Archive for Rotoprofessor

2016 Preseason Rankings: Top 15 Quarterbacks

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

We all know that quarterback is an extremely deep position, especially in one-quarterback formats.  It’s easy to look towards the later rounds in the draft and see productive options being available, so there isn’t necessarily a need to reach in the early rounds.  That’s not to say that all quarterbacks are created equal and that there is reason to simply ignore the top names.  Who is the best heading into 2016?  Who has under-the-radar value?  Let’s take a look at our first rankings of the year:

  1. Aaron Rodgers – Green Bay Packers
  2. Cam Newton – Carolina Panthers
  3. Andrew Luck – Indianapolis Colts
  4. Russell Wilson – Seattle Seahawks
  5. Drew Brees – New Orleans Saints
  6. Ben Roethlisberger – Pittsburgh Steelers
  7. Carson Palmer – Arizona Cardinals
  8. Tom Brady – New England Patriots
  9. Blake Bortles – Jacksonville Jaguars
  10. Eli Manning – New York Giants Read more

Bust Candidate (2016): Why The Risk Of Selecting Matt Jones May Outweigh The Reward

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Barring adding a running back late the Washington Redskins appear primed to lean on Matt Jones in 2016.  A third round pick in 2015, he shared time with Alfred Morris last season and posted less than impressive marks:

  • Rushing – 144 carries, 490 yards (3.4 YPC), 3 TD
  • Receiving – 19 receptions, 304 yards, 1 TD

You could argue that those numbers were about what we should’ve expected, after he never had more than 166 carries in a season at Florida (and he never averaged more than 5.3 YPC).  Sure he has the size that you look for (6’1”, 231 lbs.), but it’s easy to argue that he is going to be mislabeled as a “lead” back.

Just look at this scouting report from NFL.com prior to the draft:

“Has very good athleticism for a big running back and is a physical pile-mover who is difficult to stop for negative yardage. Unfortunately, Jones lacks the instincts and vision to fully maximize his physical tools. Jones could become the physical member of a running-back-by-committee approach, with upside as a third-down option.” Read more

Is There Too Much Risk To Invest In Brock Osweiler As Anything More Than A Bench Option?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

It was a bit of a surprise when Brock Osweiler bolted Denver to sign with the Houston Texans.  Obviously money talks, though you could also argue that he moves somewhere that he will be in position to thrive:

  • DeAndre Hopkins (arguably the premier WR in the league) is at his disposal
  • The team added Will Fuller to start across from him
  • Lamar Miller was added in the offseason, which will give the team a running game to help keep defenses honest

It’s hard not to like the situation, the question is if Osweiler can take advantage of it.  In his first true taste in the NFL he completed 61.8% of his passes, throwing for 1,967 yards, 10 TD and 6 INT.  That said there obviously is a question as to whether or not he’s going to be able to thrive on deeper throws: Read more

Bounce Back Candidate: Beyond The Weight Loss, There Are Ample Reasons To Believe In Eddie Lacy

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Eddie Lacy was thought of as a can’t miss option entering 2015, though that ultimately proved to be far from accurate.  Instead of producing like a Top 5 running back Lacy found himself benched and buried down the depth chart for much of the season.  Sharing time with James Starks, here’s how things ended up being split:

  • Eddie Lacy – 187 carries, 758 yards, 3 TD
  • James Starks – 148 carries, 601 yards, 2 TD

While the numbers look close, Starks added 43 receptions for 392 yards and 3 TD compared to 20 receptions for 188 yards and 2 TD from Lacy.  The question now is if we should anticipate a similar split as we head into 2016, or if Lacy can once again stake claim to the lead role.

According to Rob Demovsky of ESPN early this offseason (click here for the article):

“According to one source, Lacy has lost between 15-18 pounds since the end of last season.” Read more

2016 Breakout Candidate: Why Jay Ajayi Could Post A Top 15 Season

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

The Miami Dolphins had been trying to replace Lamar Miller all offseason to no avail.  The finally added a running back to their stable on the second day of the draft, grabbing Alabama’s Kenyan Drake in the third round.  The question that leaves for fantasy owners is who is likely going to be the “lead” back in Miami?  Will it be Drake or Jay Ajayi?  Will it be a committee?  Let’s take a look:

Jay Ajayi
Had there not been long-term concerns about his knee Ajayi would’ve been drafted significantly earlier then he was in ’15 (5th round, 149th overall).  Long-term is one thing, but how long do most running backs last anyways?  Unfortunately the NFL is a short-term game and it’s hard not to like what Ajayi brings to the table.

His numbers were underwhelming in his NFL debut (3.8 YPC on 49 carries, 7 receptions in 9 games), but just look at the numbers he posted during his final year at Boise State: Read more

Thank You For A Great 2015 Season!

I wanted to take a moment to thank everyone who visited/supported Rotoprofessor throughout the 2015 season.  We couldn’t do this without you and your support is very much appreciated.

We will keep the site going in the offseason, though the articles will be a bit more sporadic, and we’ll also be posting NFL Mock Drafts and prospect profiles over on our prospect page.  In other words, make sure to keep checking back!

Thanks again and for those of you who are still battling for a title good luck today!

Week 17 Rankings (2015): Top 25 Quarterbacks

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Week 17 is always a difficult week, which is why most leagues end in Week 16.  However, if you are still battling for a championship let’s take a look at who the best options are:

  1. Cam Newton – Carolina Panthers – vs. Tampa Bay
  2. Tom Brady – New England Patriots – at Miami
  3. Blake Bortles – Jacksonville Jaguars – at Houston
  4. Russell Wilson – Seattle Seahawks – at Arizona
  5. Ryan Fitzpatrick – New York Jets – at Buffalo
  6. Carson Palmer – Arizona Cardinals – vs. Seattle
  7. Ben Roethlisberger – Pittsburgh Steelers – at Cleveland
  8. Eli Manning – New York Giants – vs. Philadelphia
  9. Matthew Stafford – Detroit Lions – at Chicago
  10. Drew Brees – New Orleans Saints – at Atlanta Read more

Sunday Morning Start ‘Em or Sit ‘Em: Karlos Williams, Doug Baldwin, Randall Cobb & More

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Just hours before the start of Week 16 I know many people have questions running through their heads. Who should I start? Who should I sit? Let’s take a look at how some of the recent news changes things:

 

Karlos Williams – Buffalo Bills – Running Back
Chris Brown of the Bills’ official website (click here for the post) recently published the following quote from Bills’ head coach Rex Ryan:

“I would think so,” said Rex Ryan of the likelihood of a heavy rushing attack for both teams. “I think with the weather, I think we’re gonna get a lot of run. I mean it sounds like we’re gonna get some Buffalo wind and so I think that’ll probably lead to the fact that we’ll probably see more run.” Read more

Could Jay Ajayi Cement His Role As A 2016 Player To Target?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

We keep trying to figure out what the Dolphins are doing in their backfield, as they have seemingly misused Lamar Miller since the day he was drafted.  The hope had been that he would be featured after the coaching change and, to an extent, he was including a 20 carry performance on December 6  (he took those for 113 yards).

Of course his usage has decreased in the two subsequent games:

  • December 14 – 12 carries (he took them for 89 yards and 2 TD, making the usage that much more curious)
  • December 20 – 9 carries

After the game Adam Beasley tweeted:

“No wonder Lamar Miller was biting his tongue last night. He had EIGHTEEN snaps from scrimmage. Ajayi had 31.” Read more

Buy ‘Em or Deny ‘Em: Is Will Tye A Trust Worthy TE For Week 16?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

The New York Giants will play Sunday night without Odell Beckham Jr., leaving a gaping hole in their passing attack.  While many are looking towards Ruben Randle, Dwayne Harris and Hakeem Nicks, could tight end Will Tye be the biggest beneficiary?

Jordan Raanan of NJ.com (click here for the article) recently published this quote from offensive coordinator Ben McAdoo:

“He’s doing some things well, he’s progressing,” offensive coordinator Ben McAdoo said. “He definitely seems like he’s turning into one of Eli’s favorite targets in the offense.”

Tye has scored in back-to-back games and over the past five weeks has averaged nearly 5 receptions (on 6.4 targets) for 54.6 yards.  It’s easy to imagine those numbers increasing, as Raanan noted just how much of the offense Beckham is responsible for: Read more