Updated Starting Pitcher Rankings (2019): #21-40

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We recently took an updated look at the Top 20 starting pitchers (which you can read by clicking here), but how do the next 20 look?  Carlos Martinez obviously fell due to the injury concerns, but how far?  The risks, with the potential move to the bullpen, takes him outside of the Top 40 completely.  Who steps in?  Are there any other changes?  Let’s take a look:

21. Jack Flaherty – St. Louis Cardinals
22. Nick Pivetta – Philadelphia Phillies
23. Jose Berrios – Minnesota Twins
24. Luis Castillo – Cincinnati Reds
25. Masahiro Tanaka – New York Yankees
26. Zack Wheeler – New York Mets
27. Mike Clevinger – Cleveland Indians
28. Charlie Morton – Tampa Bay Rays
29. Eduardo Rodriguez – Boston Red Sox
30. Zack Greinke – Arizona Diamondbacks
31. Chris Archer – Pittsburgh Pirates
32. Jameson Taillon – Pittsburgh Pirates
33. Yusei Kikuchi – Seattle Mariners
34. Madison Bumgarner – San Francisco Giants
35. Dallas Keuchel – Free Agent
36. Jon Gray – Colorado Rockies
37. Kevin Gausman – Atlanta Braves
38. Yu Darvish – Chicago Cubs
39. Kyle Hendricks – Chicago Cubs
40. Andrew Heaney – Los Angeles Angels

Thoughts:

  • It wasn’t a strong 2018 for Nick Pivetta (4.77 ERA), but he showed the skills we look for from a starting pitcher.  His strikeout rate spiked (10.32 K/9, courtesy of a 12.0% SwStr%), there was solid control (2.80 BB/9) and he showed an improved groundball rate as the season progressed (47.5% or better in three of the final four months).  There should be better results, so don’t make the mistake of overlooking him.
  • We took a look of Charlie Morton and his outlook in Tampa Bay, which is promising despite calling the AL East home, which you can view by clicking here.
  • Eduardo Rodriguez has always been a pitcher we’ve had questions about, so why is it that he finds his way into our Top 30?  The two big issues have been health and a limited groundball rate (38.7%).  Obviously we can’t bank on the former, but a 27.9% Hard% and the inclusion of using a cut-fastball do help to diffuse the concerns with the latter.  As long as he stays healthy, with the Boston offense behind him, he’s a good bet to thrive.
  • With Carlos Martinez falling outside the Top 40 it’s Andrew Heaney who steps in and assumes the spot.  He increased the usage of his curveball, which helps to support his strikeout per inning pace, and he also showed impressive control (2.25 BB/9).  Home runs are going to be a concern, but there’s more than enough upside to target him as a SP3/SP4 type option.

Sources – Fangraphs

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