Archive for Player Analysis

Buy ‘Em or Deny ‘Em: Can The Seahawks’ Paul Richardson Now Emerge As A 2014 Sleeper?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

In a move that seemingly came out of nowhere the Seattle Seahawks yesterday sent WR Percy Harvin to the New York Jets in exchange for a draft pick.  It’s nice to see the Jets finally use their cap space, though at 1-6 it’s too little too late for the 2014 season.  Could he make an impact for the team in 2015?  That remains to be seen, as overthecap.com (click here for the article) reports that Harvin owns a $10.5 cap hit for 2015 (though none of it is guaranteed) and could easily be cut in the offseason.

Harvin will get a chance to earn a roster spot and the Jets obviously have a major need for offensive talent.

The interesting fallout from the deal, though, is in Seattle and who may step up to fill the void the deal creates.  There’s no arguing that Harvin has been a bitter disappointment (22 receptions for 133 yards and 0 TD), but he has actually been the most targeted receiver for the Seahawks:

  • Harvin – 26 targets
  • Doug Baldwin – 25 targets
  • Jermaine Kearse – 19 targets Read more

Week 7 Sleeper: Could Jonathan Stewart Produce Big Numbers?

by Ray Kuhn

Generally I avoid running backs from the Carolina Panthers and I know I am not alone in this. Occasionally this strategy might cost me a few fantasy points in any given week, but that is rare. The benefits of avoidance simply outweigh the potential negatives.

Following this strategy eliminates some unnecessary stress, but more importantly it takes out guesswork. The Panthers’ backfield is consistently a source of timeshares, injury concerns, touchdown vultures and everything else that will keep fantasy owners up at night. When you then add in the fact the Carolina running backs are generally not very good from a fantasy perspective (hence the general confusion), there is not much value to be had.

So, then why am I rushing to the waiver wire this week to pick up Jonathan Stewart in a few of my leagues?  This is the same Stewart who has not played since Week 3 and so far this season has only gained 88 yards on 29 carries with one touchdown. He also has seven receptions for 58 yards. Read more

Moving Targets Week 7: A Decrease In Targets For Sammy Watkins & More

by Ivar G. Anderson

Week 7 arrives and we now have a full six weeks of target information to review. Of course, there are plenty of players that have only played five weeks, so it takes a bit of work to figure out who are the movers and shakers in the target world of the NFL, though that presumably is why you are here. Let’s take a look at the top 50 targeted receivers through the first third of the NFL season and see if we can glean something worthwhile to take forward. Read more

Fantasy Outlook: Will Mohammed Sanu Be A Viable Option For The Rest Of 2014?

by Ray Kuhn

Andy Dalton has to throw the ball to someone. For the past few seasons his main target was A.J. Green, and everyone else found their niche in complementary receiving roles. Last season Marvin Jones emerged with 10 touchdown catches and more than 700 yards as proof that Dalton could support multiple pass catchers.  Unfortunately while Dalton begins to grow as a quarterback, but his receivers keep on disappearing.

Jones, who had yet to see the field this season, is now on season ending Injured Reserve. After injuring his elbow in the first half of Week 1, Tyler Eifert was placed on short-term Injured Reserve, and it will still be a few games before we see the second year tight end.  Of even greater importance, both to the Bengals and to fantasy owners, is the status of Green’s toe. He has been battling the injury all season, was inactive last week and his status for this coming week is still very much in question. At this point I would operate under the assumption that Dalton will not have Green at his disposal this week, with next week still in doubt.

So with Green sidelined, who is picking up the slack? Read more

Buy ‘Em or Deny ‘Em: Is There Any Hope For C.J. Spiller In 2014?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Every year fantasy owners want to get excited about the upside of the Bills’ C.J. Spiller and seemingly every year he is a bitter disappointment. Why did anyone think he would actually be used as the lead back over Fred Jackson this season?

Things may have finally hit the tipping point in Week 6, as ESPN provides the snap count (click here for the post):

  • Fred Jackson – 52
  • C.J. Spiller – 12
  • Anthony Dixon – 8

As Mike Rodak explains the situation: Read more

5 Burning Questions From Thursday Night: Is Edelman Still Viable, Has Ivory Emerged & More

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Instead of getting a Thursday night blowout (which we have become accustomed to), the Jets kept it close by controlling the clock and keeping the ball from Tom Brady and company.  Geno Smith produced a solid performance (226 yards, 1 TD, 0 INT), though no one is going to confuse him with a viable fantasy option.  What questions did we get answered for us last night?  Let’s take a look:

 

1) Did we get any clarity on the Patriots’ running back situation?
Maybe a little bit, but not really.  As we suspected Branden Bolden didn’t operate as the “big back” and, while we would’ve thought he would’ve gotten a few touches, he didn’t even handle a carry last night (he did have 1 reception).  He’s too valuable to the team as a special teamer, so don’t expect much from him the remainder of the season. Read more

Thursday Night Start or Sit: Is Chris Ivory Worth Penciling Into Your Lineup?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

At this point it’s hard to depend on any Jets’ player, isn’t it? Eric Decker is the closest, right now, but he’s battled hamstring injuries and this week draws Darrelle Revis… No thank you!

Jace Amaro has the potential to emerge as a viable tight end option, but he is just now getting an opportunity in the offense. Does one or two performances justify penciling him into your lineup… It’s just too risky.

Then there’s the running backs. Chris Johnson’s usage has been dwindling since Week 1, capped off by a 3 carry performance in Week 6. Averaging 3.9 YPC and only once busting a run of more than 11 yards, it would appear that the Jets are ready to hand the reigns over to Chris Ivory… Read more

Buy ‘Em or Deny ‘Em: Is Andre Holmes Primed For A Full Fledged Breakout?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

According to Steve Corkran via Twitter, the Raiders wide receiver snaps from this past Sunday were as follows:

  • Andre Holmes – 48
  • James Jones – 47
  • Brice Butler – 23
  • Denarius Moore – 22
  • Kenbrell Tompkins – 2

Thompkins obviously needs time to get accustomed to the offense, but it is becoming clear that Holmes is seeing his role in Oakland grow substantially. For some, we are asking the question as to why it took this long. Read more

Three Running Backs I’m Trying To Avoid For Week 7

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

These are not players that I am 100% sitting this week, depending on my alternatives (we will get to those players later on this week in our Start ‘Em or Sit ‘Em column).  Instead these are guys I am reconsidering having them in my lineup for a variety of reasons:

 

Frank Gore – San Francisco 49ers
Part of it can be attributed to the Denver Broncos getting up big and forcing opponents to pass on them, but they have actually allowed the fewest rushing yards in the league (273) and are yielding just 2.9 yards per carry. Simply, their offense isn’t the sole reason for their success.

They have been susceptible to running backs who can catch the ball out of the backfield, with 321 receiving yards to opposing running backs (fifth most in the league). This season that hasn’t been Gore’s game, with 4 receptions on 6 targets. In fact he’s had under 20 receptions in two of the previous three seasons, so it’s hard to count on him in that regard. Read more

Waiver Worthy: How Will The Patriots Replace Stevan Ridley?

by Eric Stashin

This past weekend after Ridley was lost to injury it was Brandon Bolden who was forced into a significant role in the offense. Just look at the overallp split of carries for the week:

  • Stevan Ridley – 10
  • Brandon Bolden – 6
  • Shane Vereen – 5

So the logical assumption is that Bolden is going to assume those duties, right? Well we all know the “logical” thinking is hardly the way the Patriots proceed. As it is, Mike Reiss of ESPN Boston (click here for the article) makes a very interesting point:

“Bolden was the emergency fill-in for Ridley as the “big back” during Sunday’s game, but one thing the coaching staff must assess is how continuing with that approach Thursday affects the team in other areas. Bolden is a core special-teams player on all four units (kickoff coverage, punt coverage, kickoff return, punt return) and if he’s going to start being more of a factor at running back, something will have to give. That’s why promoting running back Jonas Gray (5-10, 230) from the practice squad could be a consideration. Gray is more of a pounder than Vereen and White.” Read more