Early ADP Analysis: Quarterback Edition (Romo, Foles & More)

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Let’s take a look at a few of the early ADP trends among tight ends to try and determine if there’s potential value or not:

 

Fantasy Owners Believe In Nick Foles
We’ve already discussed our opinions of Foles and why we believe he could be a major disappointment (which you can view by clicking here), so make sure you check that out.  Many others don’t feel the same way, however.  He currently owns an ADP of 61.4 ahead of Matt Ryan (71.6) and barely behind Cam Newton (59.8) and Tom Brady (61.0).

As I said in the article it’s not that I think Foles will be terrible, but there’s little chance he replicates his 27 TD vs. 2 INT line from a year ago, he lost Desean Jackson and the offense is going to run through Lesean McCoy.  It all comes together for a player that will likely disappoint given the lofty expectations.

 

At and ADP of 73.4 Colin Kaepernick holds appeal
Of course the fear here is that the 49ers are going to be a run first offense behind Frank Gore, Carlos Hyde and a host of others.  That said, with a healthy Michael Crabtree joining Anquan Boldin and the newly acquired Stevie Johnson he does have a host of options to throw the football to.  That’s not to say that this is going to be a passing attack, but we’ve seen what the Kaepernick/Crabtree duo can do when they are on the field together.  Throw in Kaepernick’s ability to make plays with his legs and this type of draft day spot seems like a bargain.  While it would be wise to back him up with a suitable backup, he’s a good gamble here.

 

Ryan Tannehill may be the easiest QB to target
We’ve already talked about him as a potential breakout QB (click here for the article), yet he’s the 21sr option coming off the board with an ADP of 159.3.  He obviously should be viewed as a QB2, but he’s being drafted more like a QB3 coming after Johnny Manziel, Alex Smith and Eli Manning.  At the spot that you can get him, he’s well worth targeting and hoping to reap the benefits.

 

Tony Romo isn’t being overdrafted, but is he worth the risk…
He’s being drafted at an ADP of 89.8, a full round after Kaepernick.  At the same time he’s going before Jay Cutler, Russell Wilson, Philip Rivers and a host of others.  We have to remember that Romo is working his way back from back surgery and, while they he’s going to be ready, with this type of injury is there really a guarantee?  Given the depth at the position it may just not be a risk worth taking.

 

Sources – ESPN, Fantasy Pros

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Make sure to check out all of our 2014 rankings:

Dynasty Watch: Could The Cowboys' Gavin Escobar Emerge Down The Line?
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