Waiver Wire Guidelines: Which Hitter Off To A Quick Start Should Be Trusted? (Kyle Lewis & More)

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Kyle Lewis – Seattle Mariners

Over the first two games Lewis has gone 2-7, but both hits have gone for home runs.  That’s obviously going to draw some attention, especially from a player who’s been hyped and considered a top prospect.  At the same time let’s not overlook that he’s already struck out 4 times (after three games it’s up to 6 K, though he’s now 4-11) and at both Double-A and the Majors last season he struggled with swings and misses (SwStr%):

  • Double-A – 14.8%
  • Majors – 17.7%

He’s struggled to make contact against all types of pitches at the highest level and if he’s not making contact how big of an impact will he make?  Time will tell, but for now we’d proceed with caution.

Fantasy Waiver Wire Guidelines:

  • 10 Team League – Monitor Only
  • 12 Team League – Addable (but not must add)
  • 14+ Team League – Worth Adding
  • AL-Only League – Must Add
  • Keeper/Dynasty – Must Add

Enrique Hernandez – Los Angeles Dodgers

He made quite a splash on Opening Day and started each of the first three games of the season, but let’s not forget that his overall performance is skewed from that one performance.  Over the next two games he’s gone 1-9 with 2 K.  We’ve talked about him in a lot of detail already, so it’s not worth repeating it all.  However he does have some strikeout risk (11.2% SwStr% in ’19) and isn’t guaranteed full-time AB (he’s started all three games at 2B, but Chris Taylor and/or Max Muncy should start drawing some starts there).  A career .242 hitter, he has some pop but is more of a one-trick pony.

Fantasy Waiver Wire Guidelines:

  • 10 Team League – Don’t Add
  • 12 Team League – Addable (but not must add)
  • 14+ Team League – Worth Adding
  • NL-Only League – Must Add
  • Keeper/Dynasty – Format Dependent

Leury Garcia – Chicago White Sox

For a player who has never hit more than 9 HR in an MLB season and entered 2020 with 23 career HR in 1,550 PA, who would’ve predicted him going deep in each of the first two games?  Obviously no one is complaining, but he’s not a power hitter and in the early going he’s putting the ball in the air (66.7% flyball rate) and pulling it (16.7% Oppo%) far too often.  At 29-years old it’s hard to envision much growth, so simply write this off as an aberration and continue to value him as you would’ve entering the year.

Fantasy Waiver Wire Guidelines:

  • 10 Team League – Don’t Add
  • 12 Team League – Don’t Add
  • 14+ Team League – Worth Adding as Streaming Option
  • AL-Only League – Must Add
  • Keeper/Dynasty – Format Dependent

Phil Gosselin – Philadelphia Phillies

Gosselin is a 31-year old journeyman who happened to have a nice day at the plate on Saturday (3-3 with 2 HR and 3 RBI).  Maybe he fills the role of DH against left-handed pitchers, but he’s not going to get regular AB and days like this will be few and far between.  Don’t bother.

Fantasy Waiver Wire Guidelines:

  • 10 Team League – Don’t Add
  • 12 Team League – Don’t Add
  • 14+ Team League – Don’t Add
  • AL-Only League – Don’t Add
  • Keeper/Dynasty – Don’t Add

Sources – CBS Sports, Fangraphs, Brooks Baseball

2 COMMENTS

  1. Speaking of boring 2b option Leury Garcia, do you see Madrigal getting called up soon and mashing an impact one the stacked lineup? Thanks

    • I think he’ll be up at some point this year, but there are going to be highs and lows. He’ll be much easier to trust in 2021

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