Archive for October 30, 2008

Fantasy Football Out on a Limb Volume 9

Written by Ryan Lester of Lesters Legends

Time for another edition of Fantasy Football Out on a Limb.  I scour the rosters to select a player who I feel will outperform a higher profile player in that given week.  I base my decisions on matchups, how the players are trending, and the ever-important hunch.  To mix things up I’ll occasionally do some two on one matchups or even pit RB or WR duos against each other.  Sometimes I’ll spot a player some points. 

Scoring
6 points for rushing or receiving TD
4 points for a passing TD
0.1 points per yard for rushing or receiving
0.05 points per passing yard. 

Last Week
Matt Cassel
(19.55) over Eli Manning (13.95) WHICH I WON.    
Thomas Jones
(12.0) beat Michael Turner (5.8) WHICH I WON.
Willis McGahee (11.7) over Brandon Jacobs (5.3) WHICH I WON.
Santana Moss (20.0) over Reggie Wayne (2.9) WHICH I WON.
Isaac Bruce (4.9) over Torry Holt (2.8) WHICH I WON.
Super Stetch:  Terrell Owens (3.3) beat Malcom Floyd (2.1) WHICH I LOST. 

Regular Picks:  5-0
Super Stretch Picks:  0-1  
Overall:  5-1  
Breakdown: QB: 1-0, RB: 2-0, WR:  2-1 Read more

3 Players to Watch – Week 9

Ouch, it had been a good couple of weeks when it comes to the 3 Players to Watch, but last week was just brutal.  Only Dante Stallworth made a positive impact, though even he picked up just 13 yards with 1 TD.  I don’t even want to get into the performances, or lack there of, by J.T. O’Sullivan and Sammy Morris.  I guess you can’t be right all of the time, but this was a flat out brutal performance by yours truly.  Hopefully, this week is a much better week.

Chad Pennington – Maybe it’s time that fantasy owners are finally convinced that he is worth owning.  Somehow he’s still owned in just 50% of Yahoo leagues, despite 893 yards, 4 TD and 2 Int over his past three games.  I know, it’s Pennington, he has no arm strength and is bound to regress.  It’s what we all want to believe, except for the fact that he is taking on the Denver Broncos, the team who has allowed the fifth most yards/game through the air thus far this season (240.0).  They are also tied for fourth with three other teams, having allowed 12 passing TD’s already this season.  Just looking at the way he has been playing, you would think that his hot streak is likely to continue for another week.  I wouldn’t hesitate to use him. Read more

Fantasy Football Pitfalls – Week 9

Written by Ryan Lester of Lesters Legends

I’m going to look at the matchups each week and pick five fantasy starters that could be in for a tough week.  Here’s a look at players who could struggle this week.

Quarterback
Aaron Rodgers
- Rodgers is going down to Tennessee to face the Titans.  He’s coming off a bye, which should help his ailing shoulder.  His pride may be hurting when he gets down with one of the league’s best Defensive units. Read more

Week 8 Leaders

Passing:

  • Kurt Warner – Arizona Cardinals – 35-49, 381 yards, 2 TD, 1 Int
  • Philip Rivers – San Diego Chargers – 25-40, 341 yards, 3 TD, 1 Int
  • Drew Brees – New Orleans Saints – 30-41, 339 yards, 3 TD, 0 Int
  • Jason Campbell – Washington Redskins – 23-28, 328 yards, 1 TD, 0 Int
  • Chad Pennington – Miami Dolphins – 22-30, 314 yards, 1 TD, 0 Int
  • Marc Bulger – St. Louis Rams – 18-34, 301 yards, 1 TD, 1 Int Read more

NFL Week 8 Fantasy Fill-ins

Written by Ryan Lester of Lesters Legends

Bye weeks are here.  I’ve uncovered some guys you can plug in to your lineup if you are dealing with byes, an injury, or tough matchups.   Check back following the games to see the stat line of guys profiled.

QB
Trent Edwards
– Trent faces a Miami team that has allowed 235.3 ypg (27th in the league) and 9 TDs (tied for 16th).  He held his own last week against San Diego (25 of 30 for 261 yards, TD), which had to be a confidence booster for a guy coming back from a concussion.
Stat Line:

RB
Thomas Jones
- This is the third week in a row I’ve endorsed TJ.  First he scored three TDs vs. Cincy.  Then he ripped Oakland for 159 yards.  This week he faces Kansas City’s Run D that has allowed a league-worst 207.2 ypg and 12 TDs.
Stat Line:

Cedric Benson - As long as he doesn’t get arrested on Saturday, not out of the realm of possibilities for Benson or a Bengal, he should have a decent game against Houston.  They are 22nd in the league with 122 ypg and have allowed 11 rushing TDs, which trails only Kansas City’s 12.
Stat Line: Read more

Fantasy Football Out on a Limb Volume 8

Written by Ryan Lester of Lesters Legends

Time for another edition of Fantasy Football Out on a Limb.  I scour the rosters to select a player who I feel will outperform a higher profile player in that given week.  I base my decisions on matchups, how the players are trending, and the ever-important hunch.  To mix things up I’ll occasionally do some two on one matchups or even pit RB or WR duos against each other.  Sometimes I’ll spot a player some points. 

Scoring
6 points for rushing or receiving TD
4 points for a passing TD
0.1 points per yard for rushing or receiving
0.05 points per passing yard. 

Last Week
Jake Delhomme
(17.75) beat Aaron Rodgers (14.1) WHICH I WON
Earnest Graham (12.5) over Ronnie Brown (2.8) WHICH I WON
Chris Johnson (23.2) beat Marshawn Lynch (15.2) WHICH I WON
Andre Johnson (14.1) over Brandon Marshall +1 (9.4  [8.4 Actual plus spotted point]) WHICH I WON
Chad Ocho Cinco (11.2) beat Devin Hester (2.2) WHICH I LOST
Super Stetch:  Jeff Garcia (22.3) over Eli Manning (11.65) WHICH I WON

Regular Picks:  4-1
Super Stretch Picks:  1-0   
Overall:  5-1  
Breakdown: QB: 2-0, RB: 2-0, WR:  1-1 Read more

Who to Start, Who to Sit – Week 8

It’s time for Ryan Hallum of Fighting Chance Fantasy’s weekly article helping you to decide who to start and who to sit in Fantasy Week 8.  As always, it is a great read and should definitely help you with your roster this week.  I highly recommend you checking out his site, it’s worth it.

Is it really Week 8 already?  By now you should have a decent idea of who your team is.  We are way past “off to a good start” or “struggling out of the gate.”

Quarterbacks

Start:  Jake Delhomme, Carolina Panthers vs. Arizona Cardinals. Delhomme has been on a nice little roll lately, as he has two touchdown passes in three of his last four games.  Put that together with the fact that he is playing an Arizona pass defense which isn’t horrible against the pass in terms of yards, but has allowed the most touchdown passes in the NFL.  Look for Delhomme to continue his hot streak with 250 yards and another two touchdown game.

Start:  Trent Edwards, Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins. Edwards will most likely never throw 30 touchdowns in a season, but he is very efficient as he has completed nearly 70 percent of his passes this season.   The good thing about him is that he rarely throws up the 10/39 for 75 yards and 3 INT kind of game.  You can always count on Edwards for between 175-225 yards and one or two touchdowns.  The Dolphins are among the league’s worst against the pass, and you can expect more of the same from Edwards this week. Read more

3 Players to Watch – Week 8

by Eric Stashin

Last week I finally nailed my RB pick, which I guess you could say is about time.  All three picks played well, so let’s take a look at the numbers:

  • Antonio Bryant - 6 catches, 115 yards, 1 TD
  • Trent Edwards - 25-30, 261 yards, 1 TD, 0 Int
  • Mewelde Moore - 20 carries, 120 yards, 2 TD; 5 catches, 14 yards, 1 TD

Can’t complain about that performance.  Now, let’s see if I can repeat it with this weeks selections.

JT O’Sullivan - With the 49′ers at home against the woeful Seahawks, the chances are there for him to have a big game, despite his struggles at times this season.  Yes, he has thrown for 1,547 yards thus far, but he has thrown more interceptions (10) then TD (8).  The Seahawks have managed just 1 interception, however, so that really shouldn’t be the biggest concern.  The have allowed 242.2 yards per game through the air, and the fourth most points at 28.5 per game.  All of the signs point to O’Sullivan having a very solid game, so if you need a one week fill-in he seems as good as any. Read more

Fantasy Football Pitfalls – Week 8

Written by Ryan Lester of Lesters Legends

I’m going to look at the matchups each week and pick five fantasy starters that could be in for a tough week.  Here’s a look at players who could struggle this week.

Quarterback
Eli Manning
- Eli gets to travel into Pittsburgh to face one of the league’s toughest pass Defenses.  We’re getting into late October so weather could start to play a little bit of a factor.  I see this being a pretty hard-fought low scoring defensive struggle.  I don’t like my fantasy QB in that type of game.

Running Backs
Michael Turner
- I’m going after Mr. Turner again.  He is great against the bad teams and average against the good one.  This week he heads to Philly to face the Eagles coming off their bye.  They have allowed just 3 rushing TDs and 91.5 ypg. Read more

Week 7 Leaders

Passing:

  1. Jeff Garcia – Tampa Bay Buccaneers – 27-36, 310 yards, 1 TD, 0 Int
  2. Gus Frerotte – Minnesota Vikings – 25-40, 298 yards, 2 TD, 4 Int
  3. Chad Pennington – Miami Dolphins – 24-35, 295 yards, 1 TD, 1 Int
  4. Kyle Orton – Chicago Bears – 21-32, 283 yards, 2 TD, 0 Int
  5. Matt Schaub – Houston Texans – 26-31, 267 yards, 2 TD, 0 Int
  6. Dan Orlovsky – Detroit Lions – 12-25, 265 yards, 1 TD. 0 Int
  7. Trent Edwards – Buffalo Bills – 25-30, 261 yards, 1 TD, 0 Int
  8. J.T. O’Sullivan – San Francisco 49′ers – 16-28, 256 yards, 1 TD, 2 Int Read more