Saturday Morning Start ‘Em or Sit ‘Em: A.J. Green, Sammy Watkins, Kenneth Farrow & More

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Just hours before the start of Week 16 I know many people have questions running through their heads. Who should I start? Who should I sit?  Let’s take a look at how some of the recent news changes things:

 

Sammy Watkins – Wide Receiver – Buffalo Bills
Over the past two weeks Watkins has totaled 10 targets (which he’s turned into 5 catches, 64 yards and 1 TD).  The Bills have clearly eased him back into the mix, so it’s fair to be concerned with how many opportunities he’ll see.  That said the Dolphins have struggled against wide receivers (seventh most points per week over the past four weeks), and the last time Watkins faced them (November 8, 2015) he exploded for 8 catches, 168 yards and 1 TD.  That makes him an intriguing WR3 play, and potentially usable as a WR2 depending on your alternatives.

 

Kelvin Benjamin – Wide Receiver – Carolina Panthers
He’s fully expected to play this week, but does it matter?  Just look at what he’s done over the first three games of December:

  • at Seattle – 2 receptions for 18 yards
  • vs. San Diego – 1 reception for 11 yards
  • at Washington – 2 receptions for 20 yards

That’s 5 receptions for 49 yards, despite being targeted 17 times.  He hasn’t topped 100 yards since Week 2 (the only time he’s accomplished the feat this season) and has scored 1 TD since October 2.  He’s supposed to be one of the elite receivers in the game, but given his production he’s impossible to trust with your fantasy title hanging in the balance.

 

Kenneth Farrow – Running Back – San Diego Chargers
Farrow was a hot add last week, but he failed to impress and has been lackluster over the past two weeks when given the opportunity (31 carries for 94 yards, failing to break a run longer than 11 yards).  Yes the matchup against Cleveland is appealing, but would it be surprising to see Ronnie Hillman emerge as the leader of the committee (7 carries for 34 yards last week)?  That risk is going to keep Farrow off fantasy radars, unless you truly are desperate for a FLEX option.

 

A.J. Green – Wide Receiver – Cincinnati Bengals
He’s going to play for the first time since November 20, the question is going to be how much he’ll actually be on the field.  You would think that the Bengals wouldn’t put their franchise player at risk, especially with little to play for, though you still have to think he’ll be at least a little bit limited.  That could mean slotting him more as a WR2, but if he’s on the field he’s going to be worth utilizing.

 

Donte Moncrief – Wide Receiver – Indianapolis Colts
After a one-game layoff Moncrief is set to return for the Colts.  Of course he’s clearly behind T.Y. Hilton and if he doesn’t find the end zone he’s going to be a complete non-factor (he hasn’t had more than 64 yards in a game this season).  Is that a gamble you want to take at this point in the season?  There’s potential, but he’s better left for the desperate.

 

C.J. Fiedorowicz – Tight End – Houston Texans
He’s set to return after missing time with a concussion and he also has a favorable matchup against the Bengals.  That said, you have to wonder how the change in quarterback is going to impact his opportunities.  We don’t know the rapport that Fiedorowicz has with Tom Savage, who clearly worked well with tight end Ryan Griffin last week (Griffin had 8 receptions for 85 yards on 8 targets).  That hangs a huge cloud over Fiedorowicz and keeps him as more of a TE2 in most formats.

 

Taylor Gabriel – Wide Receiver – Atlanta Falcons
With Julio Jones primed to return, Gabriel’s upside for this week is murky.  While he does have a favorable matchup against the Panthers (who have allowed the sixth most points per week to opposing wide receivers this season), he’s been an extremely TD dependent option regardless of if Jones is dressed or not.  Gabriel hasn’t had more than 6 targets in a game, nor has he exceeded 82 yards.  That’s not even boom-or-bust territory, it’s TD-or-bust (6 TD, including scores in four of his past five games).  With your fantasy title hanging in the balance, is that really a gamble you want to take?

 

Jordan Reed – Tight End – Washington Redskins
The injury is clearly impacting him and there appears to be a real chance that he misses this week’s game.  Even if he plays, can we expect an impact?  Fantasy owners should be moving on.

 

Sources – NFL.com, ESPN

*** Pre-Order Rotoprofessor’s 2017 Fantasy Baseball Draft Guide for Just $5.50 By Clicking Here!! ***

Thursday Night Start 'Em or Sit 'Em: Week 16: Ryan Mathews, Jordan Matthews, Eli Manning & More

40 comments

  1. Sahel kazemi says:

    Professor,
    Farrow or Dixon?

  2. Bms914 says:

    Ok championship game……you took me this far….thx!

    Who to start at flex? 1 point PPR…… AJ, Stewart, Ware, Rawls, or Inman?

    Playing McCoy and Montgomery at other RB, and Evans and Edelman at other WR slots….

    Also, should I stick with Carr at QB? Won the past 2 weeks even with him giving me almost nothing….have Kapernick on bench……

  3. El Chapo says:

    Need help with flex spot standard AJ Green, Gabriel, Crowder or Dion Lewis, Im favored so I was thinking lewis has the safest floor, scared that Green will get his 1000 yard season then quit, who would you play?

  4. porto says:

    Prof, need help for the ship!

    Standard Scoring.

    Colin Kaepernick vs LA, Dak Prescott vs DET or Marcus Mariota vs JAX?

    Jamison Crowder vs CHI or Tyreek Hill vs DEN?

    Dallas vs DET or Denver vs KC?

    Thanks man!

  5. C says:

    Hey professor,

    AJ Green or A. Cooper today for the championship? Really worried about Green..

    Also, benching Latavius, Kelley or Montgomery for the TD potential of Gillislee or Henry is just taking too big of a risk with the season on the line, right?

    Thanks a lot, and good luck everyone!

  6. LK says:

    Reed replacement in .5 PPR? Vernon, Henry, Witten, Clay or Fiedorwicz? Henry has best matchup but worry about red zone force feed to Gates. Vernon seems to be most targeted (9 targets last week) but hasn’t done much. Witten safest floor but probably lowest ceiling. I’m torn so please pick one and I’ll stop worrying!

  7. Ray Kuhn says:

    Go with Davis. He has had success previously when Reed was sidelined and even when Reed has been active he has a role

  8. Richard says:

    PPR league and I can’t decide who to start at my WR3 position.. currently have Richard Matthews over Watkins, Steve Smith, and Maclin. Thoughts?

  9. K says:

    Lost both Eifert and Reed…best available in standard league are: Gates, Brate, Fleener, Fiedorowicz, Bennett, Henry.

    Who ya got?

    Thanks for another great season of advice!

  10. reggie says:

    got the cold sweats here:

    standard scoring – playing Julio, McCoy, Ty Mont

    I’m still struggling with two slots:

    Ware, Kelley, Powell, Baldwin

    play 2 – sit 2 — who do you like?

    thanks!

  11. dodge10 says:

    standard-tyrell williams or davante adams

  12. reggie says:

    that is I have Julio Shady and Ty Mont playing – the other 2 I keep coin flipping :)

  13. dodge10 says:

    michael thomas or davante adams

  14. reggie says:

    I have Watkins too but shying away from him with the other options

  15. dodge10 says:

    kyle rudolph or delanie walker

  16. dodge10 says:

    kenny britt, rishard mathews or davante adams

  17. John says:

    Fleener or Vernon davis? Thanks

  18. dodge10 says:

    kenny britt, rishard mathews or jonathan stewart standard flex

  19. dodge10 says:

    standard flex-spencer ware or davante adams

  20. reggie says:

    thanks again RP – good luck everyone!

  21. dodge10 says:

    ware or tyrell williams for standard flex

  22. LK says:

    .5 Cooper or Inman?

  23. BWAY says:

    Need 2 Standard
    Britt, Ingram, Rawls?

  24. reggie says:

    nice sall on Sammy – wish I had played him and I’d br breathing easy now – sat Baldwin also so would be killing it – as it is I’m up 121-104 and will sweat through tonights game as my opponent has zeke

    but there IS a god – and his name is Travis Kelce!

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

You may use these HTML tags and attributes: <a href="" title=""> <abbr title=""> <acronym title=""> <b> <blockquote cite=""> <cite> <code> <del datetime=""> <em> <i> <q cite=""> <strike> <strong>