Archive for Fourth & 1 Debate

4th & 1 Debate: Thursday Strategy

I had the honor of hosting this week’s 4th and 1 Debate to the Roundtable participants and asked:

What adjustments do you make to your fantasy strategy in the second half with games now being played on Thursdays?

Let’s take a look at what everyone had to say:

Ryan Lester of www.lesterslegends.com
My first thought was the short week was hard on Running Backs since they take such a beating. I decided to look back to last year’s games to see how the RBs fared.

Week 10
Jamal Lewis: 19-60, TD (3.2 ypc)
I disregarded Denver since they didn’t have a consistent running game.

Week 11
Thomas Jones: 30-104, TD (3.5 ypc)
I disregarded New England since they didn’t have a consistent running game.

Week 12
Cedric Benson: 16-35 (2.2 ypc)
I disregarded Pittsburgh since they didn’t have a consistent running game. Read more

Fourth & 1 Debate: Players to Stash

This week’s Fourth & 1 Debate was hosted by Bryce McRae of www.kffl.com, who asked:

Which two players are you stashing for the second half? Why?

My response was:

One player I’m stashing, if possible, is the Kansas City Chiefs‘ Jamaal Charles. While Larry Johnson is coming off his best game of the season (averaging just 3.6 yards per carry), he has been virtually ineffective all season long. Injuries could also become a concern, having played in just 26 games the past three seasons. With the Chiefs already buried in the AFC West, it just makes sense that they begin to figure out what they have for future seasons. A third-round pick in 2008, Charles has the potential to be the running back of the future for the Chiefs, contributing in both the running and passing game. It’s only a matter of time, so if you have the space he’s worth stashing.

Another player I like is the Arizona Cardinals‘ Chris Wells, who we all know has to be given an opportunity sooner or later. Why would you draft a player in the first round if you are just going to bury him behind Tim Hightower, who has just 557 yards rushing in 21 games? Wells missed time in training camp with an ankle injury, certainly putting him behind the curve, but as the week’s pass by we should be getting closer and closer to him making an impact.

This week’s participants were:

Junkyard Jake of www.junkyardjake.com
Ryan Lester of www.lesterslegends.com
Paul Greco of
www.fantasypros911.com
Bryce McRae of
www.kffl.com
Kurt Turner of
www.top-fantasy-football.com
Eric Stashin of
www.rotoprofessor.com
Smitty of
www.fantasyfootballxtreme.com
Jacob of
www.fantasyfootballfools.com

To read all of the responses, click here.

Fourth & 1 Debate: Declining Keeper Value

This week’s Fourth & 1 Debate was hosted by Ryan Lester of www.lesterslegends.com, who asked:

Aside from LT, which player or two has saw his keeper value take the most significant hit and why?

My response was:

For me, Steve Slaton‘s value has to have taken a pretty big hit over the first five weeks of the season. Generally selected among the top 15 picks on draft day, he has topped 75 rushing yards just once and only found the end zone twice (both times in Week 4). Granted, his value is not going to disappear due to his ability to contribute in the passing game, he has not quite lived up to a potential first round talent. People were expecting the player who found the end zone 10 times in 2009. They were expecting the player who rushed for at least 90 yards in four of the final five games of the season.

I would never recommend giving up on Slaton. In fact, selling him now would be a mistake because you would not get a fair value on him. Keeper league owners have to hope that this is just a sophomore slump, but at this point he has to be knocked down a few pegs right now.

This week’s participants were:

Junkyard Jake of www.junkyardjake.com
Ryan Lester of www.lesterslegends.com
Paul Greco of
www.fantasypros911.com
Bryce McRae of
www.kffl.com
Kurt Turner of
www.top-fantasy-football.com
Eric Stashin of
www.rotoprofessor.com
Lee of
www.footballjabber.com
Smitty of
www.fantasyfootballxtreme.com
Jacob of www.fantasyfootballfools.com

To read all of the responses, click here.

Fourth & 1 Debate: Helping Struggling Teams

This week’s Fourth & 1 Debate was hosted by Paul Greco of www.fantasypros911.com, who asked:

Going into Week 5 some teams have struggled out of the gate. For those teams that are 2-2 or 1-3, what “expert” strategies would you suggest to help teams try to get back into the chase?

My response was:

Four weeks in is still early, as many different factors may have contributed to your slow start.  Depending on your situation will certainly dictate your course of action.

Do not do something drastic just for the sake of doing something to “shake things up”.  Giving up on a player who has gotten off to a slow start is asking for regret.  Just because Michael Turner, Brian Westbrook or LaDanian Tomlinson are not performing as you would have expected, trading them for pennies on the dollar will only make things worse.

The best thing you can do is not panic.  That’s not to say not to make moves, either via the waiver wire or trades, but do it intelligently.  Aside from injuries, four weeks is not enough time to simply write off a player and chalk about his season as lost.  It is more likely that the stars are going to turn things around and put together some blow away weeks as opposed to continually struggle the entire season.

This week’s participants were:

Junkyard Jake of www.junkyardjake.com
Ryan Lester of www.lesterslegends.com
Paul Greco of
www.fantasypros911.com
Bryce McRae of
www.kffl.com
Kurt Turner of
www.top-fantasy-football.com
Eric Stashin of
www.rotoprofessor.com
Lee of
www.footballjabber.com
Smitty of
www.fantasyfootballxtreme.com

To read all of the responses, click here.

Fourth & 1 Debate: Buy Low/Sell High

This week’s Fourth & 1 Debate was hosted by Kurt Turner of www.top-fantasy-football.com, who asked:

What Are Your Top Buy Low / Sell High Candidates Headed Into Week 4?

My response was:

For me, a great buy low is LaDanian Tomlinson.  Many people were sour on him prior to the season and these first few weeks coupled with injury concerns probably have some owners itchy to find anyone willing to take him off their hands.  While there is still some risk surrounding him heading into Week 4, you can tell by the news that it is only a matter of time before he reclaims his starting role for the Chargers.  Just remember, his “down” year last season saw him rush for over 1,100 yards and 11 TD, plus his 400+ yards in the passing game.  If someone is selling, I certainly would listen.

As far as sell high candidates, for me it’s going to be Dallas Clark.  I know it sounds weird, but does anyone really expect him to be able to continue at the pace he’s set for himself over the first three weeks (18 catches for 284 yards)?  Sooner or later Anthony Gonzalez is going to return to the line-up and that is quickly going to reduce Clark’s role.  I’m not saying Clark is going to crash and burn, but why not cash in on him while his value is at it’s highest?  If there is someone high on him to the extent that they are willing to deal Jason Witten or Antonio Gates, tight ends that everyone would have agreed preseason to have more value than Clark, I would make the deal.

This week’s participants were myself, Jake of www.junkyardjake.com, Smitty of FantasyFootballXtreme.Com, , Paul Greco of FantasyPros911.Com, Jacob of FantasyFootballFools.Com, Ryan Lester of LestersLegends.com, Bryce McRae of KFFL.Com and Jurt Turner of  www.top-fantasy-football.com.

To read all of the responses, click here.

Fourth & 1 Debate: Breakout Wide Receivers

This week’s Fourth & 1 Debate was hosted by Junkyard Jake of www.junkyardjake.com, who asked:

Every year a handful of receivers emerge from obscurity to become fantasy relevant. This year a few relatively overlooked receivers, such as Earl Bennett, Mario Manningham and Andre Caldwell showed signs that they could be factors in 2009. Who are your 2 or 3 favorite surprise receivers for this season?

My response was:

The St. Louis Rams’ Laurent Robinson certainly has to be among the top two or three ‘surprise receivers’ who have emerged in the early going this season. The third year receiver had just 42 receptions over his first two seasons with the Atlanta Falcons, yet already has 11 catches. He’s been the prime target for Marc Bulger in the early going and given the state of their receiving corps should continue to be so all year long.

Another breakout receiver is rookie Johnny Knox, who showed last week that he is not just the burner that people expected him to be. He was targeted by Jay Cutler nine times this past week and if that trend can continue, he could emerge as this seasons’ version of Eddie Royal, aka a rookie breakout thanks to Cutler.

This week’s participants were myself, Jake of www.junkyardjake.com, Jacob of FantasyFootballFools.Com, Paul Greco of FantasyPros911.Com, Smitty of FantasyFootballXtreme.Com, Ryan Lester of LestersLegends.com, Bryce McRae of KFFL.Com and Lee of FootballJabber.Com

To read all of the responses, click here.

Fourth & 1 Debate: Which Mid-Round Pick Would You Discard?

Welcome to the debut of The “Fourth & 1 Debate”, a fantasy football roundtable consisting of some of the best football writers on the net.  Each week we will take turns posing a question for the group to answer and I had the honor of kicking things off:

“Among the mid-round players who disappointed in Week 1, who do you think owners should cut ties with and why?”

Junkyard Jake of www.junkyardjake.com says:
Lance Moore- Moore was a popular mid-round selection in fantasy drafts this year, but he could end up underperforming if Devery Henderson and Robert Meachem continue to play well for the Saints.  Henderson actually received 8 targets to Moore’s 4 this past week, and although Meachem has struggled in his first couple seasons, he offers higher potential compared to Moore by virtue of his size/speed advantage.

Laveranues Coles – Now over 30 and injury prone, Laveranues Coles could end up disappointing this year, especially if Chad Ochocinco stages a revival and becomes Carson Palmers favorite receiver again. Although Palmer looked in Coles direction 5 times this past Sunday, he only came away with one catch, and ended up being outplayed by 2nd year receiver Andre Caldwell.

Torry Holt – Holt will probably go on to represent a decent #3 or #4 fantasy receiver option in 2009, but his drop-off last season from a perennial 1,200 yard to an 800 yard wideout is most likely indicative of his potential, and he could make decent trade bait on the basis of name recognition.

Earnest Graham – Graham was clearly an afterthought for the Buccaneers in week one, as Carnell Williams and Derrick Ward shared carries in an approximate 50/50 split.  Moreover, he was not even deployed at the goalline, and it was surprising to see Derrick Ward used in that capacity over Graham. Read more