Buy ‘Em or Deny ‘Em: Is A New Option Rising From The San Francisco RB “Mess”? (Breida & More)

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

According to Matt Barrows (via Twitter):

Kyle Shanahan says Carlos Hyde is going to be the first running back in games, followed by Matt Breida and the “hot hand” thereafter.

Considering how things played out in Week 5, this news shouldn’t come as a surprise.  All you have to do is look at the numbers and you can tell that’s the approach San Francisco was already taking:

  • Matt Breida – 10 carries for 49 yards, 3 receptions for 22 yards
  • Carlos Hyde – 8 carries for 11 yards, 1 reception for 7 yards

Breida has 19 carries over the past two weeks, though it’s a bit of a surprise that the 49ers have been so willing to replace Hyde.  It’s not like the veteran has been bad in 2017, with 332 yards (4.5 yards per carry) and 2 TD as well as 18 receptions for 95 yards.  It’s also not like he has had ball security issues, fumbling once (Week 4) but it was ultimately recovered by the 49ers.

So what is the reason?  This could simply be a case of a rebuilding team, with no ties to a veteran (the current regime weren’t the ones to draft him), eyeing the future.  While there have been extension rumors, Hyde could be a free agent at year’s end and given the state of the franchise they may feel a big investment in a 27-year old running back is not in their best interest.

You can also argue that Breida isn’t the future at the position, as a 5’11”, 190 lbs. undrafted rookie.  Could he be?  Perhaps, but it’s easy to envision the 2018 draft producing both the quarterback and running back of the future assuming the 49ers keep on losing (and that’s a further reason to come up with an excuse to utilize a “lesser” player).

Verdict:

Hyde - At the end of the day Hyde continues to offer the most upside for San Francisco, but at this time he’s becoming a tough player to trust.  The 49ers appear to be looking for a reason to shy away from him, and that could bring with it inconsistent results.  While he’s still a player to hold and the better gamble on a weekly basis, consider him more of a FLEX option for now.

Breida - He’s well worth stashing to see how this plays out, but he’s not a player to utilize until in your starting lineup until the workload becomes consistent.

Source – ESPN 

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18 comments

  1. Mike says:

    Hi Eric, great work as always. I’m 5-0 but just lost obj and need to improve wr. 12 team standard. I have russel Wilson, fournette, hunt, kamara, j stew, Collins and McGuire, and michael thomas, larry fitz, garçon and Corey Davis and Asj. I may make this offer, larry fitz and j stew for tyreek hill. What do u think of that? Any other thoughts? Thank u!

    • Not a bad offer at all, though I think you may be able to get someone to over pay for Kamara right now

    • Michael D Chavez says:

      I honestly think there is no way someone would accept that. JStew is almost droppable at this point and Tyreek can blow up at any moment in a game. If you can get that trade accepted, lucky you.

  2. Whipple says:

    Hey Prof,
    I have a 12 team standard league with two Flex positions (w/r/TE) along with 2 WR, 2 RB, &1 TE with 3 QBs on my roster (Brees, Newton, & Luck). With Brees off his by week I’m looking to move Cam after his past couple weeks. I’ve been offered Powell (RB), but wanted to see what you thought was fair trade value (in terms of RB/WR). Currently have Freeman and Elliot as my top RBs and Coleman and D Johnson on the bench. My WRs are: D Thomas, Watkins, Maclin, Snead

    Thank you!

    • MoneyMike733 says:

      That is Duke Johnson on your bench right ? If its David Johnson that is some draft u had to be in a 12 team league :)

      • Whipple says:

        Actually I traded T Rawls for David Johnson right after he went down, on IR, and they announced xmas as a possible return. I don’t have an IR slot, so he takes up one of my 5 bench spots, by my hope is he will become one of my Flex players in the next month or so (for playoffs). The Peterson pick up has me a bit nervous on the timeline for his return (depending on the pick given up).

    • I think you should be able to do a lot better than Powell in return for Newton. I like Powell, but the Jets have made it clear they aren’t looking towards him at this point

      • Whipple says:

        Thanks Prof, would you think somewhere around Hyde or even Miller?

        I have a trade proposal into someone for T Hill (WR) for Newton, but think that might be reaching a little high. Mt sense is an RB or WR15-20 might be the ceiling.

        Thoughts?

        • I wouldn’t trust Hyde. Miller I could see

        • MikeinMacon says:

          You have just lost Elliot as well with the ruling today so you need to aim high for a quality RB/WR…your WR crew is light also. You are holding two spots open for players, Luck and DJ, that may not help you for 6-8 weeks. Can you afford to do that? With Brees and Newton, you might want to trade off Luck and DJ and maybe a light WR for anything useful to you. And by the way, a Christmas return for DJ does you no good! That’s 11 Sundays away and the end of fantasy playoffs (Week 16).

  3. Jaden says:

    Hi Professor,

    I am in a standard 10 team league and have been offered CJ anderson and Brandin Cooks for my Mike Evans and Alvin Kamara, my wrs and rbs are: Montgomery, Aaron Jones, Doug Martin, Marlon Mack, Kelvin Benjamin, Deandre Hopkins Corey Davis and John Brown. Would you make this deal or stay with what i have?

    Thanks for your time!

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