by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)
No one would’ve questioned the Broncos’ Demaryius Thomas as a Top 10 wide receiver a year ago (and chances are he was ranked higher than that). This season he currently goes at an average ADP of 31.6, placing him as the 16th wide receiver coming off the board.
Yes Peyton Manning has retired…
Yes he will likely see a downgrade at quarterback…
Of course we are still talking about a wide receiver who racked up 105 receptions for 1,304 yards last season. Did he “disappoint”? With 6 TD the case could be made, though the other numbers make it a hard sell.
Let’s not forget he has posted 90+ receptions and 1,300+ yards for four straight seasons. While the QB play is going to be questionable, you could make the argument that it was nothing special last season either. The receptions and the yardage were there, and there is little reason to think that it will suddenly disappear.
As for the touchdowns, it’s interesting that he was targeted 10 times in the red zone last season, turning 6 of those into receptions. However he had just 1 TD in the red zone. The only other wide receiver (out of 27) with at least 6 red zone receptions who failed to score at least 2 TD was the Kansas City Chiefs’ D’Anthony Thomas. In fact there were only three others who scored just 2 TD, with the majority of players racking up 3+ if they were ranking up that many receptions near the end zone.
Almost by default you would expect the TD to rise (he had scored 10+ each of the previous three seasons), even if he stagnates or regresses in receptions and yardage. The potential for him to match those numbers, while adding TD, only adds to the appeal.
Being nervous makes sense, but as a third round pick he’s an absolute no-brainer selection. In fact we’d be willing to “reach” for him, given the upside potential. There’s just far too much potential and little reason to think that he won’t outperform his draft day cost.
Sources – ESPN, CBS Sports, Fantasy Pros