There are always some intriguing numbers that helps lead us to our fantasy football decisions. Let’s take a look at some of them for Week 13:
0 – Rushing touchdowns allowed by the San Francisco 49ers
It’s an incredibly impressive number, especially when you realize only one other team has allowed less than five rushing touchdowns (the Miami Dolphins have allowed 3). The last team to allow fewer than five rushing touchdowns in a season was the 2008 Baltimore Ravens, who allowed four, and at this point it is hard to imagine the 49ers not bettering that feat (since 1990 no team has allowed fewer than four rushing touchdowns). In other words, what the 49ers defense has done is clearly impressive and says a lot about their ability. Steven Jackson unfortunately has a matchup with them this week and the chance of him posting a big game seems almost nil. At best he’s a RB2, but he’s an extremely tough play.
6 – Touchdowns for Laurent Robinson over the past four weeks (Weeks 9-12)
That ties him for the league lead for non-quarterbacks along with Rob Gronkowski. There’s no question the type of roll he is currently on and, as we discussed recently (click here to view), with Miles Austin likely out another week he is a potential WR1. It would be nice if he was posting a few more yards (only 218 over this span), but we can’t get everything.
26 – Jackie Battle’s total carries over the past three weeks
We can consider him a “lead” back if we want to, but it’s clear that he simply isn’t getting ample opportunities to perform. Can we really expect anything to be significantly different this week? It’s impossible to trust him enough to consider him anything more than a FLEX option, even with a potentially favorable matchup against the Bears (121.8 rushing yards per game and 9 TD).
115 – Average receiving yards per game for Victor Cruz over his past four games
He has clearly emerged as the Giants top receiver in recent weeks, going off for 460 yards and 3 TD. Not that it would matter, but with Mario Manningham hurting (and there are rumors his season could be over) Cruz is going to remain in the starting lineup and likely be the go to receiver in New York. He may not have the same skill level of Hakeem Nicks, but with opposing defenses focusing on Nicks there will be plenty of opportunities for Cruz to perform (over the same span Nicks has 18 receptions for 264 yards and 1 TD).
158 – Cam Newton’s lowest passing yard total in a game
In fact, his Week 3 performance against the Jaguars is the only time he’s been below 200 yards all year. Are people still questioning his ability to throw the ball? I know he does have 14 INT this season, but 10 of them came in three games. You would expect him to get his yards this week (Tampa Bay is allowing 238.5 passing yards per game), but they are tied for fourth in the league with 16 INT. Obviously, Newton’s ability to score with his legs (10 rushing TD) overcomes the risk, but it is worth noting that he has the potential to throw a few interceptions in the coming week.
296 – Rushing yards for Tim Tebow over the past four weeks (Weeks 9-12)
That is actually more than Ray Rice (233), Shonn Greene (225) and Cedric Benson (282), among others. We can beat him up for his inability to throw the ball (440 yards, 4 TD and 0 INT over this span), but the fact that he can chew up yards and score touchdowns (he has two over this span) is going to keep him in the discussion of QB1s every week. That’s no different this week in Minnesota.
697 – Receiving yards for Fred Davis on the season
It actually places him fourth among tight ends, behind only Jimmy Graham, Rob Gronkowski and Jason Witten. The problem with Davis is that he has found the end zone just three times this season (the others have all scored at least 5 TD). The thing is, this week against the Jets how many other options do the Redskins have? With Darrelle Revis matched up with Santana Moss, Davis figures to be the best option the Redskins have. It wouldn’t be surprising to see him cross the goal line, so don’t shy away from him yet.
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Make sure to check out all of our Week 13 articles: