Buy Low Candidates: Three Players We’d Be Targeting (Ameer Abdullah & More)

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Last week we took a look at a few potential players that we’d be looking to sell high on.  How about the flipside, though?  Who would we be looking to target as a potential buy low option?  Let’s take a look:

 

Demaryius Thomas – Wide Receiver – Denver Broncos
He’s been disappointing, to an extent, all season (68 receptions, 816 yards, 1 TD) and has lost Peyton Manning at quarterback, so why would we be looking at him as a buy option?  There are actually a lot of things working in his favor:

  • You could argue that Brock Osweiler is a better fit for the offense (some have made this argument, especially with how poorly Manning has played this season), but regardless it all comes down to Thomas finding the end zone
  • The opportunities have been there (103 targets, fifth most in the league) and are going to continue to be, especially with the running game struggling to establish itself
  • The schedule, you can argue, looks favorable including the Bears (12 TD to WR), Patriots (1,758 yards, 10 TD), Raiders (1,757 yards) and Steelers (1,919 yards, most in the league, and 9 TD) over the next few weeks

He’s had at least 10 TD in each of the past three seasons and he could be in for a monster finish.

 

Ameer Abdullah – Running Back – Detroit Lions
He’s actually gotten the most attempts in the backfield (68 carries), though the struggles of Joique Bell (2.6 YPC, 1 TD) could easily start to move more carries into Abdullah’s favor.  It’s not like the rookie has impressed (68 carries for 240 yards and 1 TD), and we certainly expected more, but what do the Lions have to lose?  They are 2-7 and looking towards the future, not 2015, and who is likely to be a fixture in the lineup moving forward?  Is it Abdullah, the 22-year old second round pick, or Bell, who is 29-years old and really hasn’t impressed since 2012 (YPC of 3.9 and 3.9 in 2013 & 2014)?

There have been fumble issues with Abdullah, but the fact is he needs the experience and there’s nothing to lose.  In fact, Mike O’Hara of the team’s official website gave a litany of stats as to why Abdullah should be promoted to the starting role (click here for the article):

  • He’s on pace to make the Pro Bowl as a return specialist. His average of 31.9 yards on kickoff returns leads the league among all players who’ve had at least five returns.
  • He leads the NFL with 20 returns of 20 yards or longer, and also with three returns of 40 yards or longer. And that’s on 21 returns. Next on the list of 20-yard returns or longer is Taiwan Jones of the Raiders with 15, and he needed 19 returns to do it.
  • As a runner, no back on the Lions has dazzling stats because the running game ranks dead last – and looks dead most of the time – with 66.9 yards per game.
  • But Abdullah leads the Lions with 240 yards and a 3.5-yard average per carry. Of the Lions’ running backs, he has the longest TD run this year (24 yards) and the longest reception (36).
  • And one other thing: despite the fumbles, he has good hands as a receiver. He has 14 catches, with no drops.

 

Carlos Hyde – Running Back – San Francisco 49ers
The only reason he may be available at a lower cost is the injury, because there is no question that he’s going to return to the starting role once he proves healthy.  While he wasn’t great in his seven games played, he also wasn’t terrible with 470 yards (4.1 YPC) and 3 TD.  Given the questions at quarterback you would think the team would be ready to lean on him even more upon his return.  If someone in your league has grown frustrated, now is the time to strike.

Sources – ESPN, NFL.com, DetroitLions.com

Make sure to check out all of our Week 11 rankings:

Quarterbacks
Running Backs
Wide Receivers
Tight Ends
Kickers
Defenses
The Drop List: Four Players We Are Ready To Move On From (D. Parker & More)
Thursday Night Fallout: Is T.J. Yeldon The Long-Term Answer In Jacksonville?

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