As far as players changing teams this off-season, few find themselves in better positions than Mark Ingram. After spending the first eight seasons of his career in New Orleans he is slated to call Baltimore home for the next three years. Now don’t get me wrong, the Saints have one of the best offenses in the league and Ingram has certainly benefited, but he had to share the stage with Drew Brees, Alvin Kamara and Michael Thomas.
The Ravens will likely center the game plan, or at least a portion of it, around their new running back. Alex Collins has already been released and to this point we have only seen flashes of success from Gus Edwards and Kenneth Dixon. With no sustainable production to bank on from either of them, and Dixon’s inability to stay on the field, it truly is Ingram’s job to lose.
Before we take a closer look at Ingram, Edwards does deserve a little more respect. In 11 games as a rookie he gained 718 yards on 137 carries and had three games of more than 100 yards. What gives me some pause is the fact that he only rushed for two touchdowns. We have to take the first four games of the season for Edwards (weeks six through nine) out of the equation as he had just 15 combined carries. Excluding Week 17, his worst week was 67 yards, so he certainly was a fantasy asset.
Based on Ingram’s ADP Edwards doesn’t scare me, because there is going to be plenty of carries and work to go around. With Lamar Jackson under center Baltimore was a very run heavy team last season, and I expect to see that continue in 2019.
Even though Ingram is entering his ninth season in the league he hasn’t been overused to this point, so he is prime position for 20-25 touches each week. Currently he is the 22nd running back coming off the board, and with a fourth round ADP of 45 he would likely be your second running back. You can do a lot worse as there are minimal questions surrounding him.
Last season,Ingram appeared in 12 games (following a four game suspension to open the season), but for the most part he has managed to stay healthy throughout his career. Once he took the field he averaged 4.7 yards per carry rushing for 645 yards and six touchdowns while also catching 21 passes for 170 yards and a touchdown.
For his career Ingram has averaged a solid 4.5 yards per carry (noting that a portion of these carries did come when New Orleans was nursing a large lead and running out the clock), and he eclipsed 1,000 yards in both 2016 & 2017.
While not known as a PPR threat, Ingram has averaged 63 targets from 2015 to 2017 while catching an average of 51 passes. There’s no reason not to expect that to continue in Baltimore.
Taking Ingram in fourth round is safe pick and the upside is minimal, but there are also no real threats to his production. He will eclipse 1,000 yards on the ground, score eight touchdowns and catch a few passes each week. Depending on your other options Ingram might be worth a look here, as you know the ball will be in his hands each week.