Thursday Night Start ‘Em or Sit ‘Em: Week 15 (2018): Spencer Ware, Justin Jackson & More

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Thursday games are always tricky, but when you have three of them it’s impossible to completely avoid.  Let’s take a quick look at some of the more questionable decisions for tomorrow’s games and try to decide who we should trust and who should be avoided:

 

Los Angeles Chargers

Justin Jackson – Running Back
With Austin Ekeler  out and Melvin Gordon highly questionable (though time will tell), Jackson should be left to shoulder the load.  Obviously it’s possible that the Chargers lean more on Philip Rivers and the passing game, something that could look more likely after Jackson did little against the Bengals (35 total yards).  However the previous two weeks he looked like he could really surge:

  • vs. Arizona – 57 yards on 7 touches
  • at Pittsburgh – 82 yards and 1 TD on 9 touches

The Chiefs have allowed the second most points per week to opposing running backs overall this season, including 166 total yards to Gordon back in Week 1.  While there’s definite risk, utilizing Jackson as a RB2 or FLEX is a solid plan (assuming Ekeler and Gordon are officially ruled out, so check the news to confirm).

Verdict – Start ‘Em (as RB2/FLEX)

 

Mike Williams – Wide Receiver
We all know Keenan Allen is the top weapon, but given the state of the running game there should be more opportunities for the other receivers.  Mike Williams should be the biggest beneficiary, after being second on the team in targets in Week 14 with 6.

Of course the Chiefs have been much better against opposing wide receivers, including allowing just 11 TD.  You would think that this could be a shootout, and that the chances will be there…  Would you want to count on it though?  With your fantasy title hanging in the balance it doesn’t make sense to put yourself at risk of a “0” this early.

Verdict – Sit ‘Em

 

Tyrell Williams – Wide Receiver
He hasn’t had more than 6 targets in any game, so if we aren’t going to trust Mike Williams is there any chance we trust Tyrell?

Verdict – Sit ‘Em

 

Antonio Gates – Tight End
Tight End has been a tough position this season, but Gates has over 50 yards once all season and has routinely been targeted 3 times or fewer.  While the options are limited in general, he’s not the guy to look towards for help.

Verdict – Sit ‘Em

 

Must Use Options:

  • Philip Rivers – Quarterback
  • Keenan Allen – Wide Receiver

 

Kansas City Chiefs

Spencer Ware – Running Back
The Kareem Hunt situation has opened the door for Ware to be the lead back, and after struggling against the Raiders (52 total yards, 1 TD) he exploded both running and catching the football against the Ravens in Week 14:

  • Rushing – 15 carries for 75 yards
  • Receiving – 5 receptions for 54 yards

He did see Damien Williams vulture a touchdown (8 carries for 14 yards and 1 TD), but that’s not enough of a reason to be down on him.  Even more favorable is that the Chargers have given up the seventh most points per week to opposing running backs over the past two weeks (257 total yards, 4 TD) and the seventh most over the past four weeks (493 total yards, 7 TD).

Verdict – Start ‘Em

 

Chris Conley – Wide Receiver
After scoring 3 TD over a two game span Conley was virtually shut out last week, turning 3 targets into 2 receptions and 13 yards.  Even with the TD surge he’s exceeded 25 yards just once all season long.  Even without Sammy Watkins in the lineup, is there any reason to even consider trusting him?  This early in the week it’s simply far too likely that he puts you in a hole.

Verdict – Sit ‘Em

 

Sammy Watkins – Wide Receiver
Watkins hasn’t played since November 19, so even if he does take the field (which seems extremely unlikely) is it going to be possible to trust him?  There’s too much risk and it’s highly unlikely that he even plays.

Verdict – Sit ‘Em

 

Must Use Options:

  • Patrick Mahomes – Quarterback
  • Tyreek Hill – Wide Receiver
  • Travis Kelce – Tight End

Sources – ESPN, NFL.com

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29 comments

  1. OtisP says:

    Looks like Ware will be out on Thursday. If so, who would you start as a flex in a full point PPR league: Corey Davis, Damien Williams, or Gus Edwards?

  2. Mike says:

    What’s up man? Hope your still alive in a few leagues.
    Please pick -1 WR, 1RB and 1 Flex for PPR..Josh Gordon, Mike Evans,Sutton, Curtis Samuel, Dante Pettits, Mark Ingram, Sony Michel or Justin Jackson?? Thanks for your time and good luck this week.

  3. stephen martin says:

    who would you rather roll with this week, min at home or sea on th eroad. also ten and no would be options.

    and looking to next week who woul dyou like
    thanks as always

  4. Diamondoug says:

    1/2 PPR Small $$
    what 2 RB, 2 WR and flex would you choose ??

    D Johnson, C Carson, M Mack, J Wilson, J Conner, S Ware, Damien Williams
    J Gordon, DaeSean Hamilton, R Cobb, C Godwin

    Thanks

  5. J says:

    Hey professor,

    First off, C. Godwin or C. Samuel this week?

    Secondly, would you go with the Lions DST or the Bills DST this week? The ‘Skins DST at the Jags are another option.

    Also, for week 16 – do you prefer the Dolphins DST at home vs the Jags, the Titans DST at home vs the Skins or the Browns DST at home vs the Bengals?

    Much appreciated!

  6. Dan says:

    Hey professor
    1ppr-10 team league
    I’m a melvin gordon owner who stashed J.Jackson last week. I suppose if Gordon plays he’s a must play but if not would you roll J.Jackson tonight or Aaron Jones @ the Bears? I’m already starting Chubb and Mixon without question (unless you feel differently).
    Anyways i appreciate the advice, as $$ is on the line in this one.

    thanks Professor!

  7. sean a maguire says:

    full ppr rb2, jaylen samuels, gus edwards, spencer ware, mark ingram
    FLEX, TY HILTON, robert woods, or one of the above ?

  8. Matt says:

    Rank these RB’s this week (from best to worst), I need to start one, maybe flex the other.

    Justin Jackson
    Josh Adams
    Jaylen Samuels
    Jeff Wilson
    Gus Edwards
    Doug Martin

  9. MATT says:

    hey professor

    need 2 RB’s, Michel, LMiller, jhoward or jjaackson

    need a def, Minn, Seattle Rams, Atlanta

    thanks

  10. Robert Chace says:

    Professor-
    Due to Sony Michels lack of production, would you sit him over-
    Justin Jackson and Damion Williams?
    Thanks

    Bobby

  11. d says:

    hey professor which 3 rbs do i start in a 1/2ppr league. David johnson, gus edwards, damian williams, jeffery willson

  12. MW says:

    Really stumped here. Do I start Damien Williams tonight at home against a mediocre rush defense that is the chargers or Lamar Miller away against a stellar Jets defense?

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