by Ray Kuhn
At this point in the season we know that the Colts offense is prolific. Andrew Luck is one of the best quarterbacks in the league and they are a good source of fantasy production across the board. We know all about Ahmad Bradshaw and TY Hilton, both must start options and have both exceeded their draft values. Will anyone else will reap the rewards of Luck for the remainder of the season, though?
Of course there is old reliable Reggie Wayne. The veteran receiver has 38 receptions on 62 targets for 434 yards and one touchdown. Last week he had just four catches for 15 yards before he injured his elbow. From a snap perspective the injury didn’t affect Wayne, but it did appear to impact his performance as he dropped two balls he normally would have caught.
Wayne had an MRI that didn’t appear to show anything serious, and the early word is that he might miss one or two weeks. At this point we haven’t heard anything definitive on Wayne’s status for this week, but my expectation is that he won’t be much of a factor this week, if he does play at all.
So who stands to gain the most from Wayne’s injury?
That would be rookie receiver Donte Moncrief. The Colts are high on Moncrief and he is showing signs of surpassing Hakeem Nicks as the third receiver.
I think Moncrief’s value will continue increase this season regardless of Wayne’s injury, but there are still too many options for Luck in the passing game to expect consistent production from a third receiver. Bradshaw and Trent Richardson are both factors in the passing game and Luck often targets both Dwayne Allen and Coby Fleener from the tight end position.
So far this season Moncrief has essentially been a non-factor with nine receptions for 103 yards on 11 targets. In Week 3 the rookie had his best game catching four passes for 55 yards
Last week Moncrief out snapped Nicks by four snaps, 23 to 19. On the season Nicks has yet to make much of an impact catching 17 passes for 141 yards and two touchdowns. Based on that, it should not come as a surprise that the rookie would be surpassing the veteran who was signed to a one year contract.
Going back to his college career and pre-season, it is clear that Moncrief has potential and that the Colts are high on him. I think he will have some value this season, but I’m not sure there are enough balls to go around to expect consistent production to make him worthy of a starting slot all season.
With Wayne being sidelined, eyes will be on Moncrief as a sneaky addition. While the talent and potential is there, I’m not sure I would be banking on him as anything more than a bargain play in Daily Fantasy. Of course he could come out of nowhere and have a big day, but there is enough there to bank on, even with Wayne sidelined. I would resist the urge of Luck and stay away if possible.
Make sure to check out all of our Week 8 rankings: