Trying to decide who you should start or sit this week? Let’s take a look at a few potential decisions owners have and try to sort through them:
Start – David Montgomery (CHI) – at Green Bay
There are a few things that point towards a potentially big workload for Montgomery in Week 12:
- Mitchell Trubisky is likely going to start at QB
- Green Bay has allowed the second most points per week to opposing running backs, including 1,279 rushing yards and 21 total TD (14 rushing, 7 receiving)
Montgomery hasn’t played since Week 9, missing one game due to a concussion prior to Chicago’s bye, but that’s of little concern. He should dominate the opportunities and could be inline for a breakout performance in Week 12. For many he may be a FLEX, but he’s worth using.
Sit – Melvin Gordon (DEN) – vs. New Orleans
Gordon is coming off a strong game, taking 15 carries for 84 yards and 2 TD, but don’t let that distract you:
- He shared the touches with Phillip Lindsay (16 carries for 82 yards) in Week 11, so there’s no guarantee regarding opportunities
- Prior to Week 11 Gordon had 90 total rushing yards in the previous three games
- The Saints have allowed the fewest points per week to opposing RB
That’s a lot stacked against him, wouldn’t you say?
Start – Giovani Bernard (CIN) – vs. New York Giants
Joe Mixon remains sidelined, meaning Bernard will be he featured back, and now Joe Burrow has been lost for the season with a knee injury. While that makes you think the offense will sputter, someone needs to get the opportunities and Bernard should be that guy.
The Giants have allowed the seventh most points per week to opposing RB, so with additional opportunities there’s reason to believe a big game is in his future.
Sit – Darrell Henderson (LAR) – vs. San Francisco
Under normal circumstances do you think you can trust Henderson? The Rams backfield has devolved into a three-headed debacle. Just look at the Week 11 production:
- Malcolm Brown – 3 carries for 20 yards
- Cam Akers – 5 carries for 15 yards
- Darrell Henderson – 8 carries for 5 yards
Are you willing to trust any of them? Considering the 49ers have allowed the fifth fewest rushing yards to opposing RB (695), this is a complete hands off proposition.
Start – Zack Moss (BUF) – vs. Los Angeles Chargers
At this point it’s clear that Moss is the leader of this backfield, even though he’s struggled on the ground the past two weeks (16 carries for 38 yards). Devin Singletary has been even worse (6 carries for 16 yards), so there’s little reason to think that Moss is going to lose touches, and the matchup is a strong one. Over the past four weeks Los Angeles has allowed 445 rushing yards and 6 TD, so even if the touches were to get reduced there isn’t a concern (Singletary has rushed for just 1 TD). Considering his opportunities shouldn’t be at risk, Moss is a potential RB2 option for this week.
Sit – Jerrick McKinnon (SF) – at Los Angeles Rams
Over the past four weeks the Rams have allowed a total of 223 yards (152 rushing, 71 receiving) top opposing RB. Even if the 49ers don’t get healthy it would be hard to trust McKinnon. With the potential for Raheem Mostert, Tevin Coleman and Jeff Wilson all returning from IR, and this backfield is a mess and well worth avoiding.
Sources – NFL.com, ESPN
Make sure to check out all of our Week 12 rankings: