Thursday games are always tricky, though that’s not groundbreaking news. Let’s take a quick look at some of the more questionable decisions for tonight’s game and try to decide who we should trust and who should be avoided:
Is David Montgomery Worth The Early Week Gamble…
The Bears have generally stuck with Montgomery as the lead back, but he’s disappointed more often than not averaging 3.5 YPC with 5 TD. Among running backs with at least 550 rushing yards (22), he’s one of five who have averaged less than 4.0 YPC:
- Le’Veon Bell – 3.2
- David Montgomery – 3.5
- Sony Michel – 3.5
- Joe Mixon – 3.5
- Frank Gore – 3.8
Montgomery is coming off a solid performance, with 75 yards on 16 carries against the Lions. Of course Detroit has allowed the third most points per week to opposing running backs, while Dallas is a middle of the pack defense. That will likely make it much tougher for him to produce, especially since the only teams he’s produced well against are among the worst defenses in the leagues (the Chargers & Redskins were the other two).
While Montgomery is guaranteed touches, assuming Chicago doesn’t fall behind big early, this early in the week you could argue that the floor is much lower than the potential ceiling.
Is Amari Cooper Too Big Of A Risk To Trust…
After sustaining a knee injury on Thanksgiving Cooper has practiced in full this week and is expected to operate at his normal workload. Generally an injury plus a matchup with the Bears, who have allowed the sixth fewest points per week to opposing wide receivers, would significantly drop a receiver down the rankings. However look at some of the performances over the past two weeks:
- vs. New York Giants – Darius Slayton & Golden Tate combined for 7 catches, 100 yards and 1 TD
- vs. Detroit Lions – Kenny Golladay piled up 4 catches, 158 yards and 1 TD
The Bears are not necessarily an easy defense, but they also aren’t one that you want to avoid either. Barring a change in his health, Cooper should be viewed as a borderline WR1 and a must start in most formats.
As for Michael Gallup, while we’d be comfortable deploying Cooper things get questionable when looking at the secondary option. There are only so many opportunities to go around, and with the matchup Gallup is more of a low-end WR3 than a trustworthy option.
Chicago Bears Start/Sit Decisions:
- Mitchell Trubisky (QB) – Sit ‘Em (viable QB2)
- David Montgomery (RB) – Startable (best left as a FLEX)
- Tarik Cohen (RB) – Desperation FLEX
- Allen Robinson (WR) – Must Start
- Anthony Miller (WR) – Sit ‘Em
Dallas Cowboys Start/Sit Decisions:
- Dak Prescott (QB) – Must Start
- Ezekiel Elliot (RB) – Must Start
- Amari Cooper (WR) – Must Start
- Michael Gallup (WR) – Startable as Low-End WR3
- Jason Witten (TE) – Sit ‘Em
Sources – ESPN, NFL.com
Make sure to check out all of our Week 14 rankings: