Archive for Player Analysis

2014 Projection: Is Marques Colston Worth Drafting In 2014?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

We have to give Marques Colston credit, he has been consistent in his production:

  • He’s only had one season with fewer than 70 receptions (47 in 2008, but that came in just 11 games)
  • Last season was the second time he came up short of 1,000 yards (the first was the same shortened 2008)
  • Last season was also the second time he had fewer than 7 TD (2008 was the other once again).

In 15 games he managed 75 catches for 943 yards and 5 TD, not terrible numbers at all. Considering the offense he plays in, with Drew Brees at the helm, it’s easy to expect a rebound season… Maybe not, though. Read more

Early ADP Analysis: Tight End Edition (Reed/Ertz Bringing Value & More)

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Let’s take a look at a few of the early ADP trends among tight ends to try and determine if there’s potential value or not:

 

Jimmy Graham is going in the first round
He is significantly better than the rest of the tight end field, there is no arguing that. However, does he give you enough of an advantage to bypass a RB or WR at the end of the first round? It’s a question that we will be diving into as we get closer to draft day, but my gut reaction would be no. I just can’t see taking a player who, overall, is going to put up worse statistics based on his position alone. Maybe my stance will change, though, so time will tell.

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Is Shane Vereen A Pick Within The Top 5 Rounds?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Obviously this is geared towards those in PPR formats more than non-PPR formats, but regardless do you believe in Shane Vereen enough to select him this early? According to Fantasy Pros his current ADP is 61.4, so if you really want him it’s going to cost you a selection in the fifth round (most likely).

Of course, reaching that high for him is going to require several assumptions:

1) Health
To be productive Vereen has to stay healthy, something he has yet to prove capable of. He’s never played more than 13 games in a season, including being limited to 8 last season. It’s hard to expect anything different heading into 2014.

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Is Peyton Manning Worth A First Round Draft Pick?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

No one is going to argue against Peyton Manning as the top fantasy quarterback for the upcoming season. However, two things can be questioned:

1) Can he repeat his 2013 numbers?
2) Is he worth a first round pick?

For me, both answers are pretty simple.

Can he match last years success? No, there’s little chance of it and going in expecting that would be a mistake. Let’s be honest, no one should be expected to replicate 55 TD throws. Even the 5,477 yards are a stretch, but much more believable. When we look at the touchdowns., keep the following things in mind: Read more

Is Doug Martin Destined To Disappoint In 2014?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

This is the type of article that would’ve seemed like lunacy about 18 months ago. Martin was coming off a stellar rookie season, with 1,926 total yards and 12 TD. He was a workhorse. He appeared to be the next superstar.

When he struggled out of the gates last season it was easy to overlook. He scored just 1 TD in six games, averaging a meager 3.6 yards per carry. Things were supposed to get better, instead they got unbelievably worse.

In that sixth game Martin suffered a torn labrum in his shoulder, ending his season and sabotaging many a fantasy season. In his absence the Buccaneers tried a variety of backs, with varying degrees of success:

  • Bobby Rainey – 3.9 yards/carry (137 carries)
  • Mike James – 4.9 yards/carry (60 carries)
  • Brian Leonard – 3.9 yards/carry (47 carries)

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Breakout or Bust: Will DeAndre Hopkins Emerge In 2014?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

It may not appear like Andre Johnson is going to hold out, though it doesn’t really matter as second year receiver DeAndre Hopkins is gaining a lot of attention (and rightfully so). Generally we view the third year as the “breakout year” for receivers, but can Hopkins respond sooner?

The fact is, regardless of if Johnson is on the field or not we have to expect Hopkins to play a bigger role in 2014. Just look at the targets for the team last season:

  • Andre Johnson – 181
  • DeAndre Hopkins – 93
  • Garrett Graham – 88
  • Ben Tate – 51

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Draft Day Decision: Is Frank Gore Worth A Top 50 Pick?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Running back is always a tough position to fill, especially now with more teams looking to employee committees as opposed to having a true lead back. In the past the 49′ers Frank Gore would be an easy selection early in your drafts, but is that still the case?

Age
Now 31-years old, Gore has accumulated a lot of mileage on his tires. Over the course of his career he has 2,187 carries and 331 receptions. Throw in an additional 140 carries and 18 receptions in the post season and you have a total of 2,676 touches over a nine-year NFL career.

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Which Browns’ Running Back Should Fantasy Owners Target?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Buried in an article about Johnny Manziel by Mary Kay Cabot of the Cleveland Plain Dealer (click here for the article) was this quote from coach Mike Pettine regarding training camp battles:

“And the best competition might be Ben Tate and our guy from Terrance West from Towson, who I really like.”

The assumption has been that Tate would be handed the starting job, with West operating as a complimentary back.  That has certainly been reflected in their ADP in the early going (courtesy of Fantasy Pros):

  • Ben Tate – 56.4
  • Terrance West – 118.0

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Notable PPR Decliners: Wide Receiver Edition (Cordarrelle Patterson, Desean Jackson & More)

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

We’ve already looked at some of the notable wide receiver risers when we look at a PPR league as opposed to a non-PPR league (click here to view).  What about those that go the other way?  Let’s take a look:

 

Cordarrelle Patterson – Minnesota Vikings
PPR Formats – 22
Non-PPR Formats – 17

Patterson is going to be a heavily hyped receiver as draft days approach, and rightfully so.  His numbers were limited in his rookie season (45 receptions for 469 yards and 4 TD), but Norv Turner running the offense alone is going to help him.  However, where Patterson thrives is with the ball in his hands and his ability to make big plays.  To an extent Turner himself said that, in this recent quote from Fox Sports Minnesota (click here for the article): Read more

Is Arian Foster Worth Drafting Or Is He A Bust Waiting To Happen?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

After being limited to just 8 games in 2013 due to a back injury, there is at least a shadow of doubt hanging over Arian Foster. However, that only adds to the potential draft day appeal.

We all know that talk this time of year is meaningless, but you have to like hearing things like this:

“In the past, we’ve had guys like Kevin Faulk, Danny Woodhead in this offense that have filled those types of roles,” said O’Brien, who served in various roles in the Patriots’ organization from 2007-11, “and now it looks like definitely Arian will be able to do that and more.”

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