Buy ‘Em or Deny ‘Em: Is Vincent Jackson Worth Targeting?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

The rumors of a Vincent Jackson trade were likely music to fantasy owners’ ears, but ultimately it wasn’t to be. Instead he stayed in Tampa Bay, where his production this season has been underwhelming (at best).

Despite being target 65 times (second highest on the team is Mike Evans at 43), Jackson has just 26 receptions, 357 yards and 2 TD. It’s easy to try and put all the blame on quarterback play, but let’s look at the completion percentages:

  • Buccaneers QB overall – 59.8%
  • On throws to Vincent Jackson – 40.0%
  • On throws to all other players – 67.6%

Obviously it’s not quite that simple, as there’s a difference in the types of throws, but it’s still telling. Of course this has been a trend throughout Jackson’s career in Tampa Bay. In 2012 he posted a 49.0% completion rate and last season he was at 49.1%. So, thinking that he’s suddenly going to start catching the bulk of his targets would be a mistake.

The bigger issue may be his yards after catch (YAC), which currently stand at 74. That puts him in a tie with Dexter McCluster for 135th in the league. Not that last season’s 55th ranking in the league was tremendous (319 yards), but he’s not even on pace for half of that mark this season.

Could the lack of a productive running game be hurting him? It’s certainly not like there was a strong running presence in the backfield in 2013…

How about the fact that it’s a rookie lining up at the other receiver spot? Considering that, with Mike Williams hurt, the #2 WR last season was TE Tim Wright and little else it’s easy to classify Evans as a significant upgrade…

You would think that Jackson would be able to turn things around. He has a history of posting over 1,000 yards, but right now there’s actually little to like. He hasn’t done a good job of turning targets into receptions since landing in Tampa Bay and has struggled to make plays when he actually has caught it.

Maybe he does turn it around, but as far as a buy low candidate goes you’d be better off looking elsewhere.

Source – ESPN

Make sure to check out all of our Week 9 rankings:

Dissecting Indianapolis' Wide Receivers: Should We Buy Donte Moncrief & Ignore Hakeem Nicks?
Five Things We Learned From Thursday Night: Mark Ingram's Outlook, Kenny Stills' Breakout & More

3 comments

  1. Rich Justmann says:

    Good advice. I took him on 3 teams. Total bust.

  2. JoeS says:

    He’s been a drag on my team all year. Just offered him and Joique for Lamar Miller and Andre Williams. My other wrs are Wallace Andre Jonson and Holmes Kendall Moncrief and John Brown. We start 2 rb 3 wr and 2 flex. I figure Miller would be more valuable in flex than the difference in production id get from Vjax and my other wrs. Other ribs are Charles Gio Hill Sims.

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