With Opening Day fast approaching, it appears that fantasy owners are gaining some clarity in terms of position battles across the league. Are the winners worth buying? Should they be ignored? Let’s take a look at some of the recent news and try to make some decisions:
Matt Andriese Wins Angels #5 Starter
According to Jeff Fletcher of the Orange County Register (click here for the article):
Maddon conceded that Matt Andriese appears to be in line to be the Angels’ fifth starter.
Andriese spent 2019 working out of the Diamondbacks’ bullpen, and while he pitched to a 4.71 ERA the underlying skills showed promise:
- Strikeouts – 10.06 K/9
- Control – 3.44 BB/9
- Groundballs – 50.3%
Of course a 9.8% SwStr% doesn’t backup the strikeout total and he lacks that true put-away pitch (14.41% Whiff% on his changeup was his “best” mark last season). That’s a concern, as his control is not elite and there’s risk that his groundball rate regresses (46.3% for his career). While we could argue that there was a little bit of poor luck (.332 BABIP, 71.6% strand rate), a 39.0% Hard% doesn’t support that.
With a career 4.64 ERA as a starter, his inclusion in the rotation doesn’t move the needle. He’s more of a streaming option, at best, as opposed to a trustworthy starter.
Verdict – Deny ‘Em
Jose Peraza To Be Red Sox’ Second Baseman
The Sox really like Jose Peraza.— Pete Abraham (@PeteAbe) July 15, 2020
"I didn't realize he was this good defensively," Roenicke said. "We're really pleased with everything he's doing."
Peraza would be the regular 2B and get starts at SS and 3B when Bogaerts and Devers get a day off.
Peraza is coming off a terrible 2019, hitting .239 with 6 HR and 7 SB over 403 PA. His biggest issue, as it’s often been, is chasing outside the strike zone far too much (37.6% O-Swing%). That has helped lead to a poor Hard% (31.6% Hard%), and when coupled with too many flyballs for a non-power hitter (42.6% in ’19) it makes sense that his average would struggle.
Even with all of that, given his speed and willingness to use the entire field (30.0% Oppo%) he should be capable of carrying better than a .268 BABIP (.301 for his career). Just a little bit of better luck, especially against right-handed pitchers (he hit .220 vs. RHP compared to .287 vs. LHP last season), and the results would be there.
Peraza may not be an elite option, but he could go around .270/4/6 in the shortened season. In deeper leagues, that shouldn’t be ignored.
Verdict – Buy ‘Em
Sources – Fangraphs, Brooks Baseball
Make sure to check out all of our Updated 2020 preseason rankings: