by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)
Obviously, you can’t say that you will never draft a specific player. Sometimes the value just becomes too much to pass up, regardless of the concerns. That said, here are three players that are unlikely to be on any of my rosters in 2013:
Antonio Gates – San Diego Chargers – Tight End
He may be the Chargers best receiving option with the injury to Danario Alexander, but lets be honest… This offense is a disaster waiting to happen.
As it is he has missed time each of the past three seasons while failing to surpass 65 catches or 800 yards. The only thing he has going for him is the TD, but who is to say that he’s going to be on the field enough to generate 8+ again?
According to fantasypros.com he is the ninth tight end coming off the board. It may not seem like a stretch, but with guys like Brandon Myers, Fred Davis and Jared Cook coming after him there just isn’t a point. Sure, those others also offer a risk, but at a much lower cost. I’d rather strengthen my team in other spots as opposed to drafting Gates and hoping he stays healthy, as well as Philip Rivers figuring it out again.
Greg Jennings – Wide Receiver – Minnesota Vikings
Now 30-years old, it would be easy to envision a regression from Jennings even if he had stayed in Green Bay. While he may be the focus of the passing attack in Minnesota, the downgrade from Aaron Rodgers to Christian Ponder is going to be extremely evident.
We throw in any health concerns (he played in only 8 games in 2012 and has missed 11 over the past two seasons) and a declining yards/reception (from 16.6 to 14.2 to 10.2) and there is every reason to avoid him on draft day. The fact is he is going to be drafted as a WR3 and, while dependable depth is required, can we really call Jennings dependable? I’d much rather select a player with higher upside.
Arian Foster – Houston Texans – Running Back
Maybe he’s healthy and maybe I will ultimately regret this decision. It’s not like Jamaal Charles doesn’t carry his own injury risk with him.
That said, if I am going to select a player third or fourth overall I don’t already want to have to worry about him being able to take the field in Week 1. Not that early in my draft.
While the news recently has been positive, the risk just outweighs the reward when there is another equally capable back available.
Make sure to check out all of our 2013 preseason rankings: