Waiver Worthy: Week 11 Fallout: Kevin Smith, Toby Gerhart and More

by Will Overton

Time is ticking down and playoffs are right around the corner. It’s time to start preparing for those days and make sure your roster is stocked, while also making sure you actually make it if you are on the fence. Just because bye weeks are coming to a close doesn’t mean you shouldn’t make sure to keep a well stocked bench for these last few weeks.

These options aren’t the greatest ones in the world, but they do offer some kind of potential if nothing more than a chance at playing time. The question is whether or not these guys have a shot to do something with their playing time. Here is my take on some of the top potential free agent targets.

Kevin Smith – Detroit Lions, RB: There is no doubt that Smith had the biggest day out of anyone on this list this week. With Jahvid Best still out, and no sign of an imminent return, Kevin Smith has some value. Maurice Morris wasn’t doing a horrible job of starting, but Kevin Smith showed explosiveness and big play ability that Morris never did. Smith ran for 140 yards on 16 carries running two into the endzone, while also catch 4 passes for 61 yards and another TD. Morris will still see some carries, but it looks like Smith will see the bulk of them and Smith is also the better backfield receiver of the two. As long as Best is out, and maybe beyond that, Smith is going to have value, just don’t necessarily expect what you got today to continue.
Verdict: Buy ‘Em

Toby Gerhart – Minnesota Vikings, RB: The extremely durable Adrian Peterson broke down yesterday with an ankle injury missing a good part of the game. Gerhart came in and was underwhelming at best with 7 carries for 18 yards. The seriousness of Peterson’s ankle injury is still in question, but he was on the sideline with helmet in hand in the second half on Sunday which indicates it might not be overly serious. Despite yesterday’s game Gerhart does have some potential if he gets the chance, and he seems to be the surefire guy if AP can’t go as well. If you own AP you have to pick up Gerhart as a handcuff just in case, but otherwise he doesn’t look to be more than a one week fill in at best right now.
Verdict: Deny ‘Em

Jerome Simpson – Cincinnati Bengals, WR: Four weeks ago Jerome Simpson caught 6 passes for 101 yards, yesterday he caught 8 passes for 152 yards. In between these two games he has had 4 catches for 57 yards in three games. The talent that Simpson has is unquestionable, but the consistency is certainly worth questioning. Simpson lost his starting spot to Andre Caldwell, but got a chance to start this week with A.J. Green out and he took full advantage. It’s not clear whether or not Simpson will get his starting job back as Caldwell has been a nice number two guy, but Simpson is the more talented guy and he will see plenty of time on the field even if Green does come back this week. Simpson isn’t a great option, but because of his big play ability he is worth taking a gamble on.
Verdict: Buy ‘Em

Donte Stallworth – Washington Redskins, WR: The Skins cut Stallworth a couple of weeks ago to allow more playing time to the Skins younger receivers. However injuries forced the Skins to bring Stallworth back and he came through with 4 catches, 51 yards and a TD. Rex Grossman is back under center for Washington, and while he has his flaws, many of them in fact, he can throw the football for a lot of yards. However, the Skins cut Stallworth for a reason and as people get healthy he is going to start getting pushed back down the depth chart most likely as people get healthy and they Skins fall further out of contention and want to see what they have in their younger talent. For a week fill in Stallworth could be of use, but I don’t see him being a factor in the playoffs.
Verdict: Deny ‘Em

Brent Celek – Philadelphia Eagles,TE: It wasn’t pretty, but Vince Young led the Eagles to a win and a big part of his game plan was his Tight End Brent Celek who caught 6 passes for 60 yards. It’s not clear how long Vince will be under center and Vick could be back as soon as next week, but that doesn’t necessarily mean a negative thing for Celek. Celek’s production did go downhill with the departure of Donovan McNabb, but it looks like Celek is finally getting on track with not just Vince, but also Vick. Over the last five games, including last night, Celek has 28 catches for 309 yards and 2 TD’s. Averaging 5.5 catches and 60 yards a game makes Celek a top 15 option and a borderline top 10 depending on the week. Tight End is getting deeper, but Celek has a hot hand right now and this is the time of the year to ride the hot hands. I’m buying on Celek, no matter who the QB is in Philly.
Verdict: Buy ‘Em

Who are you buying and denying off the waiver wire this week? Any of these guys? Got someone else in mind? Give us your opinions and ask any questions.

 

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14 Responses to Waiver Worthy: Week 11 Fallout: Kevin Smith, Toby Gerhart and More

  1. Randy says:

    Would you recommend dropping Best to get Smith, or just keeping both? I could also drop Felix instead (I have Murray), or, look elsewhere like backup TE (currently have Fred Davis, and Celek)… What do you think?

  2. Randy says:

    Also, I have Earl Bennett, in addition to Fitzgerald, Lloyd, and Jacoby Ford. I’m a little worried that Bennett will not have as much value with Cutler out. The free agent pickings aren’t too great, however. Having said that, do you think stashing Santana Moss or Miles Austin (both of whom have been dropped) would be a good move?

    • Picking up Austin over Bennett is an easy call. Austin has the potential of being a WR1 upon his return.

      Keeping Best really depends on your depth. I’m not the Lions’ are going to utilize him as an every down back, especially given his injury history at this point. If you are in need of a RB now, getting Smith makes sense. I would probably drop Felix Jones first, but it’s either/or. I don’t think dropping Best or Jones is going to hurt you.

      • Randy says:

        Thanks! I could drop a TE instead of either Felix or Best… I have Fred Davis and Celek, but only start one. Would dropping one of these guys be a better idea, and if so, which one? I think Davis may offer more upside, but Celek isn’t receiving all the defensive attention that Davis is.

  3. Ray says:

    Randy, I don’t think Best is coming back and even if he does he would split carries with Smith. I would drop Best. Felix Jones can be dropped. Murray is the #1 guy and will get 80% percent of the reps.

    Earl Bennett will probably go back to being a borderline #3 WR without his old roommate from Vandy throwing him passes.
    Pick up Austin now, as he will be back and is the favorite receiver of Romo.

  4. Ray says:

    I meant to say without his old Vandy roommate (Cutler).

  5. Triz says:

    Is it just my computer, or is that a really small and aggressive font?

  6. my team…palmer,foster,turner,jennings,white,hernandez,lynch,akers,pats d, with hillis, k.smith,pettigrew,manningham,seahawks d,tate,moore on bench. i was offered a trade of i get brees and bowe and trade turner and jennings. your thoughts?

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