Archive for Uncategorized

Week 11 Rankings (2017): Top 40 Running Backs

by Ray Kuhn

The waiver wire has been quiet for the last few weeks, but this week might be a little different. There are few options potentially available, and while they might not be the most exciting they offer some hope. How do those “fliers” fit into the rankings?  Who should we be trusting overall?  Let’s take a look at what we can expect and how our options rank:

  1. Kareem Hunt – Kansas City Chiefs – at New York Giants
  2. Le’Veon Bell – Pittsburgh Steelers – vs. Tennessee
  3. Todd Gurley – Los Angeles Rams – at Minnesota
  4. LeSean McCoy – Buffalo Bills – at LA Chargers
  5. Leonard Fournette – Jacksonville Jaguars – at Cleveland
  6. Mark Ingram – New Orleans Saints – vs. Washington
  7. Melvin Gordon – Los Angeles Chargers – vs. Buffalo
  8. Jordan Howard – Chicago Bears – vs. Detroit Read more

Streaming Defenses (2017): Week 1

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Whatever we think we know heading into the opening week of the season can probably be safely forgotten.  Things are constantly changing in the NFL, and what we knew at the time of our drafts is already “out of date” and irrelevant.  With that in mind, which defenses that were likely ignored on draft day are worth considering for Week 1?  Let’s take a look:

 

Buffalo Bills
vs. New York Jets

The New York Jets offense is going to be bad.  In fact it may be among the worst offenses the NFL has seen….  Ever.  Outside of Bilal Powell there is no “weapon” that is going to scare an opposing defense, nor is there one that a defensive coordinator needs to game plan for. Read more

Sleeper Spotlight: Will The Lions’ Kenny Golladay Make An Instant Impact?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

The Lions currently have Golden Tate, Marvin Jones and TJ Jones sitting atop their depth chart, but third round pick Kenny Golladay has been garnering significant attention.  While it’s hard to imagine him taking over one of the Top 2 spots, is it really a stretch to see him overtake Jones?

Expectations are quickly rising, given his size, speed and performance early on (he scored a pair of TD in the team’s first preseason game).  Dave Birkett of the Detroit Free Press (click here for the article) sees him playing an immediate role.  Just look at how he described him recently:

At 6-4 and 213 pounds, Golladay is the biggest and one of the fastest receivers on the Lions’ roster. He’s shown a knack for knowing how to use his body at this early point of his NFL career.  Read more

Why DeMarco Murray Has Fallen On My “Do Not Draft List” Given His Current ADP…

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Demarco Murray has been among the best running backs in the game for many years, and on the surface 2016 was no different as he posted 1,287 rushing yards and 9 TD.  However there was a clear regression in his performance as the season progressed:

Split
Rushing Yards
YPC
TD
Games 1-87564.76
Games 9-166534.03

Entering the season at 29-years old and having accumulated a good number of touches over the past few seasons, there obviously is risk that he’s starting to wear down.  The fact that his production faded makes jumping to that conclusion that much easier. Read more

Will Allen Robinson (Or Similar WR) Be Viable Options This Week?

by Ray Kuhn

Speculation doesn’t matter. Potential, that is meaningless at this point in the season. What is important though, is results.

And there are players, who for one reason or another, just haven’t produced them this season. At this point in the season, there is no need to be taking risks. If there is a risk to be taken, it should be in situations where upside is plentiful. There is no tomorrow, and you should plan accordingly.

Who would have thought this? We are in Week 16, and Allen Robinson is ranked 44th among wide receivers by RotoProfessor. It certainly isn’t a sudden development as Robinson has struggled all season, but it is a bit surprising to see him not even ranked as a WR3.

After all, Robinson was either a late first round or early second round selection in drafts this summer. We are well beyond the point of equating Robinson’s roster status to where he was drafted, and it is very possible you weren’t able to overcome his poor performance, but the time is now. Read more

Thursday Night Start ‘Em or Sit ‘Em: Week 15: Todd Gurley, Russell Wilson, Jimmy Graham & More

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Thursday games are often tricky, because there isn’t necessarily a reason to take any undue risks with questionable options (which could set you back and spoil your week).  Who are the borderline players that should be in lineups?  Who should be sat down?  Let’s take a look at the skill players taking the field tonight and try to answer those questions:

 

Los Angeles Rams

Todd Gurley – Running Back
Part of the problem is likely the supporting cast, and that’s fair, but regardless of the reason Gurley has taken a massive step backwards from his rookie season.  Just look at the numbers thus far:

  • 2015 – 229 carries, 1,106 yards, 10 TD
  • 2016 – 227 carries, 740 yards, 5 TD Read more

Snap Count: How Much Potential Value Does Darren Sproles Have?

According to Zach Berman (via Twitter), the Eagles running back snaps in Week 9 were as follows:

  • Darren Sproles – 60
  • Ryan Mathews – 8
  • Wendell Smallwood – 4

Reuben Frank later tweeted:

“Pederson acknowledged he needs to focus more on running the ball & having Wentz throw less rest of season. Said Sproles will be lead back.”


Thoughts:
Considering the snap count, Frank’s tweet really shouldn’t come as a surprise. Sproles racked up 16 touches, compared to 6 for Mathews. Considering the number of plays Mathews was on the field for, that’s actually a surprising number of touches and not something we’d be willing to depend on moving forward. Read more

Deep League Diving: Is The Cardinals’ Jaron Brown Worth A Speculative Add?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Kent Somers recently tweeted:

“Jaron Brown has to play more earlier in games. Producing. Michael Floyd isn’t.”

It may not be groundbreaking analysis, but it’s something that certainly makes sense.  Just look at the numbers for the Cardinals’ wide receivers through the first three weeks of the season:

  • Larry Fitzgerald – 20 receptions on 32 targets (62.5%)
  • Michael Floyd – 9 receptions on 24 targets (37.5%)
  • John Brown – 8 receptions on 18 targets (44.4%)
  • Jaron Brown – 6 receptions on 10 targets (60.0%)

Given those numbers it’s fair to wonder if it’s Carson Palmer who is really the problem.  It’s not like Floyd is the only unproductive receiver, with John Brown also failing to convert many of his opportunities.  Both were significantly better last season, with Palmer at QB, so it makes sense to try and fix the problem as opposed to making sweeping changes. Read more

Without Tony Romo, Is There Reason To Sell High On Dez Bryant?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Obviously since the news of Tony Romo’s injury broke all eyes have been on rookie Dak Prescott, who will be stepping into the starters role. However what about standout wide receiver Dez Bryant? Can he still be counted on or would fantasy owners be wise to sell now? First, let’s take a look at the numbers Bryant put up in six games without Romo a year ago:

20 catches, 282 yards, 2 TD

Of course Bryant was battling his own injuries, but just over 3 catches for 47 yards per game is as pedestrian as you get.  In the one start Romo missed in 2014, Bryant managed a meager 2 catches for 15 yards and 1 TD. He did post a big performance in the final game of 2013, with 8 catches for 99 yards and 1 TD, but that appears to be the exception not the rule.

Read more

Streaming Quarterbacks: Week 1: Old Faces In New Places Make For Upside Plays

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Have you been forced to stream QB, whether it’s due to the suspension of Tom Brady, the injury to Teddy Bridgewater or a strategic decision?  Here are options owned in fewer than 50% of ESPN leagues that are worth considering for Week 1:

 

Brock Osweiler – Houston Texans
vs. Chicago

Last season the Bears allowed 31 passing TD, tied for fifth most in the league.  They didn’t do much to upgrade the secondary in the offseason (though they did strengthen the front seven, which will help), and the unit remains a serious concern.

While it is just the preseason, Osweiler thrived in the important third preseason game to the tune of 11-13 (84.6% completion rate), 146 yards and 1 TD.  That performance came against the Arizona Cardinals, generally viewed as one of the elite defenses in the league.  Obviously we don’t know who was on the field and who wasn’t, but the performance was eye-popping none the less. Read more