by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)
This week we learned that the Jaguars have lost Allen Robinson for the season with a broken foot. The team leader in receptions (48), targets (81) and yards (548), let’s take a look at the teams other receivers to try and determine if there is value moving forward:
He has struggled at times this season, with 33 receptions on 61 targets, but has been better over the past two weeks with 10 receptions on 14 targets. However, he hasn’t scored a touchdown since his first game of the season (9/21) and is primarily utilized as more of a “possession” receiver:
- Passes Thrown Behind Line of Scrimmage – 8 receptions
- Passes Thrown 1-10 Yards – 14 receptions
- Passes Thrown 11-20 Yards – 5 receptions
- Passes Thrown 21-30 Yards – 1 reception
It’s similar to 2013, when 43 of his 66 receptions were on passes thrown 10 yards or shorter and he scored just 3 TD. That’s not to say that it is dissimilar to Robinson’s usage, but it doesn’t mean that he’s going to be a must use player or dependable option.
He’s had a few big games, but otherwise has repeatedly thrown up stinkers. With one less target option, could Hurns become a more consistent weapon? It’s unlikely, given the boom or bust aspect of his game, and currently being sidelined with a concussion obviously further hurts his value.
It remains to be seen when he is cleared to return for action, but don’t consider him much more than a risky WR4/5, at best.
The 2014 second round selection hasn’t been given many opportunities this season (24 targets), but this could be his chance to finally emerge. Prior to the draft NFL.com described him by saying:
“An extremely motivated, dynamic, playmaking receiver, Lee’s junior season was plagued by shoulder, knee and leg injuries and a revolving door at head coach, where he cycled through three. Showed all the traits desired in a No. 1 receiver early in his career and has overcome a lot of adversity in his life to get to this point.”
Walter Football, meanwhile, compared him to Greg Jennings saying:
“Lee’s game reminds me of Jennings when he was in his prime with Green Bay. Both are excellent route-runners with the speed to produce some big plays. They operate well in all levels of the field. Jennings (5-11, 198) and Lee are basically the same measurements, but both play bigger than their listed size.”
He’s definitely an intriguing lottery ticket to take, even more so with Hurns also potentially sidelined.
While Shorts is the safest add of the group, the player who could ultimately make the biggest impact is Lee. Depending on your situation, consider taking the lottery ticket and seeing if he can develop.
Sources – ESPN, NFL.com, Walter Football
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