Archive for Rotoprofessor

Sunday Morning Start ‘Em or Sit ‘Em: Samaje Perine, Adam Thielen, Ty Montgomery & More

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Just hours before the start of Week 5 I know many people have questions running through their heads. Who should I start? Who should I sit?  Let’s take a look at how some of the recent news changes things:

 

Samaje Perine – Washington Redskins – Running Back
Rob Kelley is out, and that leaves Perine to carry the early down work in what should be a favorable matchup against San Francisco.  Obviously Chris Thompson will play a role and the 49ers have been bad against pass catching RB (300 receiving yards, 2 TD), but it’s not like San Francisco has been good against the run itself (528 yards and 3 TD).

We’d feel better about Perine if he had been producing in his rookie season, averaging 3.1 YPC and doing even worse in the games where he had 19+ carries: Read more

Start ‘Em or Sit ‘Em (2017): Week 6: Adrian Peterson, Demaryius Thomas, Derek Carr & More

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Trying to decide who you should start or sit this week? Let’s take a look at a few potential decisions owners have and try to sort through them:

 

Quarterbacks
Start – Matt Ryan – Atlanta Falcons – vs. Miami

This should be an obvious call, but Ryan threw 5 INT over two games before the bye week and simply hasn’t played like one of the elite (1,109 yards, 5 TD, 5 INT).  Then again the Falcons had the bye week to get healthy, something that can’t be undervalued.  The Dolphins also have yet to register an INT, and they have 10 sacks in their four games (tied for fifth fewest in the league).  Considering Ryan is the same QB who had 38 TD vs. 7 INT a year ago, look for him to have a huge rebound game. Read more

Week 6 Rankings (2017): Top 50 Wide Receivers

by Will Overton

The bye week has taken out a few of the top tier wide receivers this week and injury has robbed us of seeing Odell Beckham Jr. again this year, but overall there is still a lot of depth for this week. We have a lot of movers, both up and down, and hopefully we can help you settle some lineup decisions for Week 6:

  1. Antonio Brown – Pittsburgh Steelers @ Kansas City
  2. Julio Jones – Atlanta Falcons vs. Miami
  3. DeAndre Hopkins – Houston Texans vs. Cleveland
  4. Mike Evans – Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Arizona
  5. Jordy Nelson – Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota
  6. Michael Thomas – New Orleans Saints vs. Detroit
  7. Keenan Allen – Los Angeles Chargers @ Oakland
  8. T.Y. Hilton – Indianapolis Colts @ Tennessee Read more

Thursday Night Start ‘Em or Sit ‘Em: Week 6: Carson Wentz, Devin Funchess, LeGarrette Blount & More

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Thursday games are often tricky as it is, because there isn’t necessarily a reason to take any undue risks with questionable options (which could set you back and spoil your week).  Who are the borderline players that should be in lineups?  Who should be sat down?  Let’s take a look at the skill players taking the field tonight and try to answer those questions:

 

Philadelphia Eagles

Carson Wentz – Quarterback
Wentz is coming off a big day against the Cardinals, with 4 TD and 304 yards, and has thrown for over 300 yards in three of his five games this season.  That would make him seem like a solid play in all formats, though don’t be so quick.  The Panthers are not an easy matchup, having allowed the ninth fewest passing yards (1,074) and ranking as giving up the 24th fewest points per week to opposing QB.  Read more

Buy ‘Em or Deny ‘Em: Is A New Option Rising From The San Francisco RB “Mess”? (Breida & More)

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

According to Matt Barrows (via Twitter):

Kyle Shanahan says Carlos Hyde is going to be the first running back in games, followed by Matt Breida and the “hot hand” thereafter.

Considering how things played out in Week 5, this news shouldn’t come as a surprise.  All you have to do is look at the numbers and you can tell that’s the approach San Francisco was already taking:

  • Matt Breida – 10 carries for 49 yards, 3 receptions for 22 yards
  • Carlos Hyde – 8 carries for 11 yards, 1 reception for 7 yards

Breida has 19 carries over the past two weeks, though it’s a bit of a surprise that the 49ers have been so willing to replace Hyde.  It’s not like the veteran has been bad in 2017, with 332 yards (4.5 yards per carry) and 2 TD as well as 18 receptions for 95 yards.  It’s also not like he has had ball security issues, fumbling once (Week 4) but it was ultimately recovered by the 49ers. Read more

Week 6 Rankings (2017): Top 20 Tight Ends

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Tight end continues to be one of the trickier positions on a weekly basis.  Unless you have one of the truly elite options in the league, and even then there’s some risk (considering Rob Gronkowski and his history of health issues), we continue to struggle finding a trustworthy option.  We see someone emerge nearly every week (Ed Dickson in Week 5), while some that we want to trust continue struggling (Hunter Henry).  Who should we be trusting heading into Week 6?  Let’s take a look:

  1. Rob Gronkowski – New England Patriots – at New York Jets
  2. Zach Ertz – Philadelphia Eagles – at Carolina
  3. Travis Kelce – Kansas City Chiefs – vs. Pittsburgh
  4. Jordan Reed – Washington Redskins – vs. San Francisco
  5. Cameron Brate – Tampa Bay Buccaneers – at Arizona
  6. Jack Doyle – Indianapolis Colts – at Tennessee
  7. Delanie Walker – Tennessee Titans – vs. Indianapolis
  8. Austin Seferian-Jenkins – New York Jets – vs. New England Read more

Fantasy Fallout: How High Does Alvin Kamara’s Value Now Rise?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

The knee jerk reaction is going to be to rush to the waiver wire to add Alvin Kamara, as the trade of Adrian Peterson helps to clear the log jam in New Orleans.  Of course it’s not like Peterson was making an extremely big impact, never being given more than 9 carries in a game and averaging 3.0 yards/carry.  Will some of those carries go to Kamara?  It’s possible, but we’re still not talking about a significant role in that aspect of the game.  Look at his rushing performance thus far:

  • Week 1 – 7 carries for 18 yards
  • Week 2 – 1 carry for 3 yards
  • Week 3 – 2 carries for 37 yards and 1 TD
  • Week 4 – 5 carries for 25 yards

So even if he were to absorb the 5-6 carries Peterson was getting, we are probably talking 6-8 carries per week.  That’s not a given, though, as Mark Ingram is going to continue to dominate the early down carries and take on at least some of them. Read more

Streaming Defenses (2017): Week 6: Which Offense Do We Want To Exploit?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Things are constantly changing in the NFL, and what we knew at the time of our drafts is already “out of date” and irrelevant three weeks into the season though we are starting to get a grasp of the offenses we should look to pick on.  With that in mind, which defenses that were likely ignored on draft day are worth considering for Week 5?  Let’s take a look:

 

Washington Redskins – vs. San Francisco
ESPN – 5.0%, CBS Sports – 9%

If there’s a “strength” to the San Francisco offense you could argue that it’s the potential of their running game, with Carlos Hyde and Matt Breida forming a “hot hand” committee.  Of course Washington has allowed the tenth fewest points per week to opposing running backs, including the third fewest rushing yards (265) and 1 TD. Read more

Dynasty Rankings: Top 50 Running Backs (Week 5 Fallout)

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Obviously when we are looking at a dynasty league, as opposed to a yearly format, our rankings do change a little bit.  As a player ages their value decreases, and the risk of injury and long-term success need to be taken into account.  It’s not an easy balance, but one that we need to try and find.

With that in mind, let’s take a look at how our dynasty running back rankings currently stand (and these will be updated regularly moving forward, so make sure to keep checking back):

Read more

Week 6 Rankings (2017): Top 25 Quarterbacks

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

It’s an interesting week for quarterbacks, as you have to try and value emerging young quarterbacks (Deshaun Watson) and struggling stars (like Matt Ryan).  Sprinkle in a few injuries and same impressive options early who offer some risk (Alex Smith) and it could prove to be a bit of a tricky week to maneuver.  Let’s take a look at how things currently shake out early in the week:

  1. Tom Brady – New England Patriots – at New York Jets
  2. Aaron Rodgers – Green Bay Packers – at Minnesota
  3. Cam Newton – Carolina Panthers – vs. Philadelphia
  4. Deshaun Watson – Houston Texans – vs. Cleveland
  5. Drew Brees – New Orleans Saints – vs. Detroit
  6. Matt Ryan – Atlanta Falcons – vs. Miami
  7. Kirk Cousins – Washington Redskins – vs. San Francisco
  8. Philip Rivers – San Diego Chargers – at Oakland Read more