Sunday Morning Start ‘Em or Sit ‘Em (Week 1): Mike Evans, Boston Scott, James Robinson & More

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Trying to decide who you should start or sit this week? Let’s take a look at a few potential decisions owners have and try to sort through them:

Boston Scott – Running Back – Philadelphia Eagles

This news should lead to Scott operating as the lead back for the Eagles in Week 1. While Washington allowed the fourth most points per week to opposing running backs last season, they hired Ron Rivera as their head coach and Jack Del Rio as defensive coordinator this offseason. Those changes coupled with what should be a strong defensive front should make for some tough sledding for any running back.

Scott only got more than 10 carries in one game last season, turning 19 carries into 54 yards (2.8 YPC) and 3 TD in the final regular season game of ’19. He was targeted at least 6 times in each of the past four games, turning 25 targets into 23 catches.

It’s hard to call Scott a must use, given the matchup and limited production (4.0 YPC in ’19), but he’s definitely a worthy FLEX in all formats (and a borderline RB2, though a better play in PPR formats).

Verdict – Start ‘Em

Courtland Sutton – Wide Receiver – Denver Broncos

The problem here, obviously, is that Sutton is the late game on Monday night. That means that if he is forced to sit your options to replace him will be severely limited. That alone should be the deciding factor in making your decision, as the best bet is to find an alternative on Sunday that you can depend on.

Verdict – Sit ‘Em

James Robinson – Running Back – Jacksonville Jaguars

Robinson, an undrafted rookie out of Illinois State, is slated to get the start for Jacksonville after Leonard Fournette was released and Ryquell Armstead was placed on the reserve/COVID-19 list. The problem is, are we willing to bet that he’s locked into a full-time role? As it is you’d have to think the Jaguars were leaning towards a committee, after the departure of Fournette, though both Chris Thompson and Dare Ogunbowale (recently added) are both known more for their pass catching abilities.

That could mean Robinson gets the bulk of the early down carries, with the other two getting more looks in third down/hurry up situations. Robinson showed the ability to handle a heavy workload over his final two years in college:

  • 2018 – 205 carries for 1,290 yards & 12 TD
  • 2019 – 364 carries for 1,899 yards & 18 TD

The Colts were middle of the pack in terms of points allowed to running backs in ’19. While the questions regarding his usage does suppress the value slightly, he’s a viable FLEX depending on your alternatives.

Verdict – Start ‘Em (as a FLEX)

Mike Evans – Wide Receiver – Tampa Bay Buccaneers

While Evans has a good shot at suiting up in what promises to be a high-scoring affair, the problem is the “pitch count”. Could he still be productive, even if he’s not getting the anticipated number of targets? If you look at his last three matchups against New Orleans, it’s fair to be skeptical:

DateTargetsReceptionsYardsTouchdowns
12/09/1864860
10/06/193000
11/17/1984690

Evans didn’t have Tom Brady at quarterback for those games, though we all know Brady isn’t quite the same player he once was. The game plays at 4:25 EST, so we may not have a definitive answer to his status until after the early games have started. That complicates things a little bit, and it all depends on your alternatives.

Verdict – Sit ‘Em (if you have a strong alternative) otherwise roll dice

Chris Carson – Running Back – Seattle Seahawks

While you have to be slightly concerned that Carson could lose a few touches, the workload should still be heavy enough. The news pushes more to being a low-end RB2, with Hyde a risky FLEX, but don’t make the mistake of ignoring him.

Verdict – Start’ Em

David Montgomery – Running Back – Chicago Bears

Montgomery is working through a strained groin, so while he’s going to play just how much is he going to be able to do? The fact that he’s been practicing helps, though you have to wonder if Tarik Cohen will get a few more touches than usual. Montgomery averaged just over 15 carries per game last season, while Coleman was utilized solely in a pass catching role (only 64 carries total and only twice over 6 carries).

The questions regarding his touches is going to limit Montgomery’s potential value, so consider him more of a FLEX than a viable RB2.

Verdict – Start ‘Em (but only as a FLEX option)

Jalen Reagor – Wide Receiver – Philadelphia Eagles

While Reagor is expected to take the field, as a rookie without a normal offseason does anyone really want to believe in him as a trustworthy option? As it is Reagor is likely a WR3/4 to open the season, and given the risk in Week 1 he’s an unusable option.

Verdict – Sit ‘Em

Sources – ESPN, NFL.com

Make sure to check out all of our Week 1 rankings:

Quarterbacks
Running Backs
Wide Receivers
Tight Ends
Kickers
Defenses

8 COMMENTS

    • PPR flex Kupp, Gallup or Metcalf — Metcalf (but risky)

      PPR Roethlisberger or Prescott — Prescott

      PPR flex DeSean Jackson, LeVeon Bell or Noah Fant — Bell

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