Archive for Player Analysis

Snap Count: Raiders Running Backs: Is Murray Back To Being A Workhorse?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Scott Bair of CSN Bay Area published the Raiders’ snap count from Week 7 (click here to view). Interesting was the split among the running backs

42 – RB Latavius Murray
13 – RB DeAndre Washington
4 – RB Jalen Richard

Both Richard and Washington failed to emerge while Murray was sidelined, so it shouldn’t be a huge shock that he had a chance to return as the lead back. It is a bit surprising that he wasn’t eased back in, instead taking on a big role immediately.

While he did find the end zone twice, it’s not like he was overly impressive on the day (18 carries for 59 yards, an average of 3.3 yards per carry). That’s not going to get it done, though it wasn’t an easy matchup (the Jaguars have allowed the ninth fewest rushing yards to opposing running backs, at 515). Read more

The Ditch List: Has The Time Come To Give Up On Julian Edelman?


It shouldn’t be surprising that Edelman led the Patriots receiving corps in snaps. He also “busted out” with 9 receptions (on 10 targets), so you would think there would be optimism. However that’s not the case as he mustered just 60 yards and didn’t find the end zone.

He’s clearly among the go to receivers on the team, as he was the only player targeted more than 5 times on a day LeGarrette Blount was given 24 carries. Despite the targets and the return of Tom Brady, though, the output simply hasn’t been there. Read more

The Dump List: Is It Time To Move On From Jordan Howard?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

The Chicago Bears are in a free fall, and you can argue that at this point there isn’t a useful fantasy asset among them. That said, the situation at running back has become a complete disaster (in other words worse than the rest of the team), and the potential is there for it to grow even messier.

Just when we though Jordan Howard had settled in, things have taken a dramatic turn over the past two weeks. Just look at his numbers, compared to Ka’Deem Carey’s:

  • Howard – 22 carries, 56 yards, 1 TD
  • Carey – 19 carries, 98 yards

In other words it hasn’t even been close. Carey has brought potential production, while Howard has struggled to get anything going Read more

Waiver Worthy: Is There A Player Worth Adding Among Tampa Bay’s WR Corps?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

The Tampa Buccaneers placed Vincent Jackson on Injured Reserve yesterday, most likely ending his season.  While Mike Evans should remain a target monster (62) and Doug Martin should see an increased role in the running game, there is obviously an opportunity for someone to step up and deliver.  Who is the most likely to take advantage?  Should we care?  Let’s take a look:


Adam Humphries – Wide Receiver
He’s actually tied with Jackson for second in targets (31), though the looks have disappeared over the past two weeks:

  • vs. Denver – 1 reception for 4 yards (4 targets)
  • at Carolina – 1 reception for 11 yards (2 targets) Read more

Snap Count: Eagles Running Backs: Is It Time To Give Up On Ryan Mathews?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Zach Berman (via Twitter) yesterday posted the Eagles’ snap counts for Sunday’s game.  The running back usage is certainly “telling”:

  • Darren Sproles – 23 (44%)
  • Ryan Mathews – 11 (21%)
  • Wendell Smallwood – 10 (19%)
  • Kenjon Barner – 8 (15%)

What exactly does this tell us?  Basically that it’s deteriorating into an unpredictable landmine for fantasy owners, at least in the short-term.  Outside of Sproles, who should remain on the FLEX spectrum in PPR formats, it’s impossible to depend on enough touches for any other running back on a weekly basis.

That said Mathews did make the most of his opportunities, turning 9 carries into 60 yards, while the other two runners didn’t show much: Read more

Is Sammy Watkins A Player Worth Stashing?

by William Cheung

Every fantasy season bye weeks represent a wealth of opportunities. One such opportunity for 2016 comes in the form of Sammy Watkins, as he has been dropped in 15% of ESPN leagues since going on IR and is available in 56% of leagues. If he is available in your league, he is worth stashing for week 12 when he is eligible to return.

When healthy, he averaged 14 fantasy points in 9 games coming out of their bye week last year. This kid can play ball, albeit prone to injury. The good news is that this week it was reported that he won’t need surgery on his foot and he is expected back this season, at some point.

Also, his schedule could feature four games at home and five questionable secondaries (depending on when he is deemed healthy enough to return). Consider these stats: Read more

Identifying Efficient Flex Options For Week 6 (Hogan, Crabtree & More

by Ray Lin

If you’re like me, you probably play in a league where the flex spot is, well, very flexible. I’m talking about a spot where you can play either a Wide Receiver, Running Back or a Tight End. When deciding who to start, it’s natural to simply resort to flex rankings and just slot in the highest-ranked player, but what happens when we actually look at the stats blended across those three positions? I wanted to answer two questions specifically:

  1. Which of the flex positions is actually the best to start in terms of fantasy point production?
  2. Which players are the most quietly productive flex options through the first month of the season?

So, I went and crunched some numbers for players who are not the #1 option at their position on their given teams (which is typically the pool of players who end up in flex consideration). Then, I looked at their fantasy point production (standard scoring) per Touch Opportunity — calculated as the sum of their receiving targets and their rushing attempts. Touches are typically calculated as the sum of actual receptions and rushes, but I use targets here to help bridge the gap between total touches for a running back compared to the number of looks a receiver gets. Read more

With Tom Brady Back, Is There A Patriots’ Running Back Worth Owning?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

According to Mik Reiss (via Twitter):

“@MikeReiss: Patriots RB snap counts (out of 80): James White 38, LeGarrette Blount 31, D.J. Foster 12. FB James Develin 22.”

Is this a one-time thing, or are things going to quickly shift for New England now that Tom Brady is back from suspension? We knew the team would go significantly more pass-heavy, which would lead to fewer opportunities for Blount.

Of course, despite the limited snaps he still had 18 carries (37 yards and 1 TD) and he was hampered by a hip injury heading into the game. Regardless, the days of him getting 20+ carries are likely behind him. Last season he had more than 19 carries just once, averaging 13.75 carries per game. Read more

Doug Martin, Ideal Buy Low Candidate?!

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

In a surprising move the Buccaneers placed Charles Sims on the IR, leaving a significant void in their backfield. While Jacquizz Rodgers will be the short-term beneficiary, Martin is expected to return to the lineup following the team’s Week 6 bye. That could easily create an opportunity for Martin.

We know he’s going to get the early down work, despite just 85 yards on 25 carries prior to the injury. The question is going to be if there is upside of an every down back in his future?

It’s not like Rodgers has ever proven to be much more than a mediocre backup, and while he racked up the yardage last night he needed 30 carries to cross the 100 yard barrier (101 yards, yielding a 3.4 YPC).  The team will need someone to step in and fill a pass catching void and it’s easy to forget that ‘Martin could be a viable alternative there. Read more

Quick Hit: Is Derrick Henry Safe To Drop?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

According to ESPN’s Paul Kuharsky:

RB Derrick Henry played just 9 snaps (14%) in Week 4

For the team’s full snap count, click here.

At this point it’s become clear that Henry has been left to operate as nothing but a handcuff behind DeMarco Murray.  The latter has been impressive this season, averaging 5.2 yards per carry, while Henry has hardly made his presence felt (97 yards on 27 carries).

Granted the team is going to remain operating as a run first offense, but even if Henry was going to get 5-9 carries per game it’s hardly enough.  Things would be different if he was working as an option in the passing game, but that too hasn’t been the case: Read more