Rotoprofessor Roundtable: Which Top 20 Pick Will Disappoint In Week 1?

I recently posed the following question to a few of the Rotoprofessor writers:

“Which potential Top 15-20 pick will be the biggest Week 1 disappointment?”

Who did they pick?  Let’s take a look:

 

Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor) – C.J. Anderson
I’ve voiced my doubts about Anderson before and the matchup this week certainly gives us cause for concern.  The Ravens were one of the better defenses against the run last season, allowing the fourth fewest rushing yards per game (88.2) and tying for the fifth fewest rushing TD (8).  Just to make it even better, they allowed the fewest points per game to opposing running backs (12.99).

Remember a lot of Anderson’s value came from finding the end zone and his biggest days came when he was given a significant workload (obviously).  The team could easily go pass heavy and they also could be willing to utilize Ronnie Hillman coming off a strong preseason, meaning 25+ touches is hard to imagine.

Matchup + Usage Questions?  There’s a good chance he disappoints in Week 1.

 

Will Overton – Jamaal Charles
Let me preface this first by saying that anyone you took in the first two rounds of your fantasy football draft should absolutely be in your lineups in Week 1, and hopefully every week they play from there on out. Now that I have gotten that out of the way, the guy I think may be a disappointment is Jamaal Charles. I’m going out on a ledge here by naming a Top 5 player, but I don’t think this will be Charles best week by far.

For starters this just isn’t a very good matchup. The Houston Texans defense was good last year and it’s even better this year. They are stout up front and Charles may find the holes hard to find. He is also going to be sharing carries again this year with Knile Davis to try and keep him healthy.  Additionally he may lose some screen pass looks to Jeremy Maclin, who is a playmaker that Andy Reid is going to find a way to get the ball too.

Charles will have some massive games this season, but he won’t be an every week dominant performer and I think Week 1 is going to be the first disappointment.

 

Ray Kuhn – Andrew Luck
When it comes to each position there are tiers, and with quarterbacks there are just two in the top tier. In order to enjoy a season of Aaron Rodgers or Andrew Luck atop your fantasy team, you had to select them within the first 18 to 20 picks in the majority of leagues. That means they are going to be in your starting lineup without question regardless of matchup.  Do not over think things and bench someone like Luck in place of a Derek Carr just because Luck is going to “struggle” this week.

In DFS this week, Luck should be avoided as he will likely have some difficulty in Buffalo, but that doesn’t mean he should be benched in your season long leagues. Just be aware there are better ways for Luck to be beginning his 2015 season.

The Bills have a difficult defense, and Buffalo is going to come out of the gates strong in Rex Ryan’s first game. Ryan gets to scheme with a very strong defensive line and a much better secondary than he had to work with last year in New York. Don’t expect a dominating performance from Luck this week.

Make sure to check out all of our Week 1 rankings:

*** It’s never too early to start preparing for the 2016 Fantasy Baseball Season!!  Pre-order Rotoprofessor’s 2016 Fantasy Baseball Draft Guide today for just $5.50 (regularly priced $6.50)!  For more information click here. ***

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3 comments

  1. Haggy says:

    Prof. Got Eli Manning and Sam Bradford. Who would you start week 1.

  2. Jack says:

    Missed on Jamaal Charles, but good work on the other 2 picks. It’ll be interesting to see if Andersen develops a higher time share with Hillman. I’m glad I didn’t draft him.

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