Archive for Uncategorized

Looking Into the Numbers: Miami Dolphins Edition (DeVante Parker’s Emergence & More)

by Ray Kuhn

Fantasy football ultimately is all about the numbers, though the NFL itself is about significantly more than that. That said we have come a long way in the past few years when it comes to equating numbers and statistics to what we see on the field and helping to predict and explain both past and future performance. As we inch closer to the kickoff of another NFL season, we’ll take a trip through the league and look at two statistics for each team and what it means from a fantasy perspective.

Today let’s take a look at the Miami Dolphins:

 

$1.5 Million: The Pay Cut Jordan Cameron Took to Remain on Miami

Cameron has talent and expectations, or at least in the past he did. Fantasy owners were optimistic entering his first season with Miami, but the results were not there. Previously one of the knocks against him was his inability to stay healthy, but that wasn’t what plagued him last season. Despite playing in all 16 games the performance wasn’t there as he posted 35 catches for 386 yards and 3 TD. Read more

Looking Into the Numbers: Buffalo Bills Edition (LeSean McCoy’s Carries & More)

by Ray Kuhn

Fantasy football ultimately is all about the numbers, though the NFL itself is about significantly more than that. That said we have come a long way in the past few years when it comes to equating numbers and statistics to what we see on the field and helping to predict and explain both past and future performance. As we inch closer to the kickoff of another NFL season, we’ll take a trip through the league and look at two statistics for each team and what it means from a fantasy perspective.

Let’s kick things off with the Buffalo Bills:

16.9: Carries per game for LeSean McCoy
Last season the Bills had the league’s number one rushing attack, and I would expect them to be highly ranked once again this season. McCoy was the team’s leading rusher, gaining 895 yards and averaging 16.9 carries in the 12 games he played. While he did lead Buffalo in both yards and carries, both Karlos Williams and Mike Gillislee had more success. Read more

Draft This, Not That: Draft Martellus Bennett, Pass On Delanie Walker?!

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Your strategy on draft day is always vital, and while players have value where they are available to be drafted could make it cost prohibitive.  Remember, by take a player (any player), you are opting to leave someone who on the board.  With that in mind, let’s take a look at a few tight ends:

 

Don’t Draft – Delanie Walker – Tennessee Titans
Current Average ADP – 68.3 (6th tight end)

Walker is coming off a great season, catching 94 passes for 1,088 yards and 6 TD.  It certainly makes sense for people to be targeting him, but there also is reason to believe that there is more risk than potential reward in selecting him this early.

While he should remain among the top receiving options for the Titans (unless Dorial Beckham-Green takes a meteoric leap forward), the team’s offseason moves certainly appear to dictate a run heavy approach: Read more

Overdraft Alert: Is Keenan Allen Worth The 3rd Round Price Tag?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

It’s easy to get excited about the pace Keenan Allen was performing at prior to having his season end due to a lacerated kidney. After 8 games as he had 67 catches for 725 yards and 4 TD and if you extrapolate those numbers for 16 games your jaw is likely to drop:

134 catches, 1,450 yards, 8 TD

Obviously those are elite numbers, though is it possible for him to come even remotely close to maintaining that type of pace?  Over his first 29 games he totaled 148 catches, good for roughly 5 catches per game.  Seeing any player average over 8 catches a game is going to be difficult to imagine, especially someone like Allen given the other talent around him.

The team brought in Travis Benjamin this offseason, saw Dontrelle Inman develop in the second half and still have Antonio Gates in the mix.  You also can’t ignore the running backs, with Danny Woodhead operating as a receiving monster and all signs are pointing to a significantly better season for sophomore Melvin Gordon. Read more

Is The Raiders’ DeAndre Washington A Sleeper Worth Selecting?

by Ray Kuhn

Where a player was selected in the draft obviously matters as roster decisions, depth charts and initial playing time can all generally be tied back to it. For the most part, anyways, though it’s a little bit less of a factor today than it once was.  That is especially true when it comes to the running back position. That is the position where depth charts have an ever decreasing value, and most teams will have multiple running backs who will have fantasy value throughout the season.

There were many running backs taken in the draft ahead of DeAndre Washington (Oakland), and the majority of them came with greater buzz and name recognition. However there will likely be any better values coming out of this year’s rookie class. I’m not going to say that he is going to outperform Ezekiel Elliot or Derrick Henry, but Washington will likely be just a step or two behind.

Let’s start by taking a quick look at Washington’s college career at Texas Tech. Read more

Is There Too Much Risk To Invest In Brock Osweiler As Anything More Than A Bench Option?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

It was a bit of a surprise when Brock Osweiler bolted Denver to sign with the Houston Texans.  Obviously money talks, though you could also argue that he moves somewhere that he will be in position to thrive:

  • DeAndre Hopkins (arguably the premier WR in the league) is at his disposal
  • The team added Will Fuller to start across from him
  • Lamar Miller was added in the offseason, which will give the team a running game to help keep defenses honest

It’s hard not to like the situation, the question is if Osweiler can take advantage of it.  In his first true taste in the NFL he completed 61.8% of his passes, throwing for 1,967 yards, 10 TD and 6 INT.  That said there obviously is a question as to whether or not he’s going to be able to thrive on deeper throws: Read more

Bounce Back Candidate: Beyond The Weight Loss, There Are Ample Reasons To Believe In Eddie Lacy

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Eddie Lacy was thought of as a can’t miss option entering 2015, though that ultimately proved to be far from accurate.  Instead of producing like a Top 5 running back Lacy found himself benched and buried down the depth chart for much of the season.  Sharing time with James Starks, here’s how things ended up being split:

  • Eddie Lacy – 187 carries, 758 yards, 3 TD
  • James Starks – 148 carries, 601 yards, 2 TD

While the numbers look close, Starks added 43 receptions for 392 yards and 3 TD compared to 20 receptions for 188 yards and 2 TD from Lacy.  The question now is if we should anticipate a similar split as we head into 2016, or if Lacy can once again stake claim to the lead role.

According to Rob Demovsky of ESPN early this offseason (click here for the article):

“According to one source, Lacy has lost between 15-18 pounds since the end of last season.” Read more

Thank You For A Great 2015 Season!

I wanted to take a moment to thank everyone who visited/supported Rotoprofessor throughout the 2015 season.  We couldn’t do this without you and your support is very much appreciated.

We will keep the site going in the offseason, though the articles will be a bit more sporadic, and we’ll also be posting NFL Mock Drafts and prospect profiles over on our prospect page.  In other words, make sure to keep checking back!

Thanks again and for those of you who are still battling for a title good luck today!

Sunday Morning Start ‘Em or Sit ‘Em: Karlos Williams, Doug Baldwin, Randall Cobb & More

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Just hours before the start of Week 16 I know many people have questions running through their heads. Who should I start? Who should I sit? Let’s take a look at how some of the recent news changes things:

 

Karlos Williams – Buffalo Bills – Running Back
Chris Brown of the Bills’ official website (click here for the post) recently published the following quote from Bills’ head coach Rex Ryan:

“I would think so,” said Rex Ryan of the likelihood of a heavy rushing attack for both teams. “I think with the weather, I think we’re gonna get a lot of run. I mean it sounds like we’re gonna get some Buffalo wind and so I think that’ll probably lead to the fact that we’ll probably see more run.” Read more

Want To Win A Noah Syndergaard Autographed Baseball? Rotoprofessor Is Giving One Away!

It’s that time of year again! I mean, it’s never too early to start planning for 2016 fantasy baseball season, is it? As a loyal Rotoprofessor reader/supporter, we wanted to give you the first opportunity to reserve your copy our 2016 Fantasy Baseball Draft Guide!

In addition to getting one of the best and only resources you will need to prepare for your draft, one lucky subscriber will win an MLB Authenticated Noah Syndergaard autographed baseball, complete with “Thor” inscription!  If you’ve already purchased the guide you are automatically entered to win

Make sure to click here to pre-order the guide today! Read more