by Will Overton
The last thing you want to do is overreact to week one of the NFL season in fantasy football. Lots of things change and lots of things aren’t what they seem after just one week. For instance please don’t rush out and drop Mike Wallace or T.Y. Hilton for anyone on this list just because of one bad week.
That said, we can learn things from just one week so don’t ignore it all. You have to find that balance. If you took a flier on the wrong guy at the end of your draft, you might already know it. Those are the kinds of guys you want to consider dropping for these guys. Not the mid round pick who had one bad week.
Here are some of the guys I think we learned enough about in week one to consider adding In your leagues this week:
Terrelle Pryor – QB, Oakland Raiders and Geno Smith – QB, New York Jets: I am going to go ahead and group these two guys together because they are very similar and I am going to say very similar things about them.
Both guys made their first professional starts yesterday and showed themselves well for fantasy owners. Pryor was shaky throwing the ball going 19 – 29 and 217 yards, but being picked off twice. However, he ran for 112 yards on 13 carries. Smith meanwhile went 24 – 38 with 1 TD and 1 INT and 47 yards on six carries.
We’ve seen the value of a QB who can run in fantasy and it helped both guys put up points yesterday. Pryor is probably the more dynamic runner, but he’s also not the same passer as Smith and it looks like the Jets are comfortable using Smith’s arm. Both guys ability to run make them intriguing fantasy backups if you have someone like Christian Ponder or Jake Locker now. If I had to choose just one I’d lean more towards Smith who is more of a dual threat then Pryor and I fear that at some point defenses will force Pryor to throw and I’m not sure he can get your points with his arm.
Mike Gillislee – RB, Miami Dolphins: Yes, I am actually talking about a guy here who didn’t even touch the ball in week one, in fact he was inactive. So why am I talking about him? Well, Daniel Thomas had 14 yards on eight carries and Lamar Miller had 3 yards on 10 carries. I assume the Dolphins use these two again next week, but they actually have a good team and they need to find a running game.
With that in mind they could end up turning to Gillislee at some point if things don’t change soon. The preseason didn’t go well for the rookie, but outside of Miller and Thomas there aren’t many in house options to rely on. I wouldn’t run out and grab Gillislee except in the deepest leagues, but I might watch this situation cause something is going to have to give.
Marlon Brown – WR, Baltimore Ravens: Someone other than Torrey Smith has to catch the ball in Baltimore. Especially when you consider that Smith is a deep threat in the mold of Mike Wallace more than a possession receiver. It’s the reason Ray Rice caught eight passes and Dallas Clark seven last week.
The guy who most thought would get the possession receiver looks was Jacoby Jones, but now he’s out for the next 4 – 6 weeks and in steps Marlon Brown who caught four balls for 65 yards and a TD Thursday. Brown was slowed in college by injuries which has kept him off most NFL radars, but he still has some upside to his game at 6’5 and 205. I think Brown could be considered off the wire in all formats.
Brian Hartline – WR, Miami Dolphins: It’s amazing this guy was only drafted in 25% of leagues and he should be owned in 100% of them by the end of this waiver period. Did you know Hartline had 74 catches and over 1,000 yards last season? Probably not. Hartline was targeted 15 times by Ryan Tannehill yesterday and he will probably continue to be his number one target.
You can’t expect Mike Wallace to be handled like he was this week against Joe Haden. So Wallace is going to get his, but Wallace is a big play guy. Hartline will lead this team in catches and he’ll probably go over 1,000 yards again. Snatch this dude up folks.
Kellen Winslow – TE, New York Jets: I talked about Julius Thomas last week and hopefully you listened. Clearly Thomas and Jordan Cameron should be the first tight ends off the waiver list if they are there, but Kellen Winslow should be close behind I think. The Jets have chosen Geno Smith as their quarterback and Smith seems to have chosen Winslow as his safety net receiver. Winslow had 7 catches for 77 yards and a TD yesterday. Rookie quarterbacks more than anyone else need a guy like Winslow they can count on and I expect we’ll see Smith go to him early and often this season, especially these first few weeks while he’s still getting his feet wet.
Who are you jumping on off the waiver wire this week? Are any of these guys on your radars?