Trying to decide who you should start or sit this week? Let’s take a look at a few potential decisions owners have and try to sort through them:
Start – Stefon Diggs (BUF) vs. Seattle
The Buffalo passing game hasn’t been great in recent weeks, but a matchup with the Seahawks could easily be a “get right” opportunity. Seattle has allowed the most points per week to opposing wide receivers, by a wide margin, as they’ve given up 1,885 yards (nearly 200 yards more than any other team) and 11 TD.
Diggs has consistently been targeted week in and week out, with 8+ targets in each of the past four games (overall he’s been targeted at least 11 times in three games). Those opportunities, which have yielded 6+ catches in all but one game this season, should lead to impressive results.
Sit – Amari Cooper (DAL) vs. Pittsburgh
Consider this a blanket warning for all of the Cowboys’ wide receivers. Forget about the matchup, the Cowboys are turning the reigns over to Cooper Rush for the coming week and that’s got to be scary for fantasy owners. The Cowboys have already allowed 24 sacks this season, fifth most in the league, and it’s easy to envision that continuing to be a problem with the most recent QB change and the fact that the Steelers lead the league with 30 sacks.
Could Cooper produce? It’s not impossible, but with alternatives in place and the uncertainty at QB it’s hard to trust him (especially in two-receiver formats).
Start – Marquise Brown (BAL) at Indianapolis
Simply put Brown hasn’t been very good this season, with 27 catches this season. That said the Colts have struggled against opposing wide receivers in recent weeks, including allowing 206 yards and 2 TD against the Lions in Week 8. Overall Indianapolis has allowed 27 passing plays of 20+ yards, tying them for 8th most in the league, and that should play into Brown’s big play ability.
As for Brown, there’s a little bit of a “squeaky wheel” theory also at play. Brown posted on Twitter (which has since been deleted) complaining about his usage, so there’s a chance that the Ravens counter that by feeding him the ball. We’ve seen it before (he had 10 targets against the Bengals a few weeks ago) and we should see it again.
Sit – Corey Davis (TEN) vs. Chicago
Davis has been good, when healthy, this season but can he keep things rolling against the Bears? Chicago has allowed the third fewest points per week to opposing wide receivers this season, including just 2 TD.
Considering that Davis has been a bit TD dependent this season, with three TD in his last four games, that’s going to make him tough to trust. Just consider he’s been under 70 yards in three of his five games, and under 40 yards twice, before thrusting him into your lineup.
Start – Jerry Jeudy (DEN) at Atlanta
Obviously Tim Patrick’s availability could change this, but Jeudy is coming off a 10 target day and should continue to see his rapport with Drew Lock improve. He does need to get more efficient, with 4 catches for 73 yards, but Atlanta could prove to be an ideal opponent for that to happen against.
The Falcons have allowed the fifth most points per week to opposing wide receivers, including a 66.5% completion rate. They’ve also allowed the most passing plays of 20+ yards (31, tying them with the Chiefs), which could mean some big plays for Lock, Jeudy and company.
Sit – Devante Parker (MIA) at Arizona
Maybe Tua Tagovalioa just needed a game to get comfortable, but in his first start he targeted Parker twice all day (completing one pass). In fact there have been some red flags even before the QB change, as Parker’s been targeted three times or fewer in two of his past three games. While he’s scored a TD in each of those games, is that something we can depend on?
In three-receiver formats Parker is still usable, but in shallower formats he’s far too risky.
Sources – NFL.com, ESPN
Make sure to check out all of our Week 9 rankings: