Start ‘Em or Sit ‘Em (2014): Week 10: Sit Ryan Tannehill, Start Justin Forsett & More

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Trying to decide who you should start or sit this week? Let’s take a look at a few potential decisions owners have and try to sort through them:

 

Quarterbacks
Start – Carson Palmer – Arizona Cardinals – vs. St. Louis
Palmer has played five games this season and has thrown for at least 2 TD and 249 yards in all of them. The Rams’ passing defense actually hasn’t been too bad this season, with their 1,889 passing yards allowed as the sixth fewest in the league, but that’s hardly a deterrent. Worried since St. Louis piled up 8 sacks this past Sunday? Arizona has allowed just 13 all season, so don’t be.

Sit – Ryan Tannehill – Miami Dolphins – at Detroit
While the Dolphins are coming off an impressive performance against the Chargers, don’t get too caught up in it. The Lions are allowing the fewest points per week to opposing quarterbacks, including just 9 TD passes. Tannehill has also gotten a boost with his legs, running for 47+ yards in four straight games. Of course, Detroit has allowed 53 rushing yards to opposing QB all season, while also registering 23 sacks.

 

Running Backs
Start – Bobby Rainey – Tampa Bay Buccaneers – vs. Atlanta
The Buccaneers inexplicably got away from the run last week, a mistake we wouldn’t expect them to repeat. There’s going to be some concern that the debut of Charles Sims could eat into his touches, but all expectations are that he will be eased into the offense. Rainey had 87 yards on 19 carries last week and should be the featured back against the worst rushing defense in the league (12 TD allowed).

Start – Justin Forsett – Baltimore Ravens – vs. Tennessee
There’s been a lot of love for Lorenzo Taliaferro, but what has he done to really deserve it? While he nearly split the carries with Forsett this past week, he took 7 carries for 21 yards while losing a fumble. Forsett, meanwhile, averaged 4.2 YPC on his 9 chances and also had 5 catches for 68 yards. Consider Forsett the leader of this backfield and a borderline RB1 against a Tennessee defense that’s allowed 970 rushing yards and 8 TD.

Sit – Chris Ivory – New York Jets – vs. Pittsburgh
It wasn’t long ago that he was the clear leader of the Jets’ backfield. However he virtually split carries this past week against Arizona (Chris Johnson had 11 while Ivory had 8), and he was hardly impressive (22 yards). A virtual non-factor in the passing game, would it really be surprising if the Jets fell behind early and had to play catchup?

Sit – DeAngelo Williams – Carolina Panthers – at Philadelphia
Finally back and healthy, Williams was simply outplayed by Jonathan Stewart this past week. This will likely remain a time share, which further hurts his cause coming off an 8 carry, 20 yard performance.

 

Wide Receivers (Two-Receiver Formats)
Start – Mohamed Sanu – Cincinnati Bengals – vs. Cleveland
The thought was that with A.J. Green back Sanu could be forced to take a back seat. That wasn’t really the case last week, as Sanu turned 8 targets into 4 receptions, 95 yards and a TD. He’s now had 95 yards or more in three of his past four games and takes on a Cleveland defense that has allowed 32 passing plays of at least 20 yards (sixth most in the league). With 9 receptions of at least 20 yards (tied for 14th), look for him to make some big plays again this week.

Sit – Michael Floyd – Arizona Cardinals – vs. St. Louis
While Carson Palmer is worth using, Floyd unfortunately is too big of a risk in shallower formats.  The Cardinals have been moving the ball around a lot, making Floyd dependent on finding the end zone to have value.  Over the past three games he’s been targeted 8 times, just proving the point.

 

Wide Receivers (Three-Receiver Formats)
Start – Martavis Bryant – Pittsburgh Steelers – at New York Jets
He has five touchdowns over the past three games and, against a miserable Jets secondary, should be put in position to score again this week. Obviously it’s hard to bank on any quarterback throwing 6 TD a game, but would 4 surprise you? We’d anticipate at least one of those going to Bryant, who has been targeted 17 times over the past three games.

Sit – Dwayne Bowe – Kansas City Chiefs – at Buffalo
He failed to score against the Jets this past week and the Chiefs have yet to throw a TD pass to one of their wide receivers. Do we really need any other reason?

 

Tight Ends
Start – Mychal Rivera – Oakland Raiders – vs. Denver
The Broncos are allowing the seventh most points per week to opposing tight ends, while Rivera has seen his role grow significantly over the past two weeks (15 receptions, 121 yards, 2 TD). Given all of the bye weeks, he’s a good gamble to take.

Sit – Zach Ertz – Philadelphia Eagles – vs. Carolina
A major bust thus far, Ertz has seen his playing time fall over the past few weeks. If he’s not on the field, how can we expect him to make plays? There’s simply too much risk.

 

Sources – ESPN, NFL.com

Sunday Morning Start ‘Em or Sit ‘Em: Lamar Miller, Mark Ingram, Percy Harvin & More
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20 comments

  1. LP says:

    Hey Prof,

    Need an Rb2 for this week. Non-ppr need to start one out the following: Fred Jackson, Joique Bell, or Darren Sproles.

    Can’t decide who to pick! What do you think? Thanks

  2. Steve L says:

    What 3 out of these 4 RB, Prof?
    J. Bell, Rainey, L. Miller, J. Hill (he’s definitely in)

  3. Mike from LA says:

    ODB, M. Bryant, or C. Sims as a flex in a 10 team PPR league?

    Thanks Professor!

  4. chris says:

    currently starting tannehill and miller….not happy about the matchup….these guys are available on waver..Mettenberger…Davis…McCown and Carr….RBs West..Stewart..Ivory…. Your thoughts

  5. LP – It’s Bell for me, even with Bush back

    Steve L – Man, you can’t lose any way there. Hill, Bell & Miller for me, though Rainey is basically even with Miller (so if you are worried about a setback go that way w/o concern)

    Mike from LA – Def. not Sims, as his usage is unknown. Given the matchups, I’d lean Bryant

    chris – West is the only RB close for me. As for the QB, I’d go McCown with Davis as a 2nd choice

  6. Brian D says:

    Gore or Sims this week? I know Gore is the safe bet but I’m thinking about gambling on Sims. Thoughts?

  7. Zach says:

    Hey Dr. Roto – Question re: trade offer: Would you trade Darren Sproles or Tre Mason for a combination of Kenny Britt and Steelers or Cards DEF? I have GB DEF lined up to play (Browns on bench given Thurs game). Don’t see Britt’s upside. My gut says no, but curious for your thoughts.

  8. smidge says:

    Who do you like best Romo, Sanchez or Flacco this week
    Olsen or Kelce
    and need two for WR2/Flex Decker, Fitz, Baldwin, M. Bryant or Tate
    and need two RB, McFadden, Rainey, Mason, A.Williams or Taliaferro
    or would you flex one of these guys over receiver?

  9. Zach – Nah, I’d keep the RB

    smidge:
    QB – Romo, if he’s playing, otherwise Flacco
    TE – Kelce
    RB – Rainey/McFadden (how sad is that….)
    WR – Fitzgerald
    FLEX – Decker (only because Johnson is likely back for Detroit, if he’s not for some reason I go Tate)

    • smidge says:

      thanks I know it’s sad sad RB situation I have.. too many injuries and deep benches has left me scrambling every week

      appreciate the help I could Kaepernick if you think that’s better than Flacco I don’t think I can trust Romo this week if he takes another hit..

  10. AJ says:

    Hey Roto,
    Need advice. I have Steven Jackson, Randle, Crabtree, Andre Holmes, and Golden Tate. Need to start 1 WR and flex.
    Standard scoring
    Thanx

  11. Sam G says:

    Roto –

    I got 2 WR spots and a Flex spot to fill this week. Non-PPR league. Deciding from V. Jackson, Denard Robinson, L. Miller, R. Randle, and Torrey Smith. Thinking V. Jackson and Denard Robinson at WR then L. Miller at Flex. Would you go with that combo or who do you like best this week?

    Thanks!

  12. AJ – Tate is the def. play. The FLEX comes down to Jackson/Crabtree, but I’d lean the RB since it’s close

    Sam G – If you can do it that way, I def. would I have no trust in Randle/Smith

  13. Vijay says:

    Hey Roto, great work. Need some advice.

    Pick 2 of the 5 in PPR:

    Michael Floyd, Doug Baldwin, Justin Hunter, Kenny Britt or Larry Donnell.

    Thanks!

    • I’d say Baldwin is probably the best choice, with Hunter as my second choice. Simply can’t trust Floyd and, while I like Donnell, he’s struggled for long enough that I’d want to see him produce (though he’s my #3)

  14. Robert says:

    Hey Roto,

    I currently have Lamar Miller in for this week, but reading that he will be limited (on top of playing against Detroit’s defense). Trying to decide if I should put Lorenzo Taliaferro in instead considering the defensive match-up is better, and Kubiak says his first fumble last week won’t effect his use on the field.

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