Archive for Transaction Analysis

Fantasy Fallout: Robert Meachem Returning To New Orleans, Leaving Stills/Toon Even Less Desirable Sleeper Options

According to ESPN’s Bill Williamson (via Twitter):

“Breaking: Former #Charger WR Robert Meachem on verge of signing with #Saints.”

Meachem spent one season in San Diego after calling New Orleans home for his first four seasons.  He had between 40 and 45 receptions (on between 61 and 66 targets) from 2009 to 2011.  His career yards/reception is 16.0 and he has scored 25 TD.


Thoughts:
Meachem was underwhelming in his lone season in San Diego, with 14 catches for 207 yards and 2 TD.

It will be interesting to see how he fits into the Saints this time around, but he certainly provides veteran depth as Kenny Stills and Nick Toon adjust to the NFL game.  While he may open the season as the team’s third receiver, it’s more likely that he cedes targets to the younger receivers as the season progresses (most likely Stills, who had 9 catches for 170 yards and 2 TD this preseason).

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Offseason Movement Guide: Breaking Down Whose Value Rose & Whose Diminished

by Ray Kuhn

The time is here. The moves have happened, the draft is over and minicamps have begun. Players will not be officially reporting to training camps for almost another two months, but that shouldn’t mean anything to you. For fantasy owners, preparations should be beginning now as before you know it your draft will be here.

Before your preparations begin in earnest, a little recap is in order. Let’s take a look at what is new for the 2013 season. Here are some player moves from the offseason along with their potential fantasy impact:

Greg Jennings, WR, Leaves Green Bay to sign with Minnesota. Jennings leaves the comfort of Aaron Rodgers for the untested and inexperienced Christian Ponder. In Green Bay Jennings did not have Adrian Peterson, but he also had a much more prolific offense. The departure of Jennings should allow James Jones and Randall Cobb to see an increase in targets and value. With the stable of weapons at his disposal Rodgers shouldn’t miss Jennings too much, while the wide receiver will likely see a slight decrease to his value now that he is catching passes from Ponder.

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Fantasy Fallout: Cedric Benson Lands In Green Bay

The News:
According to Chris Mortensen (via Twitter):

“Cedric Benson is in Green Bay, expected to sign with #Packers, per sources”

The Fantasy Fallout:
You knew it was only a matter of time before Benson found a job, and this may be the perfect landing spot.  At 29-years old there is a lot of wear and tear on Benson, especially over the past three seasons where he has been a horse in Cincinnati:

  • 2009 – 301 carries for 1,251 yards and 6 TD
  • 2010 – 321 carries for 1,111 yards and 7 TD
  • 2011 – 273 carries for 1,067 yards and 6 TD

That’s a lot of carries, which may have factored in to why a player with three consecutive seasons over 1,000 yards was still out of job.  Of course the fact that he averaged 3.5 and 3.9 yards per carry the past two seasons didn’t help matters either. Read more

Fantasy Fallout: Brandon Lloyd Traded To St. Louis

By now we’ve all heard about the trade that sent Brandon Lloyd to the St. Louis Rams for a conditional draft pick.  It’s also pretty obvious that Lloyd is not the only player whose value is affected by the deal.  Let’s take a look at all the fallout from today’s deal:

Brandon Lloyd – Wide Receiver
He is reunited with Josh McDaniels, who is the offensive coordinator for the Rams (and the former head coach in Denver).  With McDaniels calling the shots Lloyd enjoyed his breakout year in 2010 as he went off for 77 receptions, 1,448 yards and 11 TD.

He also benefits from getting away from John Fox’s run first offense and a quarterback who brings significant risk (and potential inaccuracy) in Tim Tebow.  It’s not that Sam Bradford has been very good this season, but he also has had limited talent around him to work with.  It wouldn’t be surprising to see Lloyd return to being a must use option in all formats.
Fantasy Fallout – Significant Improvement Read more

Fantasy Fallout: Randy Moss Claimed By Tennessee

It didn’t take long for Randy Moss to find a new home, as the Tennessee Titans won the waiver claim for the unpredictable wide receiver.  There are certainly a few ways to look at the move, though the first and foremost centers around the health of Kenny Britt.

Britt had appeared to finally be coming into his own as a potentially elite wide receiver but suffered a hamstring injury this past Sunday.  While there has not been any official word as to the severity of the injury, this move certainly makes you think that we are not going to see him back on the field in the near future.  He’s already been ruled out for Week 10, and at this point you have to wonder exactly when his time will come.

As for the rest of the receiving corps, they were always unpredictable so the presence of Moss doesn’t change much.  It was hard to trust players like Nate Washington and Justin Gage before and it still is hard to. Read more

Get ‘em or Don’t Sweat ‘em Week 13

By Ryan Lester, LestersLegends.com

There were some unusual heroes on Sunday. There always are. Let’s take a look at them and see if they are worthy of your fantasy rosters.

Chad Henne, QB, Miami Dolphins
Henne burned the Pats for 335 yards and a pair of scores. You can’t use him in the fantasy playoffs in a standard league, but with Jacksonville, Tennessee, and Houston up the next three weeks he is useful in two-QB leagues.
Ruling: Don’t Sweat ‘em.

Bruce Gradkowski, QB, Oakland Raiders
Gradkowski torched the Steelers for 308 yards and 2 TDs. While I think he’s the right man for the Raiders right now, he’s not the right man for your fantasy team.
Ruling: Don’t Sweat ‘em.

Brady Quinn, QB, Cleveland Browns
Quinn has been the butt of almost as many jokes as Charlie Weis. He tossed 3 TDs without an INT. His lines from the past four games should be enough for you to stay clear.
Week 10: 99 yards, 0 TDs, 2 INTS
Week 11: 304 yards, 4 TDs, 0 INTs
Week 12: 100 yards, o TDs, o INTs
Week 13: 271 yards, 3 TDs, 0 INTs
Ruling: Don’t Sweat ‘em.

Alex Smith, QB, San Francisco 49ers
Smith topped 300 yards for the first time in his career. He tossed multiple TDs for the third straight week. With ARI, PHI, and DET in the fantasy playoffs, he’s worth adding as a bench player and spot starter. He could be the perfect fill-in for Peyton Manning or Drew Brees in Week 16 if their teams are pulling starters.
Ruling: Get ‘em.
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Braylon Edwards Traded to Jets

According to ESPN (click here for the article), the Cleveland Browns have traded WR Braylon Edwards to the New York Jets for Jason Trusnik (a special teams player), WR Chansi Stuckey and a pair of draft picks.

Edwards value can’t get any lower then it has been in Cleveland, where he has struggled over the first four weeks, catching just 10 passes for 139 yards and 0 TD.  His presence, however, will likely impact the value of Jerricho Cotchery, who is likely to see the ball less then he had been over the first few weeks.  Let’s be honest, the Jets didn’t acquire Edwards to be a decoy.  He’s going to have the ball thrown his way more than Stuckey had been.

In Cleveland, Stuckey figures to be in the receiver mix with Mohamad Massaquoi, who emerged last week as a potential go to target for newly annointed starter Derek Anderson.  Stuckey had potential value in deeper leagues prior to the trade, so that remains unchanged.  Massaquoi, meanwhile, could now emerge as the main receiver in Cleveland, meaning that he should be owned in all formats.

What are your thoughts on the move?  Who wins?  Who loses?

Analyzing the Fantasy Impact of Cutler’s Trade

by Matt Soltysiak

Whether you think Jay Cutler forced his way out or you believe Denver pushed him out doesn’t really matter.  What matters is how this move impacts fantasy football for the fall of 2009.  Both teams face about the same talent in divisional foes, so that’s a wash.  Here’s the rest of the laundry.

Jay Cutler’s stock drops automatically.  In Denver he had Brandon Marshall and rookie standout Eddie Royal.  Now he’s throwing to the likes of Brandon Lloyd, Rasheed Davis and Devin Hester.  Don’t go jumping on the Hester bandwagon either.  He’s not that good at being a WR, plus the team may limit his touches as it appeared to hurt the return game last year (no TDs).  TE Greg Olson failed to assert himself as the starter last year and splits times with Desmond Clark.

Plus you have to look and see that Denver had a bad defense and a bad running game last year, so Cutler had to throw more than usual.  In Chicago they’ll run the ball more, which some could argue will open things up more for Cutler to throw, but those WRs have to get open and there isn’t a legit #1 on the team.  It’s questionable if they even have a #2 WR.

When it comes to Chicago, Cutler’s stock drops, the Bear’s WRs remain about the same and whoever gets the #1 designation is worth taking a flyer on later.  The one person this could help is Matt Forte.  If teams can’t throw 8 in the box simply because Cutler can throw it deep, Forte may find more running room. Read more