Archive for November 29, 2008

NFL Week 13 Fantasy Fill-ins

Written by Ryan Lester of Lesters Legends

I’ve uncovered some guys you can plug in to your lineup if you are dealing with an injury or tough matchups.   Check back following the games to see the stat line of guys profiled.

QB
Jeff Garcia
- The think I like about Garcia is he rarely turns the ball over.  He a nice safe play.  He should be good for 225 yards and a TD or two against New Orleans.  If you are in the position where you don’t want to take big risks this week, Garcia is your guy.
Stat Line:

RB
Jamal Lewis
- Lewis hasn’t reached the 80-yard mark since Week 8 and he has just one TD in that four game span.  He wasn’t happy with the game plan that only afforded him 10 carries against Houston.  He should get more carries and greater production this week as he faces Indianapolis.
Stat Line:

Darren McFadden - McFadden scored twice last week, but Fargas had 24 carries to Run DMC’s 10.  I expect the carries to balance out a bit this week as they face Kansas City and McFadden continues to get healthier (toes).  His versatility makes him the guy at the stripe, as evidenced by his two one-yard TDs.  He could even throw on this week. Read more

Fantasy Football Out on a Limb Volume 13

Written by Ryan Lester of Lesters Legends

Time for another edition of Fantasy Football Out on a Limb.  I scour the rosters to select a player who I feel will outperform a higher profile player in that given week.  I base my decisions on matchups, how the players are trending, and the ever-important hunch.  To mix things up I’ll occasionally do some two on one matchups or even pit RB or WR duos against each other.  Sometimes I’ll spot a player some points.

Scoring
6 points for rushing or receiving TD
4 points for a passing TD
0.1 points per yard for rushing or receiving
0.05 points per passing yard.

Last Week
Jeff Garcia
(16.15) beat Donovan McNabb ( 3.65) WHICH I WON.
Ryan Grant (8.6) over Ronnie Brown (4.7) WHICH I WON.
Darren McFadden (17.2) beat Chris Johnson (6.1) WHICH I WON.
Terrell Owens (27.3) beat Brandon Marshall (  WHICH I WON.
Calvin Johnson (12.6) beat Santana Moss (7.2) WHICH I LOST.
Super Stetch: Peyton Hillis (15.6) beat Brian Westbrook (3.4) WHICH I WON.

Regular Picks:  4-1
Super Stretch Picks:  1-0
Overall:  5-1 Read more

Fantasy Football Pitfalls – Week 13

Written by Ryan Lester of Lesters Legends

I’m going to look at the matchups each week and pick five fantasy starters that could be in for a tough week. Here’s a look at players who could struggle this week.

Quarterback
Matt Cassel
- Cassel has looked like a different player than the one who initially replaced Tom Brady.  After his breakout 462 yard (400 passing, 62 rushing), 3 TD performance against the Jets Matt looked like an every week starter.  He followed that up with another 415 and 4 TDs (3 Passing) against Miami.  He faces a much stiffer task this week as he goes up against Pittsburgh.  Despite his recent success,  Pittsburgh’s D is still too good to mess with.

Running Backs
Clinton Portis
- The Giants relatively kept Portis in check backin Week 1 limiting him to 84 yards on 23 carries (3.7 ypg).  That was when he was healthier though.  Now he’s beat up from the wear and tear of carrying this Redskin team on his back.  He responded nicely against Seattle, but let’s face it, Seattle suck.  The Giants will continue the second half slump for Portis. Read more

Fantasy Football Out on a Limb Volume 12

Written by Ryan Lester of Lesters Legends

Time for another edition of Fantasy Football Out on a Limb.  I scour the rosters to select a player who I feel will outperform a higher profile player in that given week.  I base my decisions on matchups, how the players are trending, and the ever-important hunch.  To mix things up I’ll occasionally do some two on one matchups or even pit RB or WR duos against each other.  Sometimes I’ll spot a player some points.

Scoring
6 points for rushing or receiving TD
4 points for a passing TD
0.1 points per yard for rushing or receiving
0.05 points per passing yard.

Last Week
Tyler Thigpen
(24.25) over Eli Manning (11.35) WHICH I WON.
Marshawn Lynch (23.7) over Brandon Jacobs (19.3) WHICH I WON.
Ricky Williams (5.5) over Willis McGahee (2.5) WHICH I WON.
T.J. Houshmandzadeh (20.9) beat Santonio Holmes (6.3)  WHICH I LOST.
Kevin Walter (7.9) beat Kevin Curtis (6.4) WHICH I LOST.
Super Stetch: Jamal Lewis () beat BenJarvus Green-Ellis (0.9) WHICH I LOST (BADLY).

Regular Picks:  3-2
Super Stretch Picks:  0-1
Overall:  3-3  Read more

NFL Week 12 Fantasy Fill-ins

Written by Ryan Lester of Lesters Legends

I’ve uncovered some guys you can plug in to your lineup if you are dealing with an injury or tough matchups.   Check back following the games to see the stat line of guys profiled.

QB
Jason Campbell
- With Clinton Portis not at 100% the Skins will likely lean on the QB a little more this week.  The Seahawks have had troubles defending the pass this year so Campbell could quietly turn in a solid performance.
Stat Line:

RB
Peyton Hillis
- When the Broncos gets bored with lighting the Raiders up through the air it will be Hillis getting the touches.  Additionaly, he appears to be a good bet to score this week.  He’s good at catching passes out of the backfield, which helps his cause. Read more

Who To Start, Who To Sit – Week 12

It’s time for Ryan Hallum of Fighting Chance Fantasy’s weekly article helping you to decide who to start and who to sit in Fantasy Week 12.  As always, it is a great read and should definitely help you with your roster this week.  I highly recommend you checking out his site, it’s worth it.

We are coming down the stretch now and these decisions become more and more important as most of you are probably still in the thick of your playoff races.  Every win is bigger and your roster calls are crucial.  Here’s to hoping guys on your team are playing the Lions!

Quarterbacks

Start:  Tony Romo, Dallas Cowboys vs. San Francisco 49ers. For Cowboys’ fans and Romo’s fantasy owners it must have been good therapy to see their team leader back on the field.  And although he didn’t play particularly well (198 yards, 1 TD, 2 INT), just his presence was enough to get that team ready to beat a division rival in a game they had to have.  This week the rust should be off and he gets to have what amounts to a little more than a scrimmage against the terrible Niners’ defense.  Too bad for San Francisco that the Rams are only one the schedule twice, because St. Louis made this team look good.  However, the rest of the season the Niners have been bad on defense, especially against the pass ranking 25th in the league and allowing 15 passing touchdowns.  Romo should have 250-275 yards and two or three touchdowns.

Start:  Eli Manning, New York Giants vs. Arizona Cardinals. The Giants relied on their rush game in crushing the Baltimore Ravens, but this week it should be an aerial show as they face their old stopgap in Kurt Warner and the high flying Cardinals offense.  The G-Men have been great at morphing into whatever kind of team they need to be to win the game.  Some weeks it is the three headed rushing attack, some weeks it is Eli Manning whipping the ball around the field.  I see this being a big weekend for the younger Manning as the Cardinals have allowed a league high 19 touchdowns through the air and the Giants will need to score big points to keep up with Arizona.  Eli should have a minimum of two touchdown passes and could easily have three. Read more

Fantasy Football Pitfalls – Week 12

Written by Ryan Lester of Lesters Legends

I’m going to look at the matchups each week and pick five fantasy starters that could be in for a tough week. Here’s a look at players who could struggle this week.

Quarterback
Donovan McNabb – Donovan does not have his best games when he’s heavily pressured. That goes for most QBs. McNabb will likely see that scenario play out next week as he takes on the Ravens in Baltimore. If you have an attractive alternative, this is the week to use it.
Bonus – I won’t say he’s a pitfall, but Kurt Warner is facing the Giants so I would downgrade your expectations.

Running Backs
Chris Johnson – Johnson will have his hands full finding running lanes against a tough Jet Run D. He’ll have to break one because I don’t see him pounding that D or a ton of yards. You already know anything in close will go to LenDale. Read more

NFL Week 11 Fantasy Fill-ins

Written by Ryan Lester of Lesters Legends

The byes are gone, but you still need to make roster tweaks.  I’ve uncovered some guys you can plug in to your lineup if you are dealing with an injury or tough matchups.   Check back following the games to see the stat line of guys profiled.

QB
Tyler Thigpen
- Thigpen has been the rage in recent weeks.  He’s been productive, has a trio of receiving threats, and has generally been playing from behind. That’s a nice receipe for fantasy success.  This week should be no different as he faces New Orleans.  Their Offense is explosive so they will be playing from behind and their Defense is weak so Thigpen should be able to produce.
Stat Line:

RB
Larry Johnson
- It’s amazing that LJ has sunk this low, but when you consider he has 2 yards on 7 carries the last six weeks, it’s justifiable.  It’s hard to say how he’ll respond to his first game action since October 5th, but he has a nice matchup against the Saints to get the rust off.
Stat Line:

Ricky Williams - Ricky should have a solid game against Oakland as they are 28th in the league with 158.1 yards allowed per game.  They also rank 28th with 13 rushing TDs allowed.  I see both Ronnie Brown and Ricky putting up solid numbers against the Raiders. Read more

Fantasy Football Out on a Limb Volume 11

Written by Ryan Lester of Lesters Legends

Time for another edition of Fantasy Football Out on a Limb.  I scour the rosters to select a player who I feel will outperform a higher profile player in that given week.  I base my decisions on matchups, how the players are trending, and the ever-important hunch.  To mix things up I’ll occasionally do some two on one matchups or even pit RB or WR duos against each other.  Sometimes I’ll spot a player some points. 

Scoring
6 points for rushing or receiving TD
4 points for a passing TD
0.1 points per yard for rushing or receiving
0.05 points per passing yard. 

Last Week
Matt Ryan
(20.2) over Eli Manning (17.75) WHICH I WON.
Matt Forte (18.6) and Steve Slaton (2.4) (combined) [21.0] beat LaDainian Tomlinson (11.7) WHICH I LOST.
Michael Turner
(15.6) over Brian Westbrook +1 (6.9 – 5.9 actual plus spotted points) WHICH I WON.
Reggie Wayne (17.4) beat Michael Jenkins (7.2) WHICH I LOST.
Devery Henderson (6.3) beat Randy Moss (5.1)  WHICH I WON.
Super Stetch:  Brady Quinn (20.25) over  Jake Delhomme (7.6) WHICH I WON.

Regular Picks:  3-2
Picks:  1-0  
Overall:  4-2   Read more

Who to Start, Who to Sit – Week 11

It’s time for Ryan Hallum of Fighting Chance Fantasy’s weekly article helping you to decide who to start and who to sit in Fantasy Week 11.  As always, it is a great read and should definitely help you with your roster this week.  I highly recommend you checking out his site, it’s worth it.

Since I am writing this on Veterans’ Day let me take a quick second to say one thing to anyone who has served this country.  THANK YOU.  To anyone who has been at war or is in the Armed Forces you have my utmost respect.  The commitment it takes to leave your family and life behind to fight for this country is unbelievable.  You are all better men and women than I am.  I know right away that I would be unable to do such things.  There is no greater sacrifice than those who have given their life in service of America, and to those who are currently serving or may be again in the future you have my respect and my prayers that you come home safely.

Quarterbacks

Start:  Matt Ryan, Atlanta Falcons vs. Denver Broncos. This is not your usual rookie quarterback folks.  This team won four games all last season, and they have already won more games than in 2007 and are in serious contention for a division title.  Given the turmoil and distractions this team faced last year, owner Arthur Blank better be kneeling down and thanking God for this kid every night before he goes to sleep.  The Broncos have proven week after week that their defense is what is stopping them from being serious contenders.  They couldn’t stop Quinn and the Browns last week, and they won’t be able to stop Ryan, Roddy White and the Falcons in Week 11. Read more