Archive for Strategy

Rich’s Random Ramblings: Three Fantasy Football Draft Mistakes

by Rich Justmann

It’s that time:  Fantasy Football!  OK maybe not yet.  We’ve only just begun the OTA’s but hey, it’s close enough.  I can almost hear Vince Lombardi “Gentlemen, this is a football” and Henry Jordan “Coach, could you slow down a little?”

Of course, with the advent of the football season comes the fantasy football drafts.  In this post I am discussing the mental side of the draft – not the rankings or the position sequence.  Rather, the focus is on your composure during the draft.  Here are three of the top mental mistakes fantasy football players make.

  1. Letting a bad pick influence your next pick.  Hey, to quote Rafiki, “It doesn’t matter.  It’s in the past.”  So if you made a bummer pick, forget it and make your next pick a good one.  Seriously, you don’t know if it really was a bad pick.  You’ll know for sure later, much later, but it may turn out to be your best pick of the draft! Read more

Streaming Defense – Week 15

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

If you are a fantasy footballer who likes to stream his/her defense, let’s take a look at the best options as four NFL teams find themselves on byes:

 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. San Francisco
Are the 49ers an ideal team to stream a defense against?  Of course not, but the Buccaneers have been playing extremely well of late.  While it was against the Bills, they are coming off a week where they registered 7 sacks and 4 INT.  The week before that they picked off Cam Newton twice (and before that had 4 INT against Matthew Stafford).

It has hardly been an impressive season for Colin Kaepernick and the 49ers offense, as they have allowed 32 sacks and only generated 178.3 passing yards per game.  Granted, they are a running offense, but Tampa Bay is in the Top 10 in rushing yards allowed (103.7 per game) and are tied for the sixth fewest rushing TD allowed (6).

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Week 14: Streaming Defenses

by Ray Kuhn

When it comes to defenses, there are multiple strategies that are prevalent in fantasy football. One such strategy, is streaming defenses. To follow this, fantasy owners must look ahead a week or two into the future and play the matchup game when selecting their starting defense for the week. Here are some options to consider for Week 14. They might not be the best, or most prolific options, but they are readily available.

Oakland Raiders at New York Jets, 10.8% ownership in ESPN.

This is more about the Jets offense than the Raiders defense. In a lot of cases, that is what happens when you fill your defense on a week to week basis. The Jets just cannot do anything when they have the ball. Talent is pretty much nonexistent, as is any firepower or explosiveness. Whether it is Matt Simms or Geno Smith at quarterback, Oakland has the advantage. They are traveling to New York for the game, but thanks to playing on Thanksgiving, they are well rested. While the Raiders only have seven interceptions so far on the season, that is likely to change this week regardless of who is under center. And if it doesn’t change, that will likely be because the Jets are just not passing the ball. The last two weeks, New York has shown no ability at all to move the ball, and I don’t expect that to be different this week. Read more

Streaming Defenses – Week 13

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

If you are a fantasy footballer who likes to stream his/her defense, let’s take a look at the best options as four NFL teams find themselves on byes:

 

Miami Dolphins – at New York Jets
At this point it wouldn’t really matter who was facing the Jets, because their offense looks completely inept. Thus far they have refused to remove Geno Smith from under center, where he has consistently looked overmatched. This past week they tried to run the Wildcat as much as possible, limiting Smith’s potential to turn the ball over, but it hardly worked.

They’ve managed just 16.9 points per game, ahead of only the miserable Jaguars. They are built on their defense and are lacking quality skill players at virtually all offensive positions.

Jets quarterbacks have been sacked 38 times (tied for third most in the league), while the Dolphins have 32. They’ve also tossed 18 interceptions (tied for most) and have lost 6 fumbles.

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Streaming Defenses – Week 12

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

If you are a fantasy footballer who likes to stream his/her defense, let’s take a look at the best options as four NFL teams find themselves on byes:

 

New Orleans Saints – vs. Atlanta
The Saints have 29.0 sacks this season, placing them among the league leaders.  In fact, their passing defense is among the league’s best allowing 191.4 passing yards per game and 11 TD.  Considering the way Matt Ryan has been playing, with 9 INT over his past four games, it’s hard to imagine him suddenly getting back on track even with Roddy White, though it’s always possible.

The Saints have been worse against the run (114.0 rushing yards per game, 8 TD), but with Steven Jackson lining up in the backfield that’s not as much of a concern as it could be.  The Falcons’ offensive line has struggled to open up holes and, while Jackson still has potential, the risk isn’t enough to keep the Saints out of your lineup.  Keep in mind that Tampa Bay (Atlanta’s Week 11 matchup) offers a similar rushing defense statistically and Jackson managed just 11 carries for 41 yards.

 

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Streaming Defenses – Week 11

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

If you are a fantasy footballer who likes to stream his/her defense, let’s take a look at the best options as four NFL teams find themselves on byes:

 

Detroit Lions at Pittsburgh
The Steelers have allowed a league high 36 sacks.  While that hasn’t been Detroit’s strong point this season (just 15 sacks), you do have to think there will be an opportunity for them to get some pressure.

Where they have been strong is interceptions, with 11 on the season, which once again should be a place for them to make plays.  Entering the season Detroit’s defense was viewed as a potential strong option and this week they could hopefully live up to the hype.

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Streaming Defenses – Week 10

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

If you are a fantasy footballer who likes to stream his/her defense, let’s take a look at the best options as four NFL teams find themselves on byes:

 

New York Giants vs. Oakland
While it appears like Terrelle Pryor has avoided a serious injury, Darren McFadden has not.  He re-injured his hamstring and will almost certainly miss this week’s matchup against the Giants.  That leaves Rashad Jennings to lead the Raiders backfield, which definitely isn’t as imposing.

As it is the Giants have been rolling defensively in recent weeks, having not allowed an offensive touchdown in 10 consecutive quarters.  Heading into their bye week against the Eagles they had a 4 sack, 2 interception performance while forcing 5 fumbles (recovering one of them).  They have forced 5 turnovers in their past two games and we all know that they have a potentially vicious pass rush.

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Streaming Defenses – Week 9

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

If you are a fantasy footballer who likes to stream his/her defense, let’s take a look at the best options as six NFL teams find themselves on byes:

 

Oakland vs. Philadelphia
The Eagles could be forced to use Matt Barkley at quarterback, with both Michael Vick (hamstring) and Nick Foles (concussion) questionable. If that happens, the Raiders become a tremendous option.  Barkley has looked lost when entering games, which would allow the Raiders to key in on LeSean McCoy. The Giants were able to do this in Week 8, and it seemed like the Eagles offense never had a chance of finding the end zone.

As it is Oakland’s defense is among the best at stopping the run (89.9 yards/game), so they could be extremely dangerous.  Throw in the Eagles having to travel across the country and what’s not to like?

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Streaming Defenses – Week 8

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

If you are a fantasy footballer who likes to stream his/her defense, let’s take a look at the best options as six NFL teams find themselves on byes:

 

Carolina Panthers at Tampa Bay
The Panthers rushing defense has been stout this season, allowing just 84.5 rushing yards per game as well as 2 TD.  With star running back Doug Martin sidelined, it could be extremely tough sledding for the Buccaneers to get anything going on the ground.

Are they going to be able to throw the ball?  The Panthers have 19 sacks and 9 interceptions, while Tampa Bay has been one of the worst passing teams in the league.  It’s not that they allow sacks (14) or throw interceptions (6), but they just don’t accumulate much yardage (197.3).  You also can’t just attribute the poor numbers to Josh Freeman, though Mike Glennon has been picking things up over the past two weeks (529 yards, 4 TD).  Of course, he’s still a rookie and is hardly a guarantee to produce.

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Streaming Defenses – Week 7

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

If you are a fantasy footballer who likes to stream his/her defense, let’s take a look at the best options for the NFL’s second week:

 

San Diego Chargers vs. Jacksonville
The Chargers have managed just two takeaways this season (1 interception and 1 fumble recovery), but the Jaguars offense just isn’t very good. Maurice Jones-Drew is not the electric running back he once was and, while explosive, both Justin Blackmon and Cecil Shorts are banged up. While they both could play, could you imagine how bad they’d be if both were forced to miss the game?

Jaguar quarterbacks have been sacked 22 times and thrown 11 interceptions, so maybe this is the week San Diego starts making some plays on defense. Regardless, if you are streaming defenses anyone against the Jaguars seems favorable.

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