Archive for Player Analysis

Buy ‘Em or Deny ‘Em: Is It Time To Trust Phillip Lindsay?

 

Talk about a frustrating situation for those who invested heavily in Freeman on draft day.  While his lack of snaps was game flow dependent, it’s clear that he’s not going to assume leadership of the backfield as expected.  In fact he’s been out touched and outproduced by Lindsay over the first two weeks:

  • Phillip Lindsay – 29 carries for 178 yards (6.1 YPC)
  • Royce Freeman – 23 carries for 99 yards (4.3 YPC)

Freeman does have a rushing touchdown, and with Lindsay listed at 5’8″ and 190 lbs. you would think that the former would operate as the goal line/short yardage back.  At the same time, if he’s reduced to more of a TD vulture is he going to carry significant value? Read more

Stock Watch: Bengals-Ravens Fallout: Is Collins Value Plummeting & More

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

There are plenty of storylines coming out of yesterday’s games, but which are the most intriguing?  Whose stock is on the rise?  Whose performance should we be ignoring?  Let’s take a look:

 

1) Tyler Boyd makes the biggest statement for Cincinnati…
Considering A.J. Green caught 3 TD passes it’s somewhat amazing that Boyd’s performance may be the most notable for Cincinnati.  He equaled Green with 9 targets, turning them into 6 receptions, 91 yards and 1 TD.  That’s a big step up from his Week 1 performance (3 receptions for 25 yards), but it’s actually the second time in his past three games that he’s reached 90+ yards and the third time in his past four games that he’s caught at least 5 passes (dating back to ’17).  Read more

The Ditch List: Is It Time To Move On From These Disappointing Performers (Amari Cooper & More)

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

It’s easy to make a hasty decision when it comes to your fantasy football team, since the season feels more like a sprint than a marathon.  How long do you stay patient?  Is it time to cut bait and move on?  Let’s take a look at a few of the standout players who you may be considering cutting:

 

Amari Cooper – Oakland Raiders – Wide Receiver
Was there a more disappointing performance in Week 1?  He wasn’t alone among Raiders’ wide receivers, as Derek Carr instead focused his attention on his tight end (Jared Cook) and running backs (Jalen Richard was targeted 11 times).  That left few opportunities for the wide receivers, with the team’s trio totaling 9 targets:

  • Jordy Nelson – 4 targets
  • Seth Roberts – 2 targets
  • Amari Cooper – 3 targets Read more

Fantasy Fallout: How Concerned Should Devonta Freeman Owners Be Coming Out Of Week 1?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Fantasy football is a frustrating game and Thursday night and the results from the Atlanta running backs accentuate that fact.  Just look at the numbers:

  • Devonta Freeman – 6 carries for 36 yards
  • Tevin Coleman – 9 carries for 19 yards and 1 TD

Freeman owners watching the game were likely confused, as they saw him put in mothballs with little explanation.  It wasn’t until late in the game that word of a knee injury broke, though we don’t know for sure when the injury actually occurred.  Regardless, according to NFL.com:

However, he told NFL Network’s Mike Garafolo after the game he was OK.  The injury didn’t appear to be too serious. Television cameras captured Freeman walking on the sideline with a slight limp in the closing minutes. Read more

With Royce Freeman “Officially” Set To Start For Denver, How Should He Be Valued?

 


This news shouldn’t come as a surprise as Freeman clearly outproduced Devontae Booker throughout the preseason:

  • Royce Freeman – 15 carries for 84 yards (5.6 yards/carry) and 3 TD
  • Devontae Booker – 9 carries for 33 yards (3.7 yards/carry)

Booker’s longest run was 6 yards and he has failed to make much of an impact over his first two years in the NFL (3.6 yards per carry on 253 carries). He seems better suited as a pass catching third down running back, with 61 career receptions, and that could be where he’s pigeon holed. Read more

Start ‘Em or Sit ‘Em: As Le’Veon Bell’s Holdout Continues, How Does It Impact Pittsburgh’s Other Skill Player (Conner & More)

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

The assumption had been that Le’Veon Bell would follow the same schedule he had in 2017, sitting out the entire preseason but ultimately reporting the Monday before Week 1.  However we are now at Tuesday and Bell remains MIA with no word as to whether or not he’s going to report.  While we’d still expect him to ultimately show up and avoid giving up a game check, even if he does exactly what type of production can we expect?  Let’s not forget that he was pedestrian, at best, a year ago in Week 1:

  • Rushing – 10 carries for 32 yards
  • Receiving – 3 catches for 15 yards

We’d anticipate a similar limited workload, at best, and it’s extremely realistic that he’s even more limited this time around.  That’s going to make him a questionable play, at best, but the real question facing fantasy owners is how to value James Conner and the other skill players considering how things have progressed: Read more

Draft Day Dilemma: Is Demaryius Thomas Set To Be A Fantasy Bust In 2018?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

No one is going to argue against the numbers Demaryius Thomas has posted throughout his career.  Over the past six seasons he’s averaged 155 targets per year, never falling below 141.  Opportunity is king, but over the post four seasons the production has started to slide in the wrong direction:

Year
Receptions
Targets
Yards
Yards/Catch
TD
20141111841,61914.611
20151051761,30412.46
2016901451,08312.05
20178314194911.45

You can argue that it’s been partly due to the quarterback play, and with Case Keenum taking over that should be an improvement and help to resolve that issue.  At the same time is anyone willing to guarantee that Thomas is going to see the same type of workload? Read more

Fantasy Fallout: With Jerick McKinnon Out, Is There A Strong Outlook For Alfred Morris?

 


It’s a devastating blow to the 49ers offense, leaving the running back depth chart seemingly barren. There’s a good chance they are active on the waiver wire after cut down day, but you wouldn’t think things looked all that promising with Alfred Morris now expected to operate as the early down option and Matt Breida being the third down type. The fact is, the outlook may actually not be as bad as you’d have thought. Read more

Draft Day Strategy: Could A Case Be Made To Pass On Aaron Rodgers In Favor Of Pat Mahomes?!

by Joe Delcorse

I like to get value out of every pick I make (then again, who doesn’t?). Regardless of the format I always rank using a dollar system, putting players in four categories: bargains, steals, overpriced and poison. As awesome as Aaron Rodgers has been and as blasphemous as it sounds, there are way too many good quarterbacks to consider before “reaching” for the future Hall of Famer. Now if the draft shakes out and he is sitting there then by all means fire away. Sometimes there is just the opposite and people are selling a player short that ends up striking gold.

Case in point, would you rather have Aaron Rodgers conservatively throwing for 30 TD, 4,000 yards and 6 INT while adding 4 more rushing TD or waiting a few more rounds and seeing what Patrick Mahomes (or a similar upside play) can do? I have nothing to show what numbers Mahomes can post because this is going to be his first full season under center, but there are many intangibles that go into this prediction before taking this leap of faith. It’s not to say that Rodgers is old and not capable of an MVP caliber season, but for the price point I am willing to take Mahomes knowing I am going to be loaded at the other skill positions. Read more

Fantasy Fallout: With Sam Darnold Under Center, Could A Breakout Emerge For The Jets?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

It shouldn’t come as a surprise that the Jets traded away Teddy Bridgewater, as it seemed inevitable as Sam Darnold rose to the top of the depth chart.  The question now is what type of impact Darnold will have on the receiving corps in New York, since the running backs (Isaiah Crowell and Billal Powell) likely gain significant value with the team trying to protect their rookie quarterback as much as possible.  Let’s take a look at the receivers and who, if anyone, fantasy owners should be targeting:

 

Robby Anderson – Wide Receiver
It’s easy to argue that Anderson is the “best” skill player the Jets have, coming off a year where he posted 63 catches for 941 yards and 7 TD.  Of course he also only had three games with at least 6 receptions and only four times did he reach at least 95 yards.  The Jets receiving corps is surprisingly deep, with the addition of Terrelle Pryor and the return to health of Quincy Enunwa creating a bit of a log jam.  Read more