Thursday Night Start ‘Em or Sit ‘Em: Dolphins vs. Bills: Reggie Bush, Steve Johnson & More

Must Use Options
Quarterback - None
Running Back - C.J. Spiller (Buf)
Wide Receiver - None
Tight End - None

Options to Discuss
Quarterback – Ryan Tannehill – Miami Dolphins
He is showing the inconsistency of a rookie, with five touchdown passes vs. nine interceptions. Granted, Buffalo has not done the best job defending the pass (18 TD allowed), but Tannehill hasn’t done nearly enough to instill confidence. Forget the game against the Jets where he was forced out after five attempts, he has thrown for under 225 yards six times and has touchdown passes in just games. He’s a QB2, at best.

Quarterback – Ryan Fitzpatrick – Buffalo Bills
While I also consider Fitzpatrick a QB2, if I was going to be forced to pick between the two he is the one I would go with. That’s not an endorsement, as I do believe that there should be a better option available to you. That said, he has thrown for 17 TD this season and Miami is allowing the fifth most passing yards per game. Before we get too excited, keep in mind he threw five interceptions in two games against the Bills in 2011. Outside of deeper formats, you likely have a better alternative (he came in at #16 on our QB rankings).

Running Back – Reggie Bush – Miami Dolphins
Buffalo has been terrible stopping the run, with league highs in yards allowed (163.7 per game) and touchdowns allowed (16). You would think that would make Bush a must use option, but after being pulled in Week 10 due to a fumble and being relatively ineffective for the past few weeks, I wouldn’t be quite so sure. Would it be a shock if Daniel Thomas got the bulk of the carries, with Bush operating more as a passing down/change of pace back? It would, but Bush hasn’t passed 70 total yards in over a month now and the Dolphins are coming of an embarrassing loss to the Titans. The thing is, the last time he faced the Bills (2011) he took them for 203 yards and a TD. It’s that type of potential that you don’t want to miss.  I would still almost always use Bush given the matchup (unless you are loaded), but his recent struggles keep him from must use territory.

Running Back – Daniel Thomas – Miami Dolphins
I basically covered him in the blurb on Bush, but consider him a sneaky play at your FLEX this week (depending on your other options). With Bush struggling there is every chance that Thomas plays a signigifantly bigger role in the offense, and he draws the worst rushing defense in the league. What’s not to like? Of course, there is always the chance that Bush dominates and forces Thomas to be anchored to the bench, which s why he is a high risk, high reward option. If you are in need, however, he’s worth the gamble.

Wide Receiver – Steve Johnson – Buffalo Bills
He continues to be the top option for the Bills, with 41 catches for 502 yards and four touchdowns. While he isn’t a must use option in two wide receiver formats (though he is definitely usable) he should get more than enough opportunities (at least seven targets in all but one game, including 9+ six times) to be considered a good option in three receiver formats.

Wide Receiver – Donald Jones – Buffalo Bills
I know he has produced, but you have to figure that Johnsn is going to lead the way in the passing game and C.J. Spiller is going to be the centerpiece of the offense overall. That means that the opportunities could be limited for Jones and, unless he brings in a TD, he could easily end up worthless. There’s too much risk to trust.

Wide Receiver – Brian Hartline – Miami Dolphins
The lack of touchdown opportunities puts a severe limit on his potential value. He s being targeted (80 times), and he is picking up yardage (741). The problem is, he has scored just once on the season. He is his team’s top receiver, so that does make him a low end option in three receiver formats. However, you could easily find more value elsewhere. This early in the week, it is probably not worth the risk unless you are desperate.

Wide Receiver – Davone Bess – Miami Dolphins
If we aren’t going to recommend Hartline, do you really think Bess is a good option?

Tight End – Scott Chandler – Buffalo Bills
Chandler is the epitome of a tight end who only as potential value because he is a red zone target. With 27 receptions, he generally would be bypassed except for the fact that he has scored five touchdowns. It’s extremely hard to trust him unless you are desperate. That said, the potential to score makes him worth a flier as a bye week fill-in if there is little else available.

Tight End – Anthoy Fasano – Miami Dolphins
Fasano is similar to Chandler in tha he has just 25 receptions, but he has less yardage (192), fewer touchdowns (3) and virtually no upside. If you need to roll the dice on a tight end from this game, Chandler is the way to go.

Make sure to check out all of our Week 11 rankings:

 

Posted on by Rotoprofessor. This entry was posted in Start or Sit. Bookmark the permalink.

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