Archive for Strategy

Rules for Drafting In IDP Formats

by Ray Kuhn

Not all positions are created equal.

Don’t tell that to NFL players, coaches or general managers, but it is true… At least it’s true in fantasy circles.

For starters the majority of drafts focus on just four positions and in most leagues only one quarterback and one tight end are started, so that is where fantasy owners direct their focus. It is not that simple. Kickers and Team Defenses are started in just all about all formats, and in some leagues Individual Defense Players (IDP’s) are also part of the starting roster. So should each position be weighted equally in your rankings and on your draft boards?

Absolutely not, well at least if you want the best chance to win. It might be best to have a draft board for the “skill position” players, and another for the “ancillary” positions. Read more

Eight Draft Day Rules That Lead To Fantasy Football Success

by Matthew Gordan

Fantasy football is hard. What? Did you think I was going to say otherwise? Due to the relative ease with which injuries can occur during games (and practices), luck plays a much larger role in winning fantasy football leagues than any other sport. That’s not to say just any Joe Schmo can waltz into a draft and select a championship-level team. Research, along with the temerity to follow your gut, helps you succeed in “winning” the draft.

This article is not about sleepers or breakouts or any other type of player. Rather, I’d like to share with you my keys to leaving the draft with a solid foundation that will help set you up for a fun, winning season. Obviously there are multiple forms a league can take. Between the number of teams and style of stat categories, you will have to figure out how to best apply these opinions to your league.

1) Running backs are top heavy. There are only a few true “workhorse” RBs, players who will accumulate the majority of stats for their team. Most teams these days employ multiple RBs, thereby splitting their production. Passing is at an all-time high. Wide receivers are very deep, and also possess more players capable of breaking out. It may be “old-school,” but I definitely always try to draft a stud RB in the first round. If your league is NOT a points-per-reception league, go ahead and try to snag another top RB in the 2nd round. A realistic goal is to exit the first three rounds with two RBs and one WR. Read more

Draft Day Discussion: Looking At Strategies For Your Auction

by Rich Justmann

In an auction draft each manager is allocated a certain number of dollars with which to assemble his team. You need to understand that there is no other use for the money after the auction so spend it all at the auction or lose it.

The strategy below is based upon the following auction type.

$200 Budget
1 QB
2 RB
3 WR
1 TE
1 K
1 DST

While there are many different approaches to an auction, the one I recommend as a guideline is to spend about 40%-45% of your budget on the RB1 & RB2 positions combined. For the typical $200 budget, this would mean spending between $80 and $90 on your top two running backs. Read more

Rich’s Random Ramblings: Three Fantasy Football Draft Mistakes

by Rich Justmann

It’s that time:  Fantasy Football!  OK maybe not yet.  We’ve only just begun the OTA’s but hey, it’s close enough.  I can almost hear Vince Lombardi “Gentlemen, this is a football” and Henry Jordan “Coach, could you slow down a little?”

Of course, with the advent of the football season comes the fantasy football drafts.  In this post I am discussing the mental side of the draft – not the rankings or the position sequence.  Rather, the focus is on your composure during the draft.  Here are three of the top mental mistakes fantasy football players make.

  1. Letting a bad pick influence your next pick.  Hey, to quote Rafiki, “It doesn’t matter.  It’s in the past.”  So if you made a bummer pick, forget it and make your next pick a good one.  Seriously, you don’t know if it really was a bad pick.  You’ll know for sure later, much later, but it may turn out to be your best pick of the draft! Read more

Streaming Defense – Week 15

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

If you are a fantasy footballer who likes to stream his/her defense, let’s take a look at the best options as four NFL teams find themselves on byes:

 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. San Francisco
Are the 49ers an ideal team to stream a defense against?  Of course not, but the Buccaneers have been playing extremely well of late.  While it was against the Bills, they are coming off a week where they registered 7 sacks and 4 INT.  The week before that they picked off Cam Newton twice (and before that had 4 INT against Matthew Stafford).

It has hardly been an impressive season for Colin Kaepernick and the 49ers offense, as they have allowed 32 sacks and only generated 178.3 passing yards per game.  Granted, they are a running offense, but Tampa Bay is in the Top 10 in rushing yards allowed (103.7 per game) and are tied for the sixth fewest rushing TD allowed (6).

Read more

Week 14: Streaming Defenses

by Ray Kuhn

When it comes to defenses, there are multiple strategies that are prevalent in fantasy football. One such strategy, is streaming defenses. To follow this, fantasy owners must look ahead a week or two into the future and play the matchup game when selecting their starting defense for the week. Here are some options to consider for Week 14. They might not be the best, or most prolific options, but they are readily available.

Oakland Raiders at New York Jets, 10.8% ownership in ESPN.

This is more about the Jets offense than the Raiders defense. In a lot of cases, that is what happens when you fill your defense on a week to week basis. The Jets just cannot do anything when they have the ball. Talent is pretty much nonexistent, as is any firepower or explosiveness. Whether it is Matt Simms or Geno Smith at quarterback, Oakland has the advantage. They are traveling to New York for the game, but thanks to playing on Thanksgiving, they are well rested. While the Raiders only have seven interceptions so far on the season, that is likely to change this week regardless of who is under center. And if it doesn’t change, that will likely be because the Jets are just not passing the ball. The last two weeks, New York has shown no ability at all to move the ball, and I don’t expect that to be different this week. Read more

Streaming Defenses – Week 13

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

If you are a fantasy footballer who likes to stream his/her defense, let’s take a look at the best options as four NFL teams find themselves on byes:

 

Miami Dolphins – at New York Jets
At this point it wouldn’t really matter who was facing the Jets, because their offense looks completely inept. Thus far they have refused to remove Geno Smith from under center, where he has consistently looked overmatched. This past week they tried to run the Wildcat as much as possible, limiting Smith’s potential to turn the ball over, but it hardly worked.

They’ve managed just 16.9 points per game, ahead of only the miserable Jaguars. They are built on their defense and are lacking quality skill players at virtually all offensive positions.

Jets quarterbacks have been sacked 38 times (tied for third most in the league), while the Dolphins have 32. They’ve also tossed 18 interceptions (tied for most) and have lost 6 fumbles.

Read more

Streaming Defenses – Week 12

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

If you are a fantasy footballer who likes to stream his/her defense, let’s take a look at the best options as four NFL teams find themselves on byes:

 

New Orleans Saints – vs. Atlanta
The Saints have 29.0 sacks this season, placing them among the league leaders.  In fact, their passing defense is among the league’s best allowing 191.4 passing yards per game and 11 TD.  Considering the way Matt Ryan has been playing, with 9 INT over his past four games, it’s hard to imagine him suddenly getting back on track even with Roddy White, though it’s always possible.

The Saints have been worse against the run (114.0 rushing yards per game, 8 TD), but with Steven Jackson lining up in the backfield that’s not as much of a concern as it could be.  The Falcons’ offensive line has struggled to open up holes and, while Jackson still has potential, the risk isn’t enough to keep the Saints out of your lineup.  Keep in mind that Tampa Bay (Atlanta’s Week 11 matchup) offers a similar rushing defense statistically and Jackson managed just 11 carries for 41 yards.

 

Read more

Streaming Defenses – Week 11

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

If you are a fantasy footballer who likes to stream his/her defense, let’s take a look at the best options as four NFL teams find themselves on byes:

 

Detroit Lions at Pittsburgh
The Steelers have allowed a league high 36 sacks.  While that hasn’t been Detroit’s strong point this season (just 15 sacks), you do have to think there will be an opportunity for them to get some pressure.

Where they have been strong is interceptions, with 11 on the season, which once again should be a place for them to make plays.  Entering the season Detroit’s defense was viewed as a potential strong option and this week they could hopefully live up to the hype.

Read more

Streaming Defenses – Week 10

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

If you are a fantasy footballer who likes to stream his/her defense, let’s take a look at the best options as four NFL teams find themselves on byes:

 

New York Giants vs. Oakland
While it appears like Terrelle Pryor has avoided a serious injury, Darren McFadden has not.  He re-injured his hamstring and will almost certainly miss this week’s matchup against the Giants.  That leaves Rashad Jennings to lead the Raiders backfield, which definitely isn’t as imposing.

As it is the Giants have been rolling defensively in recent weeks, having not allowed an offensive touchdown in 10 consecutive quarters.  Heading into their bye week against the Eagles they had a 4 sack, 2 interception performance while forcing 5 fumbles (recovering one of them).  They have forced 5 turnovers in their past two games and we all know that they have a potentially vicious pass rush.

Read more