by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)
Let’s take a look at some of the recent news around the NFL and how it may impact the value of various players:
Knowshon Moreno – Running Back – Miami Dolphins
Not only did Moreno need arthroscopic knee surgery, keeping him out four to five weeks according to Adam Schefter (via Twitter), but the Dolphins have also lost center Mike Puncey for at least three months due to hip surgery (also per Schefter via Twitter). It’s a major blow to an offensive line that was in shambles a year ago.
As for Moreno, there were already rumblings that it would be Lamar Miller leading the way as well as concerns that he was a product of Peyton Manning and little else. He needs to drop down a few spots on your draft day rankings, at least for now, though he may never recover.
Trent Richardson – Running Back – Indianapolis Colts
Jim Trotter (via Twitter) recently said, “Coaches also say Richardson is relying more on his instincts when running instead of thinking it thru. Has a chance to be a 3-down player.” Obviously the Colts are going to be hopeful, and maybe a full offseason learning the offense will help.
He’s a good buy-low candidate, but consider us skeptical until we actually start seeing results on the field. Of course there are very few true three-down backs in the NFL today. If there is someone with the potential to get there, his draft day appeal is going to rise immensely.
Adrien Robinson – Tight End – New York Giants
Hoping that Robinson could be a breakout tight end in New York this season? It remains possible, though unlikely. Conor Orr of The Star Ledger (click here for the article) recently posted the following quote from GM Jim Reese:
“I think the jury is still out on who the No. 1 tight end is, I think it’ll probably be tight end by committee,” he said on WFAN this afternoon. “But there are some really good tight ends, some athletic, big guys who can run and catch the ball.
While Robinson may be able to make some plays, he likely is going to have to share the opportunities. In a league rich with potential tight end talent, that makes him tough to trust.
Marquess Wilson – Wide Receiver – Chicago Bears
Adam Jahns of the Chicago Sun-Times (click here for the article) recently said:
“Earl Bennett who? Wilson has had a strong offseason, gaining weight and strength and noticeably becoming a better receiver with the guidance of Brandon Marshall and Alshon Jeffery.”
Of course, with those two receivers ahead of him on the depth chart, as well as Matt Forte and Martellus Bennett on the roster, you have to wonder how many opportunities will truly be there. Earl Bennett had 44 targets in 15 games last season and it’s hard to imagine Wilson getting significantly more than that (say 75, max). While his stock may be rising, slightly, he’s still not going to be a tremendous fantasy option.
Jace Amaro – Tight End – New York Jets
According to Rich Cimini of ESPN New York (click here for the article):
“As we noted on the night of the draft, this won’t be an easy transition for Amaro, who came from a system at Texas Tech that’s dramatically different than the one he’s trying to master with the Jets. Amaro described the Tech offense as “simple,” — a no-huddle, spread attack that doesn’t have a high volume of plays. Using a math analogy, it was on the level of addition, subtraction, division and multiplication. The Jets are using calculus. Which explains why Amaro struggled in last week’s minicamp.”
Amaro has potential, but as with most young tight ends there is going to be an adjustment period. Consider him more of a late-round TE2 on draft day.