Trying to decide who you should start or sit this week? Let’s take a look at a few potential decisions owners have and try to sort through them:
Start – David Johnson (HOU) vs. Jacksonville
While Johnson didn’t post a monster game in Week 8 against the Green Bay Packers, he made up for his poor day on the ground by making plays through the air:
- Rushing – 14 carries for 42 yards
- Receiving – 4 catches for 42 yards and 1 TD
He gets another opportunity with a favorable matchup against the Jaguars, who have allowed the sixth most points per week to opposing running backs. The last time these teams squared off Johnson averaged 5.6 YPC (96 yards on 17 carries), one of just two times he’s averaged more than 3.9 YPC in 2020.
Sit – Jonathan Taylor (IND) vs. Baltimore
A difficult matchup alone would give us pause in utilizing Taylor this week, as the Ravens have allowed the third most points per week to opposing running backs. Then you have the split in opportunities in Week 8, as the Colts clearly showed they were willing to ride the hot hand:
- Jordan Wilkins – 20 carries for 89 yards and 1 TD
- Jonathan Taylor – 11 carries for 22 yards
- Nyheim Hines – 5 carries for 8 yards
Tough Matchup + Carries Uncertainty = Player to Avoid
Start – Chase Edmonds (ARI) vs. Miami
Obviously if the outlook for Kenyan Drake changes so does this. That said, for now it appears Drake will be sidelined setting up a great opportunity for Edmonds to produce. The Dolphins have allowed the seventh most points per week to opposing running backs, allowing 100+ yards in each of their past three games (90+ in four straight). As for Edmonds himself, we all know the potential he brings when he gets a shot.
Edmonds hasn’t had more than 6 carries in any game this season, though he has 5+ catches in three of his past four games (26 catches overall in ’19). The one-time he’s had double-digit carries was over a year ago, when he had 27 carries for 126 yards and 3 TD against the Giants.
With Edmonds finally getting his shot this season, he could have one of those breakout days.
Sit – Devin Singletary (BUF) vs. Seattle
Forget the matchup, Singletary continues to yield goal line touches to Zack Moss and that’s going to cost him significant value. Singletary has scored 1 TD all year, and if he were dominating all of the other carries and pushing for 100 yards each week the narrative may be different. Since that’s not the case, as this has morphed into a 50/50 split, things don’t look good.
Then you have the matchup with the Seahawks, who have allowed 518 rushing yards to opposing RB this season. In other words this is a TD dependent matchup, making Moss the better play.
Start – Damien Harris (NE) at New York Jets
Don’t trust New England running backs… That’s long been a fantasy football mantra, but that no longer appears to be the case. Just look at the past four games for Harris:
- at KC – 17 carries for 100 yards
- vs. Den – 6 carries for 19 yards
- vs. SF – 10 carries for 58 yards
- at Buf – 16 carries for 102 yards and 1 TD
The Jets have been burned both on the ground (785 yards and 7 TD) and through the air (347 yards and 1 TD), so there’s reason to believe another big day is on the horizon.
Sit – Wayne Gallman (NYG) at Washington
Gallman is the clear top option for the Giants, so you would think he’d be a worthwhile play. However the matchup isn’t ideal, as Washington has allowed the fifth fewest points per week to opposing running backs.
While Gallman has scored in back-to-back games, he hasn’t been overly impressive with 22 carries for 78 yards (3.5 YPC). Banking on a TD doesn’t appear to be a good strategy in this one.
Sources – NFL.com, ESPN
Make sure to check out all of our Week 9 rankings: