Trying to decide who you should start or sit this week? Let’s take a look at a few potential decisions owners have and try to sort through them:
Start – Derek Carr – Oakland Raiders (vs. Cincinnati)
The Cincinnati Bengals have allowed the third most points per week to opposing quarterbacks, including 14 TD vs. 3 INT. Sure a lot of damage has been done by quarterbacks who can run (426 yards and 3 TD), but look at what passers have done over their past two games
- at Los Angeles Rams – 372 yards, 2 TD, 0 INT
- vs. Baltimore – 243 yards, 3 TD, 1 INT
As for Carr he has 8 TD vs. 1 INT over his past four games, including three days of 285+ yards. He’s completing 70.8% of his passes and while there are always going to be questions as to who he will throw the football too, there are more than enough options (Darren Waller, Hunter Renfrow, Tyrell Williams and more).
Sit – Jared Goff – Los Angeles Rams (vs. Chicago)
Over his past four games Goff has thrown for 268 yards or fewer three times. Included in that was a disaster against the 49ers (78 yards), and the struggles aren’t unique to this small stretch:
60.3% completion percentage, 11 TD, 9 INT
The Bears have allowed 9 TD throws to opposing quarterbacks this season, indicating that this isn’t a particularly favorable matchup. The Rams offense simply isn’t as good as it has been in years past and Goff is coming off a day where he averaged a meager 5.9 yards/attempt. Fantasy owners can hope that he gets right, but this isn’t the matchup to bank on it happening.
Another Quarterback to Start:
- Josh Allen (Buffalo Bills; at MIA) – The last time Allen faced the Bills he threw for 202 yards and 2 TD, adding 32 yards on the ground. Over his past two games he’s rushed for 3 TD, which only adds to his potential value. The Dolphins are one of just four teams to allow at least 20 TD passes this season, and couple that with the potential rushing benefit and Allen becomes a worthy start.
Additional Quarterbacks to Sit:
- Sam Darnold (New York Jets; at WAS) – Darnold has been better of late, but he still has 7 TD vs. 9 INT (4 TD vs. 8 INT in his past four games) on the season and managed to throw for just 230 yards against the Giants in Week 10. Washington’s defense has actually been stout against opposing QB in recent weeks, allowing the fifth fewest points (596 yards, 1 TD and 1 INT). That doesn’t make for an ideal matchup.
- Kyler Murray (Arizona Cardinals; at SF) – The 49ers have allowed the fewest points per week to opposing QB over the past four weeks (second fewest overall). While Murray wasn’t awful against them just a few weeks ago (241 yards, 2 TD, 0 INT) that’s more his ceiling than his floor, especially with this game coming on the road. Don’t utilize him expecting a repeat performance.
Start – Jared Cook – New Orleans Saints (at TB)
Cook returned after nearly a month sidelined due to injury and exploded for 6 catches (on 10 targets) for 74 yards. Considering that he hadn’t been targeted more than 7 times or produce more than 41 yards in a game prior to his injury, it was a welcome sign. Carrying that performance into a matchup with the Buccaneers, who have allowed the second most points per week to opposing TE, is an even better sign.
While Tampa Bay didn’t allow much to opposing tight ends in their last game, Arizona also doesn’t have much in the way of threats at the position. In the two games since they’ve allowed 178 yards and 3 TD, so it’s worth gambling on Cook continuing the strong performance.
Sit – Noah Fant – Denver Broncos (at MIN)
The last time Denver took the field Fant had 115 yards and 1 TD, so it is easy to get excited. Of course he was only targeted 4 times and the numbers were buoyed by a 75-yard reception. You take that out and he would’ve been easy to overlook, which shouldn’t be a surprise considering his 16 receptions for 230 yards overall.
Minnesota hasn’t been great against opposing tight ends, but they haven’t allowed a touchdown. With questionable quarterback play mixed in, Fant is easy to ignore.
Another Tight End to Start:
- Gerald Everett (Los Angeles Rams; vs. CHI) – Chicago’s defense isn’t an easy matchup overall, but they’ve allowed 614 yards to opposing tight ends (fourth most points per week to opposing TE over the past four weeks). Everett may not always be featured in the offense, but he has 10+ targets in three of the past five games. While the Rams have been willing to game plan accordingly, it would seem like he’d again be a featured option.
Another Tight End to Sit:
- Dallas Goeddert (Philadelphia Eagles; vs. NE) – Any skill player against the Patriots is going to be downgraded. Goeddert has been a part of the offense, but he’s also unlikely to be the top tight end, let alone a featured weapon overall. He’s not generally a usable option anyways, but if you need a streamer he’s an easy one to ignore.
Sources – ESPN, NFL.com
Make sure to check out all of our Week 11 rankings: