Quick Hit: Fallout From Jonathan Baldwin’s Monday Night Breakout

The 26th overall selection in the 2011 draft, Jon Baldwin had his NFL debut delayed due to breaking his thumb during a locker room altercation.  He was active for the first time in Week 7, but made his first real impact in Week 8:

  • Week 7 – 1 reception for 14 yards and 0 TD (5 targets)
  • Week 8 – 5 receptions for 82 yards and 1 TD (8 targets)

In Monday night’s game he was the second most targeted receiver (Dwayne Bowe led the way with 11 targets).  It is interesting that Steve Breaston was targeted just four times.

Randy Covitz of The Kansas City Star (click here for the article) has a quote from head coach Todd Haley:

“I was encouraged with his progression the last couple of weeks,” coach Todd Haley said of Baldwin. “I think everyone is excited about him.”

The Professor’s Thoughts:
There was a lot of talk about the potential of Baldwin prior to the season and the chances of him being a big-time downfield threat.  He put that on display with his 39-yard touchdown catch this past weekend. 

For now it appears that he will remain the third receiver, playing primarily in the slot, but it seems like only a matter of time before Baldwin starts seeing more and more time.  While Breaston looked good as the team’s second receiver in Baldwin’s absence, the targets he received in Week 8 could become telling.

Baldwin’s upside is too great to ignore, especially for an offense that is averaging 18.3 points per game (eighth worst in the league).  I would expect him to become more integrated into the offense, meaning he should get even more opportunities to produce.  Consider him a must own option in all but the shallowest of formats moving forward.

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  1. AJ says:

    Take a chance with Nicks or start Baldwin instead

  2. GT says:

    Baldwin is a menace. Physically he’s a beast who made some phenomenal catches on Monday. If he had caught two of those 8 targets that went through his hands, he would have been front page news Tuesday morning. Just another reason to be excited about the young talent at receiver in the next few years – the position is about to completely turn over.

  3. GT – I don’t disagree. There are a lot of great youngsters who could emerge in the next few years.

    AJ – If Nicks is playing you have to roll with him against New England. Nicks may be a Top 3 WR this week.

  4. Muddy Cleats 18 says:

    got baldwin in a few of my leagues.
    Quick question – I tend to play Def. roulette and go with the hot matchup. Does it make sense to go with a def that is playing against your QB? then when your defense does good your QB is not.
    Tebow vs Raiders is my problem I am having. Even when Tebow stinks like last week he gets as much as most QBs so I still like rolling with him but the raiders are the best defense I have to choose from this week…

    • It’s a tough situation, but if it’s the best bet then there’s not much that you can do. I agree regarding Tebow, but are there any other defenses available to you?

      • Muddy Cleats 18 says:

        Falcons and rams def. are best are left. its a work Money league so waivers are slim. I am in first place cause I drafted top RB/WR/TE and rolled the dice with Kickers, def ect…

  5. Roll Tide says:

    I have Nicks, Jennings, Colston, Cruz, A. Brown, Decker, Burress and Baldwin and can start 3. Which do I start and which should I package in a trade for a QB and/or a RB. My QB is Rivers and my top RB is Spoles.

    Thanks for the help!

  6. Bez says:

    Muddy Cleats & Roto…what is the difference other than hope when you play your Def against your starting QB? At the end of the day (game) wouldn’t you like to have both options so if one tanks, the other scores? You could have one tank and a different option tanks as well leaving you saying “woulda, coulda, shoulda. I have Tebow too as Newton is on a bye and was thinking of picking up Oakland’s Def. It’s almost a given that Tebow will giveth & taketh away so I can see an opportunity for both to put up decent points. In our league, the Def only gets points for turnovers, special team scores & Def TD’s so maybe that is the difference?

  7. Bez – In a lot of leagues you lose points for points given up, so if your QB is going to light it up your defense is going to get burned. While it’s not ideal to have any of your skill players taking on your defense, sometimes it’s unavoidable. With someone like Tebow, however, it could easily end up a wash. He’s going to turn it over, but he’ll make it up in rushing yards. Plus, like you said, you lower your risk of having both tank.

    Roll Tide – Health is the important thing to monitor this week, but my Top 3 are Nicks, Jennings & Colston (all are Top 10 options). Brown is my fourth, in case someone is out.

    As for the trade, that’s tough, though I wouldn’t deal Nicks or Jennings (who I consider your Top 2). With the depth that’s there I could see moving Colston if the right move presents itself. Otherwise, I’d package two of the others to see what you could get.

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