Archive for Rotoprofessor

NFL Stock Report: Denver Broncos Edition: Which QB Is On The Rise & More

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Throughout the season some players will see their value rise, while others will see it decline.  There are numerous things that can cause it, whether it’s poor play, injury or something else entirely.  Let’s take a look at a pair of Denver Broncos who are certainly heading in different directions as we head into the all important third preseason game:

 

Paxton Lynch – Quarterback – Denver Broncos
Just when we thought he was locked in as the #3 quarterback to enter the season, there now appears to be an opportunity for him to claim the Week 1 starting job. That’s what happens when the two players above you on the depth chart fail to display ball security:

  • Mark Sanchez – 1 INT, 2 lost fumbles
  • Trevor Siemian – 1 INT Read more

Quick Hit: Can Rishard Matthews Emerge As A Top 40 WR In 2016?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

When we think of Tennessee Titans wide receivers the first name that came to mind was likely Dorial Beckham-Green. The often hyped sophomore certainly had the potential to be a superstar, though he consistently fell into the coaching staff’s doghouse and was ultimately deal to the Eagles.

Flying under-the-radar had been the signing of Rishard Matthews from the Miami Dolphins, though it’s a move that’s starting to garner more and more attention. A rib injury limited him to just 11 games last season, and in that final game he saw just 1 target. First lets look at the numbers he did post over 10 games:

43 receptions, 662 yards, 4 TD

Now, let’s take that and project the same pace over a full 16 games:

69 receptions, 1,059 yards, 6 TD Read more

Fantasy Fallout: Is There A Deep Sleeper Worth Watching In New England With Dion Lewis Out?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

According to The Boston Herald’s Jeff Howe (click here for the article):

Running back Dion Lewis will be sidelined for another 8-10 weeks after he endures a second surgery on his left knee, according to a source. The ACL, which was repaired in November, is OK, but the Patriots’ medical staff determined they need to clean up an unspecified area in the knee.”

It’s a blow, but it’s not like New England will be left completely bare in the backfield.  There are options with FLEX potential, as well as a sleeper who could really emerge.  Let’s take a look:

LeGarrette Blount – He averaged 4.3 yards per carry last season (165 carries for 703 yards) and always figured to operate as the early down/short yardage back.  We all know that it’s impossible to predict what the Patriots are going to do from week-to-week, but Blount should be a decent bet for 12-14 carries and around 50 yards per week.  Consider him as a potential FLEX option, though he’s better suited as a RB3/RB4 to have on call off your bench. Read more

Will 2016 Mark The Breakouts Of Giovani Bernard & Duke Johnson?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Sometimes it’s hard to determine whether or not we want to buy into the hype surrounding certain players.  Maybe we’ve been waiting for them to put it together or maybe there isn’t clarity to their role.  Will the touches increase?  Are they more of a PPR darling?  The same question hangs over a pair of potentially intriguing running backs, so let’s take a look as we try to determine their potential ’16 value:

 

Giovani Bernard – Cincinnati Bengals
Current Average ADP – 82.2

Fantasy owners have been waiting for Bernard to step up and become a Top 20 running back, but it simply hasn’t happened.  Instead the Bengals continue to force him to share time with Jeremy Hill, allowing him to run the ball at times and certainly catch the football:

  • Rushing – 154 carries for 730 yards and 2 TD
  • Receiving – 49 receptions for 472 yards and 0 TD Read more

Top 5 Rookie Quarterbacks For 2016 (Will Anyone Besides Jared Goff Make An Impact?)

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

In reality we all know that there’s only one rookie quarterback who has an opportunity to make a significant impact in 2016.  That doesn’t mean we won’t see any others, but aside from Jared Goff the rest of the field will hold little appeal on draft day (at least for those in redraft formats).  With that in mind, let’s take a look at how the rookies currently rank:

1) Jared Goff – Los Angeles Rams
Regardless if he’s currently listed as #1 or #2 on the depth chart, there’s little question that Goff is going to be the Rams’ starter for Week 1.  Do we really think they’d use Case Keenum over the first overall pick in the NFL Draft?  In this day and age, given the money spent, when you are selected atop the draft you are expected to immediately be installed as the team’s starter.

Goff certainly showed the potential to thrive while at Cal, including completing 64.5% of his passes in his final season (60+% in all three years he played) to go along with 43 TD (78 over the past two seasons) and 13 INT.  He will have Todd Gurley helping to keep defenses honest, though his overall upside would look a lot better if he had more weapons to throw the football too.  While he’s the “top” rookie, it’s far more likely he falls short of being anything more than a QB2 this season. Read more

Preseason Week 1 Fallout: Is Trevor Siemian Making A Play For The Starting Role?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

With Brock Osweiler spurning the team this offseason, the Broncos are headed to a bit of a quarterback controversy (at least in the short-term). They answered the question as to who the long-term answer was, at least they hope, when they traded into the first round to select Paxton Lynch. Could he also be the answer in 2016? Will it be Mark Sanchez or Trevor Siemian? Let’s take a look at their performances in the first preseason game:

 

Mark Sanchez
10-13, 99 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT

He got the start and was solid, including a TD pass to Demaryius Thomas. However we can’t ignore the interception either, considering his career marks of 86 TD vs. 84 INT. A team like the Broncos want someone who is not only going to make plays, but also not beat themselves. If Sanchez can’t avoid coughing up the football, the decision on who starts becomes a bit of an easier one. Read more

Fantasy Fallout: With Dorial Green-Beckham Gone, Is There Any Potential In Tennessee’s Receivers?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

It would’ve been easy to argue that Dorial Green-Beckham had the highest upside of any Tennessee wide receiver, but he consistently fell into the coaching staff’s dog house. Ultimately it led to yesterday’s surprising trade to Philadelphia, where he will have to learn a new offense and adjust to a new quarterback. While that doesn’t mean he should be written off completely, for 2016 it’s hard to think he’s going to make a significant impact.

The next question is what that leaves in Tennessee. It’s clear that they are going to be a run oriented offense, behind DeMarco Murray and Derrick Henry, but they have to throw the ball some time. Yes they still have a talented tight end in Delanie Walker and a slew of mediocre veterans like Andre Johnson and Harry Douglas (plus Kendall Wright and Justin Hunter remain). It’s the two names currently sitting atop the depth chart, though, that bring the most intrigue:

 

Rishard Matthews
We will be taking an in depth look at him shortly, but he’s definitely not a receiver to overlook. Here’s an excerpt from that article: Read more

Top 10 Rookie Running Backs For 2016 (How Do Things Fall Behind Ezekiel Elliott)

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

You don’t need to be an early round draft pick in order to be a productive running back.  That’s a lesson we’ve all learned by now, with opportunity often being the biggest key.  Which rookies have the highest upside for the 2016 season?  Let’s take a look:

1) Ezekiel Elliott – Dallas Cowboys
Is there any doubt who the top rookie running back is going to be at year’s end?  Selected fourth overall, Elliott steps into an offense with one of the best offensive lines in the game and a passing game that defenses need to pay attention to (as long as everyone can stay healthy).  Remember Darren McFadden topped 1,000 yards in 2015 and DeMarco Murray ripped off 1,845 yards in 2014 in this offense.  Don’t be surprised to see Elliot emerge as one of the elite runners in the game.

2) Derrick Henry – Tennessee Titans
If he wasn’t sharing the backfield with Demarco Murray he’d likely be well ahead of the rest of the field.  Of course Murray has only once played all 16 games and struggled mightily in his lone season in Philadelphia last year (3.6 yards/carry).  You can easily argue that he simply wasn’t a fit, but is it really unthinkable that Henry ultimately assumes lead back duties?  Regardless, this appears primed to be a run based offense and there should be more than enough carries to go around. Read more

Preseason Fallout: Could An Alternative Starting Running Back Emerge In Baltimore?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

The Baltimore Ravens opted to give many of their veterans the first preseason game off, giving them an opportunity to take a good look at their younger players. Among those who sat out were Justin Forsett, who was limited to just 10 games and 151 carries a year ago. While he’s still the favorite to open the season as the “lead” rusher, it’s no guarantee. Let’s take a look at how the others performed and see if anyone is primed to push him for early down carries:

 

Javorius Allen
6 carries, 6 yards, 0 TD
1 reception, 19 yards, 1 TD

The reception saved his performance, especially given the depth that has been created. Of course it doesn’t guarantee him anything, outside of maybe making the roster, depending on how the roles develop. Read more

PPR Breakout Candidate: Why The Colts’ Josh Ferguson Needs To Be On Radars

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Being listed at 5’9″ likely had a lot to do with Illinois’ Josh Ferguson going undrafted this year. There could quickly be numerous teams disappointed with their decision to pass over him, however, as the rest of the league’s oversight could quickly become the Colts’ gain.

First of all, just look at the depth chart ahead of him. Frank Gore is the “leader”, though at 33-years old it’s fair to wonder when the gas tank will hit empty (and also how much the team will limit him in an effort to keep him healthy). Jordan Todman and Robert Turbin? Neither have proven anything in the NFL and are easy to imagine being passed over in favor of the explosive rookie.

Just look at how NFL.com described him prior to the draft, comparing him to Ronnie Hillman: Read more