read more

Backfield Breakdown: St. Louis Rams: Just How Good Is Todd Gurley?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

The days of a true workhorse running back appear to be a thing of the past, complicating decisions for fantasy owners.  In some cases we know who the “lead” back is going to be, or there are obvious defined roles, but that’s not always the case.  That’s why we are going to go around the league, checking in on each situation, to try and shed some light on who fantasy owners should be targeting.

Things are a little bit different in St. Louis, where they did something many teams will no longer do…  They spent a first round pick on a running back.  Lucky for them he proved to be a workhorse in his rookie season, but will he be among the elite in ’16?  Is there anyone else who could bring value?

 

Todd Gurley
He got a late start to the season, playing in just 1 game (6 carries) in September.  However he poured it on over the final three months of the season:

  • October – 68 carries for 433 yards and 2 TD (6.4 YPC)
  • November – 90 carries for 352 yards and 4 TD (3.9 YPC)
  • December – 65 carries for 312 yards and 4 TD (4.8 YPC) Read more

Old Face, New Place: Could Robert Griffin Return To Relevance?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Robert Griffin went from hero to zero rather quickly in Washington, but now in Cleveland he will get a chance to revitalize his career.  The team has Josh McCown and drafted Cody Kessler in the third round, but it would appear to be Griffin’s job entering the season.  Can we really expect much from Griffin at this point, though?

Granted he’s only 26-years old, but the injuries have mounted and clearly had an impact on his style of play.  After rushing for 815 yards and 7 TD in his rookie campaign (15 games), he’s managed 665 yards and 1 TD over the subsequent 22 games.  That’s just 30 yards per game on the ground, and while there is some value in that there isn’t much.

You also have to wonder if he’s going to have the weapons at his disposal to produce with his arm.  Corey Coleman has upside and potential, but he’s still just a rookie and impossible to depend on.  He’ll obviously get his opportunities and rack up some numbers, but he also could be inconsistent as he finds his footing in the NFL.  After that? Read more