Archive for Uncategorized

Buy ‘Em or Deny ‘Em: Is Latavius Murray Worth Grabbing Immediately?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

I wrote about the Raiders’ Latavius Murray a lot this past offseason, though the signing of Maurice Jones-Drew and the resigning of Darren McFadden appeared to render him unownable. We are just one week in and things have already changed dramatically.

First, Maurice Jones-Drew is already banged up having to undergo a procedure on his hand this past Monday. While we don’t know the specifics of yet, he hasn’t been practicing and appears primed to miss Week 2 (though that’s not a given).

You also have the complete in effectiveness of the top two running backs in Week 1:

  • Maurice Jones-Drew – 9 carries for 11 yards; 2 receptions for 12 yards
  • Darren McFadden – 4 carries for 15 yards; 1 receptions for 6 yards

Suddenly the idea of Murray making a major impact looks quite possible once again. In fact, if you play in a deeper format or are in need of help at RB, grabbing him now would actually be prudent. Read more

Is Michael Crabtree Worth A Fifth Round Draft Pick?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

If you want to select the 49ers Michael Crabtree it is going to cost you around a fifth round, given his current average ADP of 47.4. Is a player who only played 5 games a year ago really worth that type of commitment?

The quick answer is yes, but let’s look at why.

As we have said before, when Crabtree and Colin Kaepernick are on the field together they simply have the potential to be electric. We particularly saw it over the final eight games of 2012, when Crabtree posted 46 receptions for 665 yards and 6 TD. Even in his limited time last season he managed 14.9 yards per catch.

Just for comparison, in the first eight games of 2012 Crabtree averaged 11.3 yards per reception. In 2011 he was at 12.1. Read more

Updated 2014 Fantasy Football Rankings: Top 15 Quarterbacks

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

The top of the rankings remain unchanged, but after the Top 5 questions and injuries have sent things into flux (most notably due to the under performance of Robert Griffin III and the rib injury to Cam Newton).  How do things shake out just over a week before the start of the season?  Let’s take a look:

 

  1. Peyton Manning – Denver Broncos (1)
  2. Drew Brees – New Orleans Saints (2)
  3. Aaron Rodgers – Green Bay Packers (3)
  4. Matthew Stafford – Detroit Lions (4)
  5. Andrew Luck – Indianapolis Colts (5)
  6. Colin Kaepernick – San Francisco 49ers (7)
  7. Tom Brady – New England Patriots (9)
  8. Cam Newton – Carolina Panthers (8)
  9. Matt Ryan – Atlanta Falcons (10)
  10. Robert Griffin III – Washington Redskins (6) Read more

Draft Day Decision: Is Cam Newton Worth The Risk?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Who is Cam Newton going to throw the ball to? It’s a fair concern and one that you have to think is going to drag down his draft day value. With Steve Smith jettisoned in the offseason, it definitely is a questionable cast of characters in Carolina…

Jerricho Cotchery?!?!?
Jason Avant?!?!?

Throw in his ankle, which required surgery in the offseason, as well as the new rib injury and it’s fair to have some significant concerns as we head into 2014. It’s also not that owners are being unreasonable, with his average ADP of 61.6 (and moving down, given the recent injury). Still, it’s easy to forget just how productive of an option Newton has the ability to be. Read more

ADP Analysis: Does The Rookie Running Back Class Bring Draft Day Appeal?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

We all know rookies carry a little bit of a risk to them, regardless of the position.  With that in mind, let’s take a look at where the top rookie running backs are currently being drafted (average ADP courtesy of Fantasy Pros) to try and determine if there is value or not:

 

Bishop Sankey – Tennessee Titans
Current ADP – 60.0

It’s no surprise that Sankey is the first rookie running back coming off the board, as he’s the only one who appeared primed to open the season as the starter. That said, he’s been playing second fiddle to Shonn Greene all preseason and has also had issues with ball security. Read more

2014 Projection: Is Eric Decker Now Being Undervalued?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Is it possible that Eric Decker is being undervalued by fantasy owners? We all know that he’s not going to be the player he’s been in Denver the past two seasons with Peyton Manning throwing him the football:

  • 2012 – 85 receptions, 1,064 yards, 13 TD
  • 2013 – 87 receptions, 1,288 yards, 11 TD

Anyone expecting him to come close to those numbers in the Jets’ inept offense would be making a major mistake. That said, his current ADP of 93.6 feels like an over correction to the change in locale. Read more

Draft Day Decision: Why Zac Stacy Is Worth A Second Round Selection

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

While there significantly more hyped rookie running backs heading into 2013, the Rams’ Zac Stacy arguably had the biggest impact. As the Rams looked to fill the shoes vacated by Steven Jackson, Stacy emerged as the go to running back as he rushed for 973 yards and 7 TD in just 14 games.

Those would be solid numbers on their own, but there are two things working in his favor for an even bigger campaign.

1) This Tweet from Jim Thomas (earlier in the offseason), quoting coach Jeff Fischer:

Fisher, on RB Zac Stacy’s evolving role with Rams: “I think over time, he’ll probably be that 70-percent of the carries guy.”

2) Through September he had just 1 carry for 4 yards. Read more

Draft Day Decision: Is Julio Jones Worth A Top 20 Pick?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Fantasy Pros has his average ADP at 18.8, so that’s what Julio Jones is going to cost you. Prior to 2013 this question would’ve been a no brainer, and we likely would’ve been discussing Jones as a potential top 10-15 pick. However, after being limited to just five games a year ago there has to be at least a little bit of doubt.

The Injury
Any foot injury is going to be concerning when it comes to a wide receiver. The fact that this was his second injury to the same foot makes this even more of a red flag. Just to make it worse, it appears this isn’t the first time he’s had the issue with the same exact bone. Here’s a quote from Jones, courtesy of USA Today (click here for the article): Read more

Buy ‘Em or Deny ‘Em: Why Greg Olsen Is A Tight End To Target

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

It is easy to overlook the Panthers’ Greg Olsen among tight ends, but is that really a mistake you want to make? First, just look at the numbers he’s posted over the past two years:

  • 2012 – 69 receptions, 843 yards, 5 TD
  • 2013 – 73 receptions, 816 yards, 6 TD

More importantly, he has been targeted at least 100 times each of the past two seasons. That’s something that isn’t common for tight ends.  In fact, Olsen is one of only four tight ends to have accomplished that (joining Jimmy Graham, Jason Witten and Tony Gonzalez).  That alone shows how important of a role he plays on the passing game.

Read more

Draft Day Decision: Who Should You Select Fifth Overall?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

It’s easy to assume that Jamaal Charles, LeSean McCoy and Adrian Peterson are going to go 1-2-3, in some order. Matt Forte makes sense as the fourth pick, although it’s not 100% given that he goes in that spot (though he should). Where it really gets interesting is at #5, where the top players on your draft board will likely be:

  • Eddie Lacy
  • Calvin Johnson
  • Jimmy Graham

I know the idea of selecting Graham in the first round is in vogue this season, and it does make sense. He gives you a significant advantage over your opponents at tight end. Does it make any sense to select him fifth, though? You would be leaving a player who will likely outperform him, and by a fairly wide margin, on the board. It’s a pick I certainly couldn’t get behind.

Read more